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赞我的今年账户翻十倍
赞我的今年账户翻十倍
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2022-10-18
wow
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赞我的今年账户翻十倍
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2022-09-24
ho
斗通胀,美联储算的是“政治账”
美联储的挑战和其他央行一样,都是如何控制一个无法控制的东西——通胀。
斗通胀,美联储算的是“政治账”
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赞我的今年账户翻十倍
赞我的今年账户翻十倍
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2022-09-12
Ok
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赞我的今年账户翻十倍
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2022-09-10
666
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赞我的今年账户翻十倍
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2022-09-02
hi
气候法案激励节能产品投资,大摩上调设备制造商目标价
摩根士丹利表示,美国国会通过的税收和气候法案中的减税和退税将有助于推动销售,并于周四上调了供暖和制冷系统制造商的盈利预期和目标价。据了解,美国总统拜登上个月批准的《降低通货膨胀法案》激励了美国历史上对
气候法案激励节能产品投资,大摩上调设备制造商目标价
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赞我的今年账户翻十倍
赞我的今年账户翻十倍
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2022-08-26
$拼多多(PDD)$
hi
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赞我的今年账户翻十倍
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2022-08-17
hi
思科即将公布Q4财报,瑞信予“跑赢大盘”评级
智通财经APP获悉,瑞士信贷分析师 Sami Badri予思科“跑赢大盘”评级,目标价为60美元。思科将于周三美股盘后公布2022财年第四季度业绩。Badri预计其营收为125.4亿美元,低于市场预期的127.8亿美元;预计每股收益为0.82美元,与市场预期持平。他指出,思科股价今年迄今已下跌了27%。Badri还表示,鉴于思科的软件业务非常依赖其硬件出货量,思科宣布一项“重大”收购的可能性“越来越大”。截至发稿,思科盘前跌0.28%,报46.64美元。
思科即将公布Q4财报,瑞信予“跑赢大盘”评级
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赞我的今年账户翻十倍
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2022-08-13
$拼多多(PDD)$
wow
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2022-07-30
$拼多多(PDD)$
hi
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2022-07-23
$拼多多(PDD)$
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10:19","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"斗通胀,美联储算的是“政治账”","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1183099287","media":"雪涛宏观笔记","summary":"美联储的挑战和其他央行一样,都是如何控制一个无法控制的东西——通胀。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>作者:向静姝、宋雪涛</p><p><b>美联储的挑战和其他央行一样,都是如何控制一个无法控制的东西——通胀。</b>今天大多数的美国通胀都是由供给原因所产生的,这些原因包括但不限于:能源和食品供应短缺,战争和地缘政治导致的供应中断,贸易规则冲突导致的全球供应链重构,以及长新冠(long-covid)和老龄化导致的劳动力缺口等。而这些因素对于利率并不敏感。</p><p>今年6月,旧金山联储的研究《How Much Do Supply and Demand Drive Inflation》拆解了美国通胀的供给因素和需求因素的贡献,结果显示<b>供给因素对于疫情后美国PCE通胀上升(4.8pp)的贡献,超过了一半</b>;而需求因素对于CPI通胀上升的贡献,大概是三分之一。这并不令人感到意外,特别是考虑到俄乌战争之后,全球的能源和食品价格出现了剧烈的上涨。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c3b3ca0373bf69ba1523730097d504b2\" tg-width=\"877\" tg-height=\"477\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>图1:供给因素对疫后美国PCE通胀上升的贡献超过一半</span></p><p>一直以来,联储认为能够通过加息抑制需求来实现调控目标的通胀指标是核心通胀。但是这篇报告发现,供给因素对疫后美国核心PCE通胀上升(3.3pp)的贡献率也接近一半。尤其是核心通胀中占比70%的服务通胀,所面对的问题是结构性和持续性的劳动力供给短缺,这也是联储无法控制的因素。所以8月美国核心CPI从5.9%反弹至6.3%对于市场是个不小的震慑,因为这说明了<b>联储通过加息控制通胀的做法基本没有效果。</b></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/36edcaf805cce59efbb322e1ff417905\" tg-width=\"878\" tg-height=\"548\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>图2:8月美国核心CPI出现反弹</span></p><p>虽然联储对于总体通胀中的能源和食品价格、地缘因素、供应链因素、劳动力因素等等束手无策,但是<b>6月以来,联储出现了两个惊人且重要的转变</b>。</p><p>第一个转变是联储把货币政策的通胀目标,<b>从“无法完全控制”的核心PCE,转向了“完全无法控制”的CPI</b>。正常的货币政策规则是通过加息抑制房地产和消费品等核心需求,以实现降低通胀的目的。伯南克和耶伦时期的泰勒规则(伯南克规则、耶伦规则)采用的通胀率都是核心PCE,鲍威尔也没有公开修改过泰勒规则的通胀率指标。但是在今年6月议息会议的新闻发布会上,鲍威尔表示,“联储现在非常关心总体通胀,而不单是核心通胀,因为总体通胀与群众的通胀预期有关”。</p><p>第二个转变是联储取消了对市场预期的前瞻指引,把每一次利率决议都交给了过去一段时间的数据所决定。这也令市场费解,联储为什么要丢掉赖以为豪的预期指引,转为一会一议,人为地制造市场波动呢?</p><p>答案是<b>联储算的不是“经济账”。</b></p><p><b>如果算经济账,联储应该立即停止加息</b>。因为在联储刚刚公布的SEP(季度经济预测)中,联储令人意外地大幅下调了今明两年的经济预测,<b>22年美国GDP增速预测从6月1.7%下调至0.2%</b>,23年增速预测从6月1.7%下调至1.2%。但是在对经济如此悲观的同时,联储又大幅上调了今年底的联邦基金利率目标,从6月的3.4%上调至4.4%,这意味着今年剩下的两次议息会议,联储预计还有125bp的加息。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dbe7d98c94af5a78ca5f52a6d12e1430\" tg-width=\"869\" tg-height=\"372\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>图3:九月联储FOMC经济和通胀预测</span></p><p><b>这些在经济视角里无法解释的自相矛盾,其实都源于政治压力。</b>联储不知道以上道理吗?当然不是,但政治不允许。</p><p>根据realclearpolitcs上的民调结果,拜登的最新支持率仅有43%,不支持率有53%,<b>拜登处理通胀问题的支持率只有33%,不支持率有65%</b>。通胀问题是民主党中期选举的致命弱点,压通胀本该是拜登的“政治账”,但是失败的中东旅行只换来了10万桶增产,而且不久之后这10万桶又被减回去了。为了减轻政治责任,拜登把问题抛给了美联储,拜登今年以来数次就通胀形势发表讲话的原因,总统亲自喊话通胀施压联储,这在过去是罕见的。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b848b8f79304cbaf26042460003664cf\" tg-width=\"866\" tg-height=\"503\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>图4:拜登支持率仅43%</span></p><p><b>金融市场关心的并不是(经济上的)通胀,以及联储是否真的能控制(经济上的)通胀,而是联储(为了政治)这次又要加息多少。因此预测联储的加息行为,核心不是预测通胀,而是理解联储的“政治账”。</b></p><p>接下来,政治的关键节点是国会中期选举,时间在11月8日,这次将改选国会众议院全部席位和参议院三分之一席位。<b>在中期选举之前,联储11月议息会议就会举行(11月1日-2日),所以11月联储可能仍要政治优先,但是12月13-14日的最后一次议息会议,将可能是联储的目标函数发生转变的关键时点。</b></p><p><b>风险提示</b></p><p>美国通胀超预期,美联储紧缩超预期,美国劳动力市场走弱超预期</p></body></html>","source":"xthgbj","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; 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href=https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzI0MzMzNzczNQ==&mid=2247502127&idx=1&sn=765a7266bd802c39b2139d29a5973dfd&chksm=e96c1647de1b9f519f1d593eee43ec301f4b2d58bc514f8fcc3b9bde3464e4fd177d081a6cff><strong>雪涛宏观笔记</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>作者:向静姝、宋雪涛美联储的挑战和其他央行一样,都是如何控制一个无法控制的东西——通胀。今天大多数的美国通胀都是由供给原因所产生的,这些原因包括但不限于:能源和食品供应短缺,战争和地缘政治导致的供应中断,贸易规则冲突导致的全球供应链重构,以及长新冠(long-covid)和老龄化导致的劳动力缺口等。而这些因素对于利率并不敏感。今年6月,旧金山联储的研究《How Much Do Supply and...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzI0MzMzNzczNQ==&mid=2247502127&idx=1&sn=765a7266bd802c39b2139d29a5973dfd&chksm=e96c1647de1b9f519f1d593eee43ec301f4b2d58bc514f8fcc3b9bde3464e4fd177d081a6cff\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f09c44f289c2f0d40610768fe6661fab","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzI0MzMzNzczNQ==&mid=2247502127&idx=1&sn=765a7266bd802c39b2139d29a5973dfd&chksm=e96c1647de1b9f519f1d593eee43ec301f4b2d58bc514f8fcc3b9bde3464e4fd177d081a6cff","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1183099287","content_text":"作者:向静姝、宋雪涛美联储的挑战和其他央行一样,都是如何控制一个无法控制的东西——通胀。今天大多数的美国通胀都是由供给原因所产生的,这些原因包括但不限于:能源和食品供应短缺,战争和地缘政治导致的供应中断,贸易规则冲突导致的全球供应链重构,以及长新冠(long-covid)和老龄化导致的劳动力缺口等。而这些因素对于利率并不敏感。今年6月,旧金山联储的研究《How Much Do Supply and Demand Drive Inflation》拆解了美国通胀的供给因素和需求因素的贡献,结果显示供给因素对于疫情后美国PCE通胀上升(4.8pp)的贡献,超过了一半;而需求因素对于CPI通胀上升的贡献,大概是三分之一。这并不令人感到意外,特别是考虑到俄乌战争之后,全球的能源和食品价格出现了剧烈的上涨。图1:供给因素对疫后美国PCE通胀上升的贡献超过一半一直以来,联储认为能够通过加息抑制需求来实现调控目标的通胀指标是核心通胀。但是这篇报告发现,供给因素对疫后美国核心PCE通胀上升(3.3pp)的贡献率也接近一半。尤其是核心通胀中占比70%的服务通胀,所面对的问题是结构性和持续性的劳动力供给短缺,这也是联储无法控制的因素。所以8月美国核心CPI从5.9%反弹至6.3%对于市场是个不小的震慑,因为这说明了联储通过加息控制通胀的做法基本没有效果。图2:8月美国核心CPI出现反弹虽然联储对于总体通胀中的能源和食品价格、地缘因素、供应链因素、劳动力因素等等束手无策,但是6月以来,联储出现了两个惊人且重要的转变。第一个转变是联储把货币政策的通胀目标,从“无法完全控制”的核心PCE,转向了“完全无法控制”的CPI。正常的货币政策规则是通过加息抑制房地产和消费品等核心需求,以实现降低通胀的目的。伯南克和耶伦时期的泰勒规则(伯南克规则、耶伦规则)采用的通胀率都是核心PCE,鲍威尔也没有公开修改过泰勒规则的通胀率指标。但是在今年6月议息会议的新闻发布会上,鲍威尔表示,“联储现在非常关心总体通胀,而不单是核心通胀,因为总体通胀与群众的通胀预期有关”。第二个转变是联储取消了对市场预期的前瞻指引,把每一次利率决议都交给了过去一段时间的数据所决定。这也令市场费解,联储为什么要丢掉赖以为豪的预期指引,转为一会一议,人为地制造市场波动呢?答案是联储算的不是“经济账”。如果算经济账,联储应该立即停止加息。因为在联储刚刚公布的SEP(季度经济预测)中,联储令人意外地大幅下调了今明两年的经济预测,22年美国GDP增速预测从6月1.7%下调至0.2%,23年增速预测从6月1.7%下调至1.2%。但是在对经济如此悲观的同时,联储又大幅上调了今年底的联邦基金利率目标,从6月的3.4%上调至4.4%,这意味着今年剩下的两次议息会议,联储预计还有125bp的加息。图3:九月联储FOMC经济和通胀预测这些在经济视角里无法解释的自相矛盾,其实都源于政治压力。联储不知道以上道理吗?当然不是,但政治不允许。根据realclearpolitcs上的民调结果,拜登的最新支持率仅有43%,不支持率有53%,拜登处理通胀问题的支持率只有33%,不支持率有65%。通胀问题是民主党中期选举的致命弱点,压通胀本该是拜登的“政治账”,但是失败的中东旅行只换来了10万桶增产,而且不久之后这10万桶又被减回去了。为了减轻政治责任,拜登把问题抛给了美联储,拜登今年以来数次就通胀形势发表讲话的原因,总统亲自喊话通胀施压联储,这在过去是罕见的。图4:拜登支持率仅43%金融市场关心的并不是(经济上的)通胀,以及联储是否真的能控制(经济上的)通胀,而是联储(为了政治)这次又要加息多少。因此预测联储的加息行为,核心不是预测通胀,而是理解联储的“政治账”。接下来,政治的关键节点是国会中期选举,时间在11月8日,这次将改选国会众议院全部席位和参议院三分之一席位。在中期选举之前,联储11月议息会议就会举行(11月1日-2日),所以11月联储可能仍要政治优先,但是12月13-14日的最后一次议息会议,将可能是联储的目标函数发生转变的关键时点。风险提示美国通胀超预期,美联储紧缩超预期,美国劳动力市场走弱超预期","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1092,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9932497229,"gmtCreate":1662971532461,"gmtModify":1676537173795,"author":{"id":"3569581951650623","authorId":"3569581951650623","name":"赞我的今年账户翻十倍","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d1d63378f07d4231f465c7cd27356410","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3569581951650623","authorIdStr":"3569581951650623"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9932497229","repostId":"1161581783","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1187,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9936553613,"gmtCreate":1662786046132,"gmtModify":1676537141638,"author":{"id":"3569581951650623","authorId":"3569581951650623","name":"赞我的今年账户翻十倍","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d1d63378f07d4231f465c7cd27356410","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3569581951650623","authorIdStr":"3569581951650623"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"666","listText":"666","text":"666","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9936553613","repostId":"1144561403","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1308,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9939622995,"gmtCreate":1662100183817,"gmtModify":1676536997897,"author":{"id":"3569581951650623","authorId":"3569581951650623","name":"赞我的今年账户翻十倍","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d1d63378f07d4231f465c7cd27356410","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3569581951650623","authorIdStr":"3569581951650623"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"hi","listText":"hi","text":"hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9939622995","repostId":"2264313229","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2264313229","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1662094668,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2264313229?lang=&edition=full_marsco","pubTime":"2022-09-02 12:57","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"气候法案激励节能产品投资,大摩上调设备制造商目标价","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2264313229","media":"智通财经","summary":"摩根士丹利表示,美国国会通过的税收和气候法案中的减税和退税将有助于推动销售,并于周四上调了供暖和制冷系统制造商的盈利预期和目标价。据了解,美国总统拜登上个月批准的《降低通货膨胀法案》激励了美国历史上对","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MS\">摩根士丹利</a>表示,美国国会通过的税收和气候法案中的减税和退税将有助于推动销售,并于周四上调了供暖和制冷系统制造商的盈利预期和目标价。据了解,美国总统拜登上个月批准的《降低通货膨胀法案》激励了美国历史上对节能产品的最大投资,该法案拨出210亿美元用于退税和联邦税收减免,用于在未来10年内改善人们的住房节能。</p><p>摩根士丹利分析师Joshua Pokrzywinski在报告中称,设备制造商最大的营收增长将来自用热泵取代空调和炉子的家庭。热泵是一种一体化的设备,可以更有效地冷却和加热房屋。Pokrzywinski称:“热泵技术在过去十年中不断改进,而且在更多地区也有可能采用。”</p><p>据悉,摩根士丹利在报告中提到的供暖和制冷系统制造商的股价在周四都上涨,截至周四收盘,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LII\">雷诺士</a>(LII.US)以3.64%的涨幅领涨,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JCI\">江森自控</a>(JCI.US)收涨2.79%,Trane技术(TT.US)收涨2.23%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CARR\">开利全球</a>(CARR.US)收涨1.71%,华斯科(WSO.US)收涨0.72%。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/637c45d88567b526fca728f0aa98469c\" tg-width=\"614\" tg-height=\"173\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>如上表所示,摩根士丹利对这些股票都上调了目标价,并给予江森自控、开利全球及Trane技术“增持”评级。</p></body></html>","source":"stock_zhitongcaijing","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>气候法案激励节能产品投资,大摩上调设备制造商目标价</title>\n<style 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n气候法案激励节能产品投资,大摩上调设备制造商目标价\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-09-02 12:57 北京时间 <a href=http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/786626.html><strong>智通财经</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>摩根士丹利表示,美国国会通过的税收和气候法案中的减税和退税将有助于推动销售,并于周四上调了供暖和制冷系统制造商的盈利预期和目标价。据了解,美国总统拜登上个月批准的《降低通货膨胀法案》激励了美国历史上对节能产品的最大投资,该法案拨出210亿美元用于退税和联邦税收减免,用于在未来10年内改善人们的住房节能。摩根士丹利分析师Joshua Pokrzywinski在报告中称,设备制造商最大的营收增长将来自...</p>\n\n<a href=\"http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/786626.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/24fa8350588843d92f819ac12ab5ce16","relate_stocks":{"MS":"摩根士丹利"},"source_url":"http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/786626.html","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2264313229","content_text":"摩根士丹利表示,美国国会通过的税收和气候法案中的减税和退税将有助于推动销售,并于周四上调了供暖和制冷系统制造商的盈利预期和目标价。据了解,美国总统拜登上个月批准的《降低通货膨胀法案》激励了美国历史上对节能产品的最大投资,该法案拨出210亿美元用于退税和联邦税收减免,用于在未来10年内改善人们的住房节能。摩根士丹利分析师Joshua Pokrzywinski在报告中称,设备制造商最大的营收增长将来自用热泵取代空调和炉子的家庭。热泵是一种一体化的设备,可以更有效地冷却和加热房屋。Pokrzywinski称:“热泵技术在过去十年中不断改进,而且在更多地区也有可能采用。”据悉,摩根士丹利在报告中提到的供暖和制冷系统制造商的股价在周四都上涨,截至周四收盘,雷诺士(LII.US)以3.64%的涨幅领涨,江森自控(JCI.US)收涨2.79%,Trane技术(TT.US)收涨2.23%,开利全球(CARR.US)收涨1.71%,华斯科(WSO.US)收涨0.72%。如上表所示,摩根士丹利对这些股票都上调了目标价,并给予江森自控、开利全球及Trane技术“增持”评级。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1263,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9995525262,"gmtCreate":1661484507158,"gmtModify":1676536528738,"author":{"id":"3569581951650623","authorId":"3569581951650623","name":"赞我的今年账户翻十倍","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d1d63378f07d4231f465c7cd27356410","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3569581951650623","authorIdStr":"3569581951650623"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/PDD\">$拼多多(PDD)$</a>hi","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/PDD\">$拼多多(PDD)$</a>hi","text":"$拼多多(PDD)$hi","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/68268f71bc9984651ec1abc35349f774","width":"1284","height":"2538"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9995525262","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1496,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9993748491,"gmtCreate":1660741450516,"gmtModify":1676536389788,"author":{"id":"3569581951650623","authorId":"3569581951650623","name":"赞我的今年账户翻十倍","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d1d63378f07d4231f465c7cd27356410","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3569581951650623","authorIdStr":"3569581951650623"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"hi","listText":"hi","text":"hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9993748491","repostId":"2260384344","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2260384344","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1660741050,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2260384344?lang=&edition=full_marsco","pubTime":"2022-08-17 20:57","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"思科即将公布Q4财报,瑞信予“跑赢大盘”评级","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2260384344","media":"智通财经","summary":"智通财经APP获悉,瑞士信贷分析师 Sami Badri予思科“跑赢大盘”评级,目标价为60美元。思科将于周三美股盘后公布2022财年第四季度业绩。Badri预计其营收为125.4亿美元,低于市场预期的127.8亿美元;预计每股收益为0.82美元,与市场预期持平。他指出,思科股价今年迄今已下跌了27%。Badri还表示,鉴于思科的软件业务非常依赖其硬件出货量,思科宣布一项“重大”收购的可能性“越来越大”。截至发稿,思科盘前跌0.28%,报46.64美元。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CS\">瑞士信贷</a>分析师 Sami Badri予<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CSCO\">思科</a>(CSCO.US)“跑赢大盘”评级,目标价为60美元。思科将于周三美股盘后公布2022财年第四季度业绩。Badri预计其营收为125.4亿美元,低于市场预期的127.8亿美元;预计每股收益为0.82美元,与市场预期持平。Badri还表示,从上个季度的业绩来看,思科的服务产品订单增幅可能会好于预期。</p><p>他指出,思科股价今年迄今已下跌了27%。投资者对思科的市场地位感到担忧,并担心其市场份额被Arista Networks(ANET.US)和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JNPR\">瞻博网络</a>(JNPR.US)的竞争对手抢占,这两家公司都上调了2022年的增长指引,而思科则没有。</p><p>投资者还担心,思科可能会放弃此前给出的指引,即到2025财年营收和利润的年增长率约为6%。该公司可能会进行大规模收购,以“加快营收向更独立的经常性来源转移”,甚至会下调毛利率预期,因为同行们都在这么做。</p><p>Badri表示,尽管该股价格低廉,但在最新季度报告出炉之前,投资者的情绪仍很低落。</p><p>Badri表示:“总的来说,我们认为,在毛利率略有提高的情况下,较低的营收增长预期是审慎的。”营收放缓的原因是供应链问题,以及俄罗斯和乌克兰业务的营收下降。</p><p>Badri还表示,鉴于思科的软件业务非常依赖其硬件出货量,思科宣布一项“重大”收购的可能性“越来越大”。这笔交易很可能会稀释公司股权。</p><p>尽管思科面临多个负面因素,但其股价低廉,自由现金流收益率为7%,而且毛利率和营业利润率基本保持不变。思科还解决了供应链问题和大型网络设备细分市场份额流失的问题,因此,Badri认为思科“有吸引力”。</p><p>截至发稿,思科盘前跌0.28%,报46.64美元。</p></body></html>","source":"stock_zhitongcaijing","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>思科即将公布Q4财报,瑞信予“跑赢大盘”评级</title>\n<style 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href=\"http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/773198.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fcf648d877622e2c1e436225928e02d1","relate_stocks":{"CSCO":"思科"},"source_url":"http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/773198.html","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2260384344","content_text":"瑞士信贷分析师 Sami Badri予思科(CSCO.US)“跑赢大盘”评级,目标价为60美元。思科将于周三美股盘后公布2022财年第四季度业绩。Badri预计其营收为125.4亿美元,低于市场预期的127.8亿美元;预计每股收益为0.82美元,与市场预期持平。Badri还表示,从上个季度的业绩来看,思科的服务产品订单增幅可能会好于预期。他指出,思科股价今年迄今已下跌了27%。投资者对思科的市场地位感到担忧,并担心其市场份额被Arista Networks(ANET.US)和瞻博网络(JNPR.US)的竞争对手抢占,这两家公司都上调了2022年的增长指引,而思科则没有。投资者还担心,思科可能会放弃此前给出的指引,即到2025财年营收和利润的年增长率约为6%。该公司可能会进行大规模收购,以“加快营收向更独立的经常性来源转移”,甚至会下调毛利率预期,因为同行们都在这么做。Badri表示,尽管该股价格低廉,但在最新季度报告出炉之前,投资者的情绪仍很低落。Badri表示:“总的来说,我们认为,在毛利率略有提高的情况下,较低的营收增长预期是审慎的。”营收放缓的原因是供应链问题,以及俄罗斯和乌克兰业务的营收下降。Badri还表示,鉴于思科的软件业务非常依赖其硬件出货量,思科宣布一项“重大”收购的可能性“越来越大”。这笔交易很可能会稀释公司股权。尽管思科面临多个负面因素,但其股价低廉,自由现金流收益率为7%,而且毛利率和营业利润率基本保持不变。思科还解决了供应链问题和大型网络设备细分市场份额流失的问题,因此,Badri认为思科“有吸引力”。截至发稿,思科盘前跌0.28%,报46.64美元。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1010,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9990554273,"gmtCreate":1660374942694,"gmtModify":1676533461818,"author":{"id":"3569581951650623","authorId":"3569581951650623","name":"赞我的今年账户翻十倍","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d1d63378f07d4231f465c7cd27356410","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3569581951650623","authorIdStr":"3569581951650623"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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