Profile - To The Moon

Tudor_B

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- Tudor_BTudor_B
  ·08-16
  $Applied Materials(AMAT)$
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- Tudor_BTudor_B
  ·06-20
  $Chime Financial, Inc.(CHYM)$
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- Tudor_BTudor_B
  ·05-15
  $UnitedHealth(UNH)$
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- Tudor_BTudor_B
  ·02-12
  $IONQ Inc.(IONQ)$ seem like positive news is coming
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- Tudor_BTudor_B
  ·2023-04-18
  $Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$
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- Tudor_BTudor_B
  ·2023-04-16
  $Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$
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- Tudor_BTudor_B
  ·2023-03-12
  Good
  Sorry, this post has been deleted
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- Tudor_BTudor_B
  ·2023-03-04
  Good
  3 High-Yield ETFs for Passive Income
  Reliable ETFs from Vanguard and BlackRock provide a starting point for income-oriented investors.
  3 High-Yield ETFs for Passive Income
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- Tudor_BTudor_B
  ·2023-03-04
  Good
  Why The Market Could Drop By Another 20%-25%
  SummaryWe've seen one heck of a rally since the market reached an intermediate-term bottom in mid Oc
  Why The Market Could Drop By Another 20%-25%
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- Tudor_BTudor_B
  ·2023-03-04
  Good
  These Dividend Stocks Can Double Your Money in Under 6 Years
  Doubling in under six years will lead to impressive market outperformance.
  These Dividend Stocks Can Double Your Money in Under 6 Years
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Financial, Inc.(CHYM)$</a>&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/CHYM\">$Chime Financial, Inc.(CHYM)$</a>&nbsp;","text":"$Chime Financial, Inc.(CHYM)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/447941890736424","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":643,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":435078315163896,"gmtCreate":1747239120032,"gmtModify":1747239122455,"author":{"id":"3570786631052765","authorId":"3570786631052765","name":"Tudor_B","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/7fc92093076da09696e6161335d7eb25","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3570786631052765","idStr":"3570786631052765"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/UNH\">$UnitedHealth(UNH)$&nbsp;</a>&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/UNH\">$UnitedHealth(UNH)$&nbsp;</a>&nbsp;","text":"$UnitedHealth(UNH)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/435078315163896","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":995,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":402589396111680,"gmtCreate":1739315743355,"gmtModify":1739315747407,"author":{"id":"3570786631052765","authorId":"3570786631052765","name":"Tudor_B","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/7fc92093076da09696e6161335d7eb25","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3570786631052765","idStr":"3570786631052765"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/IONQ\">$IONQ Inc.(IONQ)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>&nbsp; seem like positive news is coming&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/IONQ\">$IONQ Inc.(IONQ)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>&nbsp; seem like positive news is coming&nbsp;","text":"$IONQ Inc.(IONQ)$ seem like positive news is coming","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/402589396111680","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1113,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9944155660,"gmtCreate":1681752592750,"gmtModify":1681752595827,"author":{"id":"3570786631052765","authorId":"3570786631052765","name":"Tudor_B","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/7fc92093076da09696e6161335d7eb25","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3570786631052765","idStr":"3570786631052765"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/COIN\">$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>","listText":"<a 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Inc.(COIN)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>","text":"$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9944083260","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2203,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9949614824,"gmtCreate":1678587062668,"gmtModify":1678587067523,"author":{"id":"3570786631052765","authorId":"3570786631052765","name":"Tudor_B","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/7fc92093076da09696e6161335d7eb25","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3570786631052765","idStr":"3570786631052765"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9949614824","repostId":"2318756317","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2788,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9940201636,"gmtCreate":1677905052325,"gmtModify":1677905055933,"author":{"id":"3570786631052765","authorId":"3570786631052765","name":"Tudor_B","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/7fc92093076da09696e6161335d7eb25","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3570786631052765","idStr":"3570786631052765"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9940201636","repostId":"2316922136","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2316922136","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1677895726,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2316922136?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-03-04 10:08","market":"us","language":"en","title":"3 High-Yield ETFs for Passive Income","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2316922136","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Reliable ETFs from Vanguard and BlackRock provide a starting point for income-oriented investors.","content":"<div>\n<p>Thanks to their low costs, easy access, and sophistication, exchange-traded funds (ETFs) have steadily taken inflows for decades. As of Q4 2022, BlackRock estimates that ETFs make up 12.6% of equity ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2023/03/03/3-high-yield-etfs-passive-income-dividends/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>3 High-Yield ETFs for Passive Income</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n3 High-Yield ETFs for Passive Income\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2023-03-04 10:08 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2023/03/03/3-high-yield-etfs-passive-income-dividends/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Thanks to their low costs, easy access, and sophistication, exchange-traded funds (ETFs) have steadily taken inflows for decades. As of Q4 2022, BlackRock estimates that ETFs make up 12.6% of equity ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2023/03/03/3-high-yield-etfs-passive-income-dividends/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"VPU":"Vanguard Utilities ETF","HDV":"iShares High Dividend Equity Fun","IGF":"全球基础设施ETF-iShares"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2023/03/03/3-high-yield-etfs-passive-income-dividends/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2316922136","content_text":"Thanks to their low costs, easy access, and sophistication, exchange-traded funds (ETFs) have steadily taken inflows for decades. As of Q4 2022, BlackRock estimates that ETFs make up 12.6% of equity assets in the U.S. Today, there are sector-based ETFs and even ETFs that focus on a specific type of developing technology or industry.With so many options available, BlackRock forecasts the U.S. ETF industry to surpass $13 trillion in assets under management (AUM) by the end of this year and possibly $25 trillion in AUM by the end of 2027.Investors looking for ETFs that produce passive income have come to the right place. The Vanguard Utilities ETF, iShares Global Infrastructure ETF, and iShares Core High Dividend ETF are three foundational ETFs with exposure to top stocks across a variety of sectors. Here, three Motley Fool contributors outline what makes each ETF a great buy now.A high-quality yield you can count on, no matter the market cycleDaniel Foelber (Vanguard Utilities ETF): The Vanguard Utilities ETF isn't flashy. But it has many qualities that may appeal to a risk-averse investor focused on passive income.The fund tracks the performance of the utility sector, which is stable, less-volatile relative to the S&P 500. It also has a higher yield than the S&P 500. Vanguard Utilities ETF has a yield around 3% and consists mostly of regulated electric utilities.These businesses aren't fast growers because they work closely with government agencies to set reasonable prices for customers. However, many of these stocks aren't expensive.Another advantage of the Vanguard Utilities ETF is its low expense ratio. At just 0.10%, investors pay very little for Vanguard's services. The fund is also well diversified, which helps limit the risk of being overly invested in a single utility.Although regulated electric utilities tend to be safe, they are prone to significant risks, as we saw with the bankruptcy of Pacific Gas & Electric in 2019. A basket of utilities lowers the risk while unlocking an attractive dividend yield.The largest holding in The Vanguard Utilities ETF, NextEra Energy, has a track record for aggressive renewable energy investment and market outperformance. However, many other utilities have caught on and have implemented their own renewable energy strategies. For example, Dominion Energy is backing a $9.7 billion offshore wind energy project.Renewable energy provides a catalyst for long-term growth for these utility companies. And although NextEra Energy has proven that onshore wind and solar projects are profitable and cost-competitive with fossil fuels, offshore wind remains a much more speculative and costly energy source.A single stock tends to offer more potential upside than a balanced ETF. And while some investors may prefer to pick one utility over another, a safer approach is to go with the Vanguard Utilities ETF as a foundational holding and then build individual positions from there based on personal preference.A genuinely global infrastructure ETF for investorsLee Samaha (iShares Global Infrastructure ETF): Instead of trying to pick winners from a crowded field of infrastructure-related stocks, it makes sense to consider buying an infrastructure ETF that gives you diversified exposure and a 2.5% dividend yield to boot.A genuinely global ETF, iShares Global Infrastructure ETF has slightly more than 58% of its assets in international holdings. The ETF gives investors access to utilities (about 41% of assets), including gas, water, electricity, and renewable energy. Transportation (about 38%) gives investors exposure to airport services, highways/railways, and marine infrastructure. Finally, energy (about 20%) offers exposure to oil and gas storage and transportation.The ETF aims to benefit from increasing expenditure on infrastructure in a rapidly urbanizing world -- in other words, the increasing mass of people moving to live in cities, not least in the developing world, and the need for investment to build the infrastructure to support it. Alongside urbanization, there's a need to maintain and update critical infrastructure in the developed world, as evidenced by the $1.2 trillion Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act in the U.S.The ETF won't shoot the lights out in terms of performance, but it will offer a stable, diversified way to benefit from solid megatrends in the economy that won't go away, even in a recession.A conservative approach to collecting big passive incomeScott Levine (iShares Core High Dividend ETF): Picking up shares of a high-yield dividend stock is a great way to generate strong passive income. Of course, there are inherent risks with investing in a single equity. A high-yield ETF offers a great alternative for those looking to reduce the risks of investing in a single high-yield stock. And for those interested in lowering their risk even further, the iShares Core High Dividend ETF, with its forward dividend yield of 3.5%, is an especially attractive option.Unlike ETFs that have exposure to a particular industry, the iShares Core High Dividend ETF has exposure to multiple industries -- an appealing quality in that it mitigates the risk of a downturn in a particular sector.Take the energy industry, for example. Of the top three holdings in the iShares Core High Dividend ETF, two are energy stocks. As of Feb. 17, ExxonMobil and Chevron accounted for 9.5% and 5.6%, respectively, of the fund's holdings. Should energy prices plummet and remain low for a protracted period of time, ExxonMobil and Chevron could reduce their dividends; however, the ample exposure to other industries suggests that the ETF's dividend wouldn't be slashed.Another way in which the iShares Core High Dividend ETF offers a reduced risk profile is by using a conservative screening method to help identify potential holdings. According to BlackRock, the manager of the ETF, the screen looks to \"increase exposure to companies with healthy balance sheets\" and \"reduce exposure to companies with lower margins of safety.\"Any potential investors in an ETF can't say they've satisfied their due diligence without looking at the expense ratio. A high yield is great, but it means little if most of the distribution is coming at the cost of a high maintenance fee. Fortunately, in this case, there's no cause for concern; the iShares Core High Dividend ETF has an extremely reasonable expense ratio of 0.08%.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"HDV":0.9,"IGF":0.9,"VPU":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3429,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9940201842,"gmtCreate":1677905044286,"gmtModify":1677905047679,"author":{"id":"3570786631052765","authorId":"3570786631052765","name":"Tudor_B","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/7fc92093076da09696e6161335d7eb25","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3570786631052765","idStr":"3570786631052765"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9940201842","repostId":"1188147335","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1188147335","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1677896169,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1188147335?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-03-04 10:16","market":"other","language":"en","title":"Why The Market Could Drop By Another 20%-25%","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1188147335","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryWe've seen one heck of a rally since the market reached an intermediate-term bottom in mid Oc","content":"<div>\n<p>SummaryWe've seen one heck of a rally since the market reached an intermediate-term bottom in mid October.Incidentally, a textbook 20% bear market rally took the S&P 500 from 3,500 to 4,200 in about ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4584309-why-the-market-could-drop-more\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"seekingalpha_fund","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why The Market Could Drop By Another 20%-25%</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy The Market Could Drop By Another 20%-25%\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2023-03-04 10:16 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4584309-why-the-market-could-drop-more><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryWe've seen one heck of a rally since the market reached an intermediate-term bottom in mid October.Incidentally, a textbook 20% bear market rally took the S&P 500 from 3,500 to 4,200 in about ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4584309-why-the-market-could-drop-more\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4584309-why-the-market-could-drop-more","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1188147335","content_text":"SummaryWe've seen one heck of a rally since the market reached an intermediate-term bottom in mid October.Incidentally, a textbook 20% bear market rally took the S&P 500 from 3,500 to 4,200 in about three months.However, I'm highly skeptical that the worst is behind us.Unfortunately, inflation remains more persistent than anticipated, the Fed should continue tightening, and the economy will likely worsen as we advance.Furthermore, stocks are not cheap, and my \"all-in\" bear market bottom target remains 3,000-3,200, roughly 20%-25% lower from here.The S&P 500/SPX (SP500) had an excellent rally from its mid-October bottom at 3,500. After calling the bottom in my \"Stocks Are Heading Higher\" article, I indicated that the likely top for the rally would arrive in the 4,000-4,200. The market recently topped out around 4,200, after a textbook 20% bear market rally. Now, the SPX is at another critical inflection point, and despite a 6% correction from the recent high, the market could go significantly lower as we advance in the coming months. In addition to deteriorating technical conditions, inflation remains persistent.Moreover, we're seeing worsening economic indicators, implying that the increased rate environment reflects poorly on the economy. Furthermore, due to the persistent inflation problem, the Fed will probably continue raising the benchmark rate, remaining relatively hawkish. Consumer sentiment and other crucial consumer-related readings will likely worsen along with the labor market leading to more pain on Main Street. As corporate profits worsen in the near term, the stock market will probably head lower, causing some panic on Wall Street in the coming months.SPX - At Another Inflection PointSPX(StockCharts.com)The SPX is around critical support at 3,940 - 4,000, coinciding with the 50, and the 200-day moving averages. If the SPX decisively breaks down below this crucial support level, the market could swiftly drop to 3,800 support. If the 3,800 support breaks down, the market will likely retest 3,500 and move lower toward my long-term bear market bottom level at 3,000-3,200. This drop would equate to approximately 20-25% more downside from current levels. Unfortunately, due to the deteriorating fundamental factors surrounding the economy, there's a high probability that the SPX will revisit the 3,500 - 3,000 before achieving a true bottom. The peak-to-trough decline (4,800 to 3,000) would equate to a drop of approximately 38%, easily comparable to previous bear markets in recent history.There's a ChanceAlthough the probability is relatively low, SPX's support could hold here, and we may see the market rebound and move higher. However, due to the challenging macroeconomic environment, the near-term upside is likely limited, and the path of least resistance is to the downside now. Also, it's premature to call an end to the bear market, and I am highly skeptical that a new bull market began in October and that the SPX will reach new highs soon.Why Inflation Remains a Big ProblemCPI InflationCPI(TradingEconomics.com )Inflation peaked at around 9% last year, and the Fed has raised rates significantly, utilizing other programs like QT to bring the inflation problem under control. There's been some success as inflation has come down from the ultra-high levels not seen in the last forty years. Nevertheless, inflation is still running red hot above 6%, while the Fed's target rate remains at 2%. Moreover, after several months of constructive inflation readings, January's CPI came in hotter than expected.The Recent CPI ReportCPI (January)(Investing.com )The market expected a drop to 6.2%, but the CPI came in at 6.4%, missing estimates and barely budging from the prior month's reading of 6.5%. Moreover, it's not just the CPI. Other critical inflation readings like the PCE also reversed, coming in hotter than anticipated.PCE InflationPCE inflation(Investing.com )The PCE inflation readings were substantially higher than expected. We see the PCE at 5.4% vs. the expected 5%. Moreover, the PCE was even higher than the previous month's 5.3% reading. So, inflation is moving in the wrong direction, and this trend of persistently higher-than-expected inflation could continue. Furthermore, the PCE reading is critical as it's the Fed's preferred inflation gauge. Therefore, we will likely continue seeing tighter monetary for longer, which is a negative development for stocks and other risk assets.Is the Fed Doing Too Much or Not Enough?Unfortunately, the Fed is between a rock and a hard place. Remember all that talk about inflation being a transitory phenomenon and everything should be fine? I remember this specific rhetoric as the Fed printed money like there was no tomorrow. I always expressed that inflation would not be as \"transitory\" as the Fed claimed and that the economy would suffer significantly. Well, here we are. The Fed is battling highly persistent inflation, anything but transitory, and the economy is worsening considerably.The Worsening EconomyHave you seen the recent economic readings? I see many problems, and they're not likely to go away anytime soon. Let's put inflation aside and look at some troubling critical economic data that's come out recently.Just from the start of February, we've seenISM manufacturing PMI, factory orders, consumer expectations, industrial production, building, housing, GDP, consumer confidence, oil inventories, and other crucial data points come in worse than expected. Moreover, the worse-than-expected data is coming in below lowered estimates, and even most of the better-than-anticipated data does not look great.Is the Labor Market an Exception?Jobs data(Investing.com)The latest nonfarm payrolls report came in significantly better than expected. The economy added 517K jobs while expectations were for 185K. The unemployment rate also dropped to a rock bottom of 3.4%. So, how can the economy worsen while the labor market remains this robust? First, the labor market data is a lagging indicator, not indicative of future results. Secondly, the labor market appeared very strong in other cycles just before the worst part of a downturn began. And thirdly, the labor market may be one of the last dominoes standing, and when it falls, it could drag the stock market substantially lower. We've recently seen numerous companies reporting mass layoffs. These firings take time to filter through the system and should impact payroll reports negatively in the coming months. Moreover, not all jobs are the same. As major corporations cut hundreds of thousands of relatively high-paying jobs to improve efficiency and increase profitability, those fortunate enough to find new jobs will likely fill lower-paying positions. As this phenomenon persists, millions of consumers could suffer due to being pinched from multiple sides by high inflation and lower wages.Valuations Are Not Cheap AnymoreWe've seen many companies' earnings stagnate or decline in recent quarters. As the consumer continues to soften, lower earnings could continue as we advance in the near/intermediate term. Also, we've seen many stocks appreciate considerably in the recent rally. Thus, while many valuations appeared cheap and attractive, with the SPX around 3,500, many companies are not cheap anymore and could become even more expensive as earnings and future estimates stumble in the coming months.Shiller P/E RatioShiller P/E(multpl.com)We've seen the Shiller P/E (cyclically adjusted \"CAPE\") ratio come down some from the bubble days of November 2021. However, at around 29, the CAPE is still highly elevated, implying that most stocks are not cheap and likely have more room to fall as we grind through this bear market. The historical mean for the CAPE is 17, roughly 40% below its current level. If the CAPE reverts to its mean in this bear market, we could see the SPX bottom around 2,400. However, this ultra-bearish 50% peak-to-trough decline scenario is not a high-probability event due to the Fed and other factors. Nevertheless, the CAPE should move lower before going higher again, and my estimate for a bottom is around the 22-23 level, roughly in line with the 3,000-3,200 level in the SPX.The Bottom LineWe've seen a textbook 20% bear market rally lift stocks from the profoundly oversold 3,500 level in the SPX. Many stocks have appreciated considerably, some by 100% or more in this relatively short time frame. However, the rally ended around 4,200 due to the lack of constructive catalysts capable of propelling stocks into a new bull market. Moreover, we see persistently high inflation, and the recent progress is overshadowed by the higher-than-anticipated inflation results last month. Therefore, the Fed will likely continue raising interest rates and could remain hawkish for longer as the inflation problem persists.Moreover, critical economic indicators and many corporate profits continue worsening, implying more pain ahead for Main Street and Wall Street. Furthermore, most stocks are not cheap here. Thus, many could drop precipitously if the selling accelerates. If SPX breaks below support (decisively) around 4,000, it could cascade to 3,800 next and 3,500 or lower afterward. My bear market bottom \"all-in\" buy-in range remains around 3,000-3,200, roughly 20-25% below current levels.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2213,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9940201183,"gmtCreate":1677905034543,"gmtModify":1677905038503,"author":{"id":"3570786631052765","authorId":"3570786631052765","name":"Tudor_B","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/7fc92093076da09696e6161335d7eb25","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3570786631052765","idStr":"3570786631052765"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":16,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9940201183","repostId":"2316275479","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2316275479","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1677896175,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2316275479?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-03-04 10:16","market":"us","language":"en","title":"These Dividend Stocks Can Double Your Money in Under 6 Years","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2316275479","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Doubling in under six years will lead to impressive market outperformance.","content":"<div>\n<p>As a rule of thumb, the S&P 500 doubles once every seven to eight years. If you can consistently find stocks with the potential to double in six years, then you've got a market-beating strategy that ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2023/03/03/these-dividend-stocks-can-double-your-money-in-und/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>These Dividend Stocks Can Double Your Money in Under 6 Years</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThese Dividend Stocks Can Double Your Money in Under 6 Years\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2023-03-04 10:16 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2023/03/03/these-dividend-stocks-can-double-your-money-in-und/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>As a rule of thumb, the S&P 500 doubles once every seven to eight years. If you can consistently find stocks with the potential to double in six years, then you've got a market-beating strategy that ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2023/03/03/these-dividend-stocks-can-double-your-money-in-und/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSM":"台积电","PLD":"安博","V":"Visa"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2023/03/03/these-dividend-stocks-can-double-your-money-in-und/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2316275479","content_text":"As a rule of thumb, the S&P 500 doubles once every seven to eight years. If you can consistently find stocks with the potential to double in six years, then you've got a market-beating strategy that can place you well ahead of the pack.To double in six years requires a compound annual growth rate of 12.3%. While outright growth can achieve this, dividends from more mature companies can also play a crucial role in achieving this level of outperformance. So let's take a look at some dividend stocks that could double in six years.1. Taiwan SemiconductorTaiwan Semiconductor emerged as one of the top semiconductor foundries worldwide. Its cutting-edge processes with 3nm (nanometer) and 5nm chips have given it a key technological edge over many other chipmakers, which has helped power the stock to massive growth.Unlike other chip companies, Taiwan Semiconductor doesn't market its chips to consumers. Instead, it produces chips for some of the tech leaders like Apple and Nvidia. However, as the electronics market loses steam, the chip industry may be going through a downward phase in its usual cycle.Still, Wall Street analysts project flat revenue this year and expect it to deliver 21% growth in 2024. While earnings will likely fall this year thanks to a weaker chip market, Taiwan Semiconductor still trades a cheap 15.3 times forward earnings, which uses 2023 projections.Although the business may be in a downturn now, the chips Taiwan Semiconductor currently produces are still a worthwhile upgrade. Additionally, it's likely working on new technology that will become the next evolution in the chip space.With the stock sporting a 2% dividend yield, Taiwan Semiconductor is a strong candidate for a company that can outperform the market and double within six years.2. PrologisReal estate investment trusts (REITs) are tax-advantaged because they are required to pay out 90% of their earnings as dividends. REITs don't have to pay taxes on the dividends they pay because of this classification, so it provides shareholders with a generous dividend payout. Prologis is classified as a REIT and focuses on industrial warehouses. If you've seen a distribution center with concrete walls that sprung up seemingly overnight, that's the type of building Prologis owns. However, with warehouses in 28 cities in the U.S. and only in 19 different countires, Prologis has a lot of room for growth.The company estimates $2.7 trillion in goods flow through its distribution centers annually, accounting for nearly 3% of the world's GDP. With the current trend of commerce, it's likely that more distribution centers will be needed globally to support e-commerce buildout. With 98% of its buildings occupied during the fourth quarter, it's clear that the market opportunity hasn't been saturated either.Prologis also issued strong 2023 guidance, with core funds from operation (FFO, a metric REITs utilize to convey earnings better) expected to grow 9.5%. While that may not sound like market-crushing growth, it also pays a respectable 2.8% dividend yield. The growth and dividend combined yield a powerful combination that should fuel the stock to beat the market.With strong demand for warehouses still present, Prologis has a bright future ahead.3. VisaVisa's dividend isn't as generous as the others -- it only yields 0.75%. However, its growth potential surpasses Taiwan Semiconductor and Prologis.Visa's payment processing network is the largest of its kind and processed over $3 trillion in the first quarter of fiscal year 2023 (ended Dec. 31, 2022). From that $3 trillion, it generated $7.9 billion in revenue in the first quarter, indicating it takes about 0.26% of the volume it processes as fees for utilizing its network.As the world moves to a cashless society, Visa's processed payment volume will continue to grow, giving it the opportunity to expand its reach over the next six years. The stock is also historically cheap when assessed from a price-to-earnings standpoint.V PE Ratio data by YCharts.Additionally, Visa has paid a steadily growing dividend over the past 14 years and only pays out about 20% of its free cash flow, indicating management could substantially expand its dividend over the next decade.Visa is the largest payment processor of its kind, and it's unlikely we will revert to using more cash in the next six years, so Visa will stand to benefit from the shift. With Wall Street analysts projecting 10.4% and 11.1% growth in FY 2023 and 2024, Visa still has plenty of room to grow.Keep or reinvest the dividends?All three of these stocks more than doubled over the past six years, stomping the S&P 500. However, choosing to reinvest the dividends in the company instead of taking them paid off big time.V data by YCharts.On the bottom of the above chart is what happens when you reinvest the dividends; on the top is if you choose to take them in cash. As you can see, reinvesting the dividends made a huge difference in the performance of all three companies.If you don't need the cash flows and you believe the stock will outperform in the long run, then reinvesting dividends is a smart move. If I were to take a position in this trio today, I'd reinvest the dividends, as each company still has a bright future ahead.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSM":0.9,"V":0.9,"PLD":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2230,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"defaultTab":"posts","isTTM":true}