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GeraldLee

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- GeraldLeeGeraldLee
  ·2022-08-31
  공유해 주셔서 감사합니다!
  Apple: Buy Now And Think Outside The Box
  SummaryApple’s iPhone event was announced Sept. 7 amid concerns of growing macroeconomic headwinds.T
  Apple: Buy Now And Think Outside The Box
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- GeraldLeeGeraldLee
  ·2022-08-29
  엄마님...
  Sorry, this post has been deleted
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- GeraldLeeGeraldLee
  ·2022-08-29
  $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$So what's next after stock split? Anyone in a buying frenzy?
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- GeraldLeeGeraldLee
  ·2022-08-28
  세상에!!
  Nvidia: Guidance Is A Game-Changer
  SummaryMassive slowdown in the Gaming business is affecting Nvidia’s revenue prospects.Revenue guida
  Nvidia: Guidance Is A Game-Changer
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- GeraldLeeGeraldLee
  ·2022-08-25
  $Microsoft(MSFT)$공유해 주셔서 감사합니다! 파이팅!!💪 힘내세요!
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- GeraldLeeGeraldLee
  ·2022-08-22
  공유해 주셔서 감사합니다!
  Never Buy the Dip if You See These Red Flags
  These two warning signs could be an indication you're trying to catch a falling knife.
  Never Buy the Dip if You See These Red Flags
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- GeraldLeeGeraldLee
  ·2022-08-22
  $SINGAPORE AIRLINES LTD(C6L.SI)$Is it finally time to soar? Are your funds locked up in SQ? So many better options now. What will you get if you free up your funds?
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- GeraldLeeGeraldLee
  ·2022-08-21
  세상에!! 어떻게??
  Nvidia: Brace For Impact
  SummaryNvidia is going to submit its FQ2 earnings sheet next week Wednesday.Weak FQ3 revenue and gro
  Nvidia: Brace For Impact
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- GeraldLeeGeraldLee
  ·2022-08-21
  세상에!!
  Own Tesla Stock? You'll Have More Shares After the Stock Split
  Tesla's 3-for-1 stock split will take place at the close of trading on August 24, but you don't have to wait to determine how many shares you'll have in your account after the big day.
  Own Tesla Stock? You'll Have More Shares After the Stock Split
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- GeraldLeeGeraldLee
  ·2022-08-21
  공유해 주셔서 감사합니다!
  No, There Is No New Short-Selling Champion in Tesla Stock
  There was a stir in the Tesla investing community when a regulator filing indicated that asset manag
  No, There Is No New Short-Selling Champion in Tesla Stock
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주셔서 감사합니다!&nbsp;","listText":"공유해 주셔서 감사합니다!&nbsp;","text":"공유해 주셔서 감사합니다!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9930265847","repostId":"1175758634","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1175758634","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1661959764,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1175758634?lang=&edition=full_marsco","pubTime":"2022-08-31 23:29","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Apple: Buy Now And Think Outside The Box","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1175758634","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryApple’s iPhone event was announced Sept. 7 amid concerns of growing macroeconomic headwinds.T","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Summary</p><ul><li>Apple’s iPhone event was announced Sept. 7 amid concerns of growing macroeconomic headwinds.</li><li>The earlier than usual timing of Apple’s iPhone event signifies its supply chain problems from 2021 have been eliminated, a tailwind for a strong iPhone 14 introduction.</li><li>Although smartphone sales have slowed in 2022, Apple’s shipments and market share have actually increased.</li><li>Apple&#39;s lack of quantitative guidance for the quarter adds to speculation and complicates investment strategy.</li><li>I see strong growth potential for Apple from microeconomic factors limited by macroeconomic uncertainties.</li></ul><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple</a> stock has been under pressure since the end July 2022 when research companies started publishing disappointing Q2 smartphone shipments and when Micron (MU) presented dire guidance on memory sales following a slowdown in consumer electronicsproducts like smartphone and PCs.</p><p>In this article, I present my thesis that suggests Apple’s flagship smartphone sales will be better than anticipated by a deep dive into 1H2022 results, as will its other products, in light of Apple’s lack of empirical guidance for F4Q.</p><p><b>Apple&#39;s September 7 Event - Earlier Than Usual A Positive With No Supply Chain Problems</b></p><p>Apple recently sent out invitations to its “Far Out” event slated to be held at the Steve Jobs Theater in Cupertino, California on Sept. 7. As seen in Table 1, all iPhone events since the iPhone 4S in 2011 were introduced later than the Sept. 7, 2022, date of the iPhone 14 event.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/451e6dca9b021a86a3b3e6149c2fc333\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"406\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>Apple</p><p><i>This suggests that Apple’s supply chain is under control and can deliver on time.</i> In previous years, several iPhones were introduced later than planned, primarily due to supply chain issues. The iPhone 12 was delayed because of 5G parts shortages.</p><p>Last year&#39;s iPhone 13 production ultimately fell 20% short of the initial plan in September and October. The root cause of delays revolved around the need for a supplier ramp of sensor-shift optical image stabilization to all four iPhone 13 models when Apple had only used sensor-shift stabilization on the iPhone 12 Pro Max, while the other models relied on OIS (optical image stabilization).</p><p>Even with the iPhone 14 development, there have been glitches in the camera coating. Rear cameras that Taiwan’s Genius Electronic Optical Co. supplied experienced coating-crack quality issues. As a result, Apple had to move 10 million lens orders to Largan Precision to prevent iPhone 14 shipment delays.</p><p><b>Smartphone Shipments May Be Down, But Apple is Up – A Positive</b></p><p>Much of the negative news surrounding the consumer electronics market is a headline that&#39;s not well thought out. Indeed, smartphone shipments decreased on a YoY basis, but Apple shipments increased.</p><p>Research firm Counterpoint Researchsaidthat Apple saw 147% year-over-year growth in the $1,000 and above portion of the smartphone market, accounting for 46% of the total market.</p><p>On aglobal basis, overall smartphone shipments fell -7% YoY to 291 million units in Q2 2022. But Apple shipped 48 million iPhones worldwide, up +3% YoY, for 16% global market share in Q2 2022, as shown in Chart 1. This is the highest second quarter market share for Apple over the past 10 years, at the expense of leading Chinese brands who were hampered by the sluggish performance in both home and overseas market. Apple had a good quarter, led by iPhone 13 series which continued to ramp up volumes in US, China and other key markets, according to the company.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/35ce09c08e448a2b3f6e63ee6c14e875\" tg-width=\"296\" tg-height=\"352\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Strategy Analytics</span></p><p>Chart 1</p><h3>Will Dour Economy Influence iPhone 14 Sales?</h3><p>Macroeconomic headwinds have been a challenge for investors, particularly inflation. In the past month since Apple’s F3Q earnings call, these headwinds have abated somewhat. But the reasoning for moving up the Apple event Sept. 7 has raised speculation that it was done in light of the economic malaise impacting consumers prior to further negative news.</p><p>I see the move as an opportunity for Apple to<i>jump start</i>its supply chain economically since its delivery schedule appears to be stable with no glitches. This strategy will financially help suppliers of components as concerns of layoffs and redundancies are on the horizon. It&#39;s also geared to app developers, many of which are small businesses.</p><p>In the past two weeks on thepositive economic side:</p><ul><li>Consumer confidence reached 103.2 in August, an increase of 7.9 from the final reading of 95.3 for July.</li><li>Producer prices fell 0.5% in July from the month before.</li><li>Home prices jumped to a record high in the second quarter</li><li>U.S. consumer sentiment rose in early August to 55.1, continuing its climb from a record low earlier this summer as inflation expectations improved.</li><li>U.S. retail spending held steady in July, and excluding autos and gasoline, spending rose 0.7%.</li><li>Initial jobless claims inched down to a seasonally adjusted 250,000 last week, a sign the labor market is holding up.</li><li>Employers in the U.S. added about 462,000 more jobs in the year through March than the Labor Department originally estimated.</li><li>U.S. GDP fell less than previously thought in second quarter, contracting at a 0.6% annual rate from April to June, down from an initial 0.9% rate earlier.</li></ul><p>On the not-so-positive side:</p><ul><li>Durable-goods orders unchanged in July, as businesses pulled back on orders for long-lasting goods, reflecting a cooling in demand amid other signs of a slowing U.S. economy.</li><li>Consumer spending inched up 0.1% in July as inflation remained near a four-decade high.</li><li>New applications for unemployment benefits, which edged higher to 262,000 last week, have been on an upward trend since reaching a 50-year low in March.</li><li>Housing starts in the U.S. declined 9.6% in July from the month before as high inflation and higher mortgage rates make it more expensive to build and buy property.</li><li>U.S. existing home sales fell in July for the sixth straight month, the longest streak of declines in more than eight years, as higher mortgage rates and a shortage of homes for sale are cooling the market.</li><li>Businesses pulled back on orders for long-lasting goods, reflecting a cooling in demand amid other signs of a slowing U.S. economy.</li></ul><p>Keep in mind that the above issues are for the U.S. economy, and globally they could be very different. TheConference Boardforecasts global GDP growth of 2.7 percent for 2022 and 1.7 percent for 2023.</p><p>Given stronger-than-expected Q2 data and upward revisions to Q1, forecasts for the full year 2022 are revised upward for the Euro Area. But as headwinds are intensifying, the Conference Board lowered its 2023 GDP growth estimates.</p><p>The full-year 2022 GDP growth projection for China was downgraded by 0.3 percentage points to account for a weaker-than-expected services recovery in the second half of the year.</p><h3><b>Investor Takeaway</b></h3><p>Apple reported F3Q revenue of $63.4 billion with a June quarter revenue record for iPhone.</p><p>At itsF3Q earnings call, according to Luca Maestri - SVP &amp; CFO:</p><blockquote>“iPhone revenue grew 3% year-over-year to a June quarter record of $40.7 billion despite foreign exchange headwinds as customer response to our iPhone 13 family continue to be strong. We set June quarter records in both developed and emerging markets. And the iPhone active installed base reached a new all-time high across all geographies as a result of this level of sales performance combined with unmatched customer loyalty.”</blockquote><p>Table 2 shows Apple&#39;s revenues for FY2020 and FY2021 and my estimates for FY2022 to FY2024. I forecast that for FY2022 only the iPad will be impacted by the slowing demand for consumer electronics products. Other than that data metric, revenue for each product line will increase yearly.</p><p>Apple’s services revenue reaching $112 billion in FY 2024. Importantly, services will grow to 25.6% of total revenues in FY2024, up from 18.7% in FY2021.</p><p>Gross margin was guided sequentially lower (41.5-42.5% versus 43.3% in F3Q). Chart 2 shows Apple’s meteoric rise in gross margins over the past five-year period. In my opinion, the possibility of a guided drop holds less significance given it rose from 38% over the previous four years.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1cb1c84c3fdbe6c680c06f4b5ddd9064\" tg-width=\"634\" tg-height=\"416\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Chart 2</span></p><p>My main concern is that despite a positive scenario I presented in this article, technology stock performance continues to be strongly correlated with the 10-year Treasury Rate. I discussed this in detail in my July 1, 2022, Seeking Alpha article entitled “Why Are Tech Stocks Selling Off And What Is The Outlook?”</p><p>Chart 3 shows this correlation with Apple shares. U.S. Treasury yields rose again after Fed Chair Powell signaled further interest rate hikes last week. Uncertainty remains high over the course of inflation, energy prices, the war in Ukraine, and economic policy in China. That has resulted in a corresponding drop in Apple shares.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/687b5eefc5a181794d19e62d3abe4c8f\" tg-width=\"634\" tg-height=\"432\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Chart 3</span></p><p>While the 10-year Treasury Rate is increasing and responsible for technology shares decreasing, the two-year Treasury Rate is increasing faster. As shown in Chart 4, this has resulted in an inverted yield curve, with the 10-2 year spread at -0.30%.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2eab5a850395d356059c7c5ab760570b\" tg-width=\"634\" tg-height=\"450\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Chart 4</span></p><p>An inverted yield curve occurs when near-term risks increase. Investors demand relatively greater compensation from shorter-term Treasuries, and long-term expectations for the economy sour.</p><p>There have been six major US recessions, defined byat least two consecutive quarters of negative GDP growth, since 1976. Represented by gray panels in the below chart, all six recessions were preceded by the 10-2 spread going negative, and each recession occurred less than two years after the 10-2 spread first inverted.</p><p>Apple’s Sept. 7 iPhone 14 event will provide the press with information on increments of performance improvements beyond the iPhone 13. That seems to be standard operating procedure for Apple with each iteration of iPhone announced. However, it&#39;s the backdrop of this event that provides details about the health of the company amid macroeconomic concerns.</p><p>My attempts to “think outside the box” suggest to readers that the “bright spots” in Apple’s timing of the event (a positive) and its ancillary performance in iPhone shipments and market shares (a positive) are a buying opportunity for investors.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple: Buy Now And Think Outside The Box</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple: Buy Now And Think Outside The Box\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-08-31 23:29 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4538019-apple-buy-now-think-outside-the-box><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryApple’s iPhone event was announced Sept. 7 amid concerns of growing macroeconomic headwinds.The earlier than usual timing of Apple’s iPhone event signifies its supply chain problems from 2021 ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4538019-apple-buy-now-think-outside-the-box\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4538019-apple-buy-now-think-outside-the-box","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1175758634","content_text":"SummaryApple’s iPhone event was announced Sept. 7 amid concerns of growing macroeconomic headwinds.The earlier than usual timing of Apple’s iPhone event signifies its supply chain problems from 2021 have been eliminated, a tailwind for a strong iPhone 14 introduction.Although smartphone sales have slowed in 2022, Apple’s shipments and market share have actually increased.Apple's lack of quantitative guidance for the quarter adds to speculation and complicates investment strategy.I see strong growth potential for Apple from microeconomic factors limited by macroeconomic uncertainties.Apple stock has been under pressure since the end July 2022 when research companies started publishing disappointing Q2 smartphone shipments and when Micron (MU) presented dire guidance on memory sales following a slowdown in consumer electronicsproducts like smartphone and PCs.In this article, I present my thesis that suggests Apple’s flagship smartphone sales will be better than anticipated by a deep dive into 1H2022 results, as will its other products, in light of Apple’s lack of empirical guidance for F4Q.Apple's September 7 Event - Earlier Than Usual A Positive With No Supply Chain ProblemsApple recently sent out invitations to its “Far Out” event slated to be held at the Steve Jobs Theater in Cupertino, California on Sept. 7. As seen in Table 1, all iPhone events since the iPhone 4S in 2011 were introduced later than the Sept. 7, 2022, date of the iPhone 14 event.AppleThis suggests that Apple’s supply chain is under control and can deliver on time. In previous years, several iPhones were introduced later than planned, primarily due to supply chain issues. The iPhone 12 was delayed because of 5G parts shortages.Last year's iPhone 13 production ultimately fell 20% short of the initial plan in September and October. The root cause of delays revolved around the need for a supplier ramp of sensor-shift optical image stabilization to all four iPhone 13 models when Apple had only used sensor-shift stabilization on the iPhone 12 Pro Max, while the other models relied on OIS (optical image stabilization).Even with the iPhone 14 development, there have been glitches in the camera coating. Rear cameras that Taiwan’s Genius Electronic Optical Co. supplied experienced coating-crack quality issues. As a result, Apple had to move 10 million lens orders to Largan Precision to prevent iPhone 14 shipment delays.Smartphone Shipments May Be Down, But Apple is Up – A PositiveMuch of the negative news surrounding the consumer electronics market is a headline that's not well thought out. Indeed, smartphone shipments decreased on a YoY basis, but Apple shipments increased.Research firm Counterpoint Researchsaidthat Apple saw 147% year-over-year growth in the $1,000 and above portion of the smartphone market, accounting for 46% of the total market.On aglobal basis, overall smartphone shipments fell -7% YoY to 291 million units in Q2 2022. But Apple shipped 48 million iPhones worldwide, up +3% YoY, for 16% global market share in Q2 2022, as shown in Chart 1. This is the highest second quarter market share for Apple over the past 10 years, at the expense of leading Chinese brands who were hampered by the sluggish performance in both home and overseas market. Apple had a good quarter, led by iPhone 13 series which continued to ramp up volumes in US, China and other key markets, according to the company.Strategy AnalyticsChart 1Will Dour Economy Influence iPhone 14 Sales?Macroeconomic headwinds have been a challenge for investors, particularly inflation. In the past month since Apple’s F3Q earnings call, these headwinds have abated somewhat. But the reasoning for moving up the Apple event Sept. 7 has raised speculation that it was done in light of the economic malaise impacting consumers prior to further negative news.I see the move as an opportunity for Apple tojump startits supply chain economically since its delivery schedule appears to be stable with no glitches. This strategy will financially help suppliers of components as concerns of layoffs and redundancies are on the horizon. It's also geared to app developers, many of which are small businesses.In the past two weeks on thepositive economic side:Consumer confidence reached 103.2 in August, an increase of 7.9 from the final reading of 95.3 for July.Producer prices fell 0.5% in July from the month before.Home prices jumped to a record high in the second quarterU.S. consumer sentiment rose in early August to 55.1, continuing its climb from a record low earlier this summer as inflation expectations improved.U.S. retail spending held steady in July, and excluding autos and gasoline, spending rose 0.7%.Initial jobless claims inched down to a seasonally adjusted 250,000 last week, a sign the labor market is holding up.Employers in the U.S. added about 462,000 more jobs in the year through March than the Labor Department originally estimated.U.S. GDP fell less than previously thought in second quarter, contracting at a 0.6% annual rate from April to June, down from an initial 0.9% rate earlier.On the not-so-positive side:Durable-goods orders unchanged in July, as businesses pulled back on orders for long-lasting goods, reflecting a cooling in demand amid other signs of a slowing U.S. economy.Consumer spending inched up 0.1% in July as inflation remained near a four-decade high.New applications for unemployment benefits, which edged higher to 262,000 last week, have been on an upward trend since reaching a 50-year low in March.Housing starts in the U.S. declined 9.6% in July from the month before as high inflation and higher mortgage rates make it more expensive to build and buy property.U.S. existing home sales fell in July for the sixth straight month, the longest streak of declines in more than eight years, as higher mortgage rates and a shortage of homes for sale are cooling the market.Businesses pulled back on orders for long-lasting goods, reflecting a cooling in demand amid other signs of a slowing U.S. economy.Keep in mind that the above issues are for the U.S. economy, and globally they could be very different. TheConference Boardforecasts global GDP growth of 2.7 percent for 2022 and 1.7 percent for 2023.Given stronger-than-expected Q2 data and upward revisions to Q1, forecasts for the full year 2022 are revised upward for the Euro Area. But as headwinds are intensifying, the Conference Board lowered its 2023 GDP growth estimates.The full-year 2022 GDP growth projection for China was downgraded by 0.3 percentage points to account for a weaker-than-expected services recovery in the second half of the year.Investor TakeawayApple reported F3Q revenue of $63.4 billion with a June quarter revenue record for iPhone.At itsF3Q earnings call, according to Luca Maestri - SVP & CFO:“iPhone revenue grew 3% year-over-year to a June quarter record of $40.7 billion despite foreign exchange headwinds as customer response to our iPhone 13 family continue to be strong. We set June quarter records in both developed and emerging markets. And the iPhone active installed base reached a new all-time high across all geographies as a result of this level of sales performance combined with unmatched customer loyalty.”Table 2 shows Apple's revenues for FY2020 and FY2021 and my estimates for FY2022 to FY2024. I forecast that for FY2022 only the iPad will be impacted by the slowing demand for consumer electronics products. Other than that data metric, revenue for each product line will increase yearly.Apple’s services revenue reaching $112 billion in FY 2024. Importantly, services will grow to 25.6% of total revenues in FY2024, up from 18.7% in FY2021.Gross margin was guided sequentially lower (41.5-42.5% versus 43.3% in F3Q). Chart 2 shows Apple’s meteoric rise in gross margins over the past five-year period. In my opinion, the possibility of a guided drop holds less significance given it rose from 38% over the previous four years.Chart 2My main concern is that despite a positive scenario I presented in this article, technology stock performance continues to be strongly correlated with the 10-year Treasury Rate. I discussed this in detail in my July 1, 2022, Seeking Alpha article entitled “Why Are Tech Stocks Selling Off And What Is The Outlook?”Chart 3 shows this correlation with Apple shares. U.S. Treasury yields rose again after Fed Chair Powell signaled further interest rate hikes last week. Uncertainty remains high over the course of inflation, energy prices, the war in Ukraine, and economic policy in China. That has resulted in a corresponding drop in Apple shares.Chart 3While the 10-year Treasury Rate is increasing and responsible for technology shares decreasing, the two-year Treasury Rate is increasing faster. As shown in Chart 4, this has resulted in an inverted yield curve, with the 10-2 year spread at -0.30%.Chart 4An inverted yield curve occurs when near-term risks increase. Investors demand relatively greater compensation from shorter-term Treasuries, and long-term expectations for the economy sour.There have been six major US recessions, defined byat least two consecutive quarters of negative GDP growth, since 1976. Represented by gray panels in the below chart, all six recessions were preceded by the 10-2 spread going negative, and each recession occurred less than two years after the 10-2 spread first inverted.Apple’s Sept. 7 iPhone 14 event will provide the press with information on increments of performance improvements beyond the iPhone 13. That seems to be standard operating procedure for Apple with each iteration of iPhone announced. However, it's the backdrop of this event that provides details about the health of the company amid macroeconomic concerns.My attempts to “think outside the box” suggest to readers that the “bright spots” in Apple’s timing of the event (a positive) and its ancillary performance in iPhone shipments and market shares (a positive) are a buying opportunity for investors.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1399,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9997202367,"gmtCreate":1661814202161,"gmtModify":1676536581632,"author":{"id":"3574715591870441","authorId":"3574715591870441","name":"GeraldLee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7455e2a2eb175ec763af1f094563a53f","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574715591870441","authorIdStr":"3574715591870441"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"엄마님...&nbsp;","listText":"엄마님...&nbsp;","text":"엄마님...","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9997202367","repostId":"2262162956","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1606,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9997206162,"gmtCreate":1661814117558,"gmtModify":1676536581609,"author":{"id":"3574715591870441","authorId":"3574715591870441","name":"GeraldLee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7455e2a2eb175ec763af1f094563a53f","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574715591870441","authorIdStr":"3574715591870441"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$</a>So what's next after stock split? Anyone in a buying frenzy?&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$</a>So what's next after stock split? Anyone in a buying frenzy?&nbsp;","text":"$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$So what's next after stock split? Anyone in a buying frenzy?","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/aaf507a66dce432959dca85f617d7680","width":"828","height":"2818"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9997206162","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1303,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9994774923,"gmtCreate":1661722903964,"gmtModify":1676536563993,"author":{"id":"3574715591870441","authorId":"3574715591870441","name":"GeraldLee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7455e2a2eb175ec763af1f094563a53f","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574715591870441","authorIdStr":"3574715591870441"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"세상에!!&nbsp;","listText":"세상에!!&nbsp;","text":"세상에!!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9994774923","repostId":"1161837457","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1161837457","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1661645647,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1161837457?lang=&edition=full_marsco","pubTime":"2022-08-28 08:14","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Nvidia: Guidance Is A Game-Changer","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1161837457","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryMassive slowdown in the Gaming business is affecting Nvidia’s revenue prospects.Revenue guida","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Summary</p><ul><li>Massive slowdown in the Gaming business is affecting Nvidia’s revenue prospects.</li><li>Revenue guidance for FQ3 was a real shocker as the outlook underperformed estimates by $1.0B.</li><li>Nvidia’s FY 2023 revenue estimates are set for a major downward revision.</li></ul><p>Nvidia (NASDAQ:NVDA) finally released highly anticipated earnings for its second fiscal quarter of FY 2023. Part of the earnings report card was the outlook for Nvidia&#39;s third fiscal quarter, which was significantly worse than expected. Nvidia is seeing a massiveslowdown in its Gaming business due to weakening demand and pricing for graphics processing units which have supported the chip maker&#39;s results last year. Because of the size of the expected revenue drop-off in FQ3&#39;23, Nvidia&#39;s shares are likely set to correct further to the downside!</p><p><b>Nvidia&#39;s FQ2&#39;23 earnings card was as expected</b></p><p>Nvidia&#39;s second quarter results largely conformed with the release of preliminary results from the beginning of August. Nvidia guided for $6.7B in FQ2 revenues due to a 33% year-over-year top line decrease in the Gaming segment. Actual revenues for Nvidia&#39;s FQ2&#39;23 were indeed $6.7B, showing 3% growth year-over-year, but also a 19% drop-off compared to FQ1. Unfortunately, Nvidia&#39;s gross margins collapsed in the second fiscal quarter to 45.9%, showing a decrease of 21.1 PP quarter-over-quarter. The drop in revenues and gross margins was overwhelmingly caused by the Gaming segment which reported, as expected, a 44% quarter-over-quarter drop in revenues due toweakening demand for GPUs and declining pricing strengthfor Nvidia&#39;s graphic cards. Weakening pricing for GPUsalso affected AMDin the last quarter, but Nvidia is more reliant on GPU sales than AMD and therefore more affected than its rival by the slowdown in the industry.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9690c900cda9585b16d72361723e11ca\" tg-width=\"909\" tg-height=\"274\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>Nvidia: Final FQ2&#39;23 Results</p><p>Nvidia&#39;s Data Center revenues soared 61% year-over-year to $3.8B in FQ2 due to growing customer uptake of Nvidia&#39;s computing platforms that support data analysis and allow for the managing and scaling of artificial intelligence applications. Nvidia&#39;s Data Center business, because of the slowdown in the GPU segment, pulled ahead of Nvidia&#39;s Gaming segment regarding revenue generation in FQ2.</p><p>While Nvidia&#39;s Gaming business saw the biggest slowdown, the firm&#39;s &#39;OEM and Other&#39; business -- which includes the sale of dedicated cryptocurrency mining processors/CMPs -- also slumped. Nvidia&#39;s CMPs are used by cryptocurrency miners to validate transactions for proof of work cryptocurrencies like Ethereum (ETH-USD).</p><p>Nvidia doesn&#39;t break out how much of its OEM revenues are related to CMP sales, but crashing cryptocurrency prices in 2022 have not been good for business, obviously. Nvidia generated just $140M of OEM and Other revenues in FQ2, showing a decline of 66% year-over-year, due chiefly to decelerating demand for dedicated cryptocurrency mining processors. For those reasons, I don&#39;t see Nvidia developing its CMP business into a multi-billion dollar revenue opportunity, aspredicted previously, in the near term.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/021fa94ce8462c4eecb6cdfc173dd154\" tg-width=\"1058\" tg-height=\"578\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>Nvidia: Segment Revenue Trends</p><p><b>Nightmarish guidance</b></p><p>The most important piece of new information in Nvidia&#39;s release was the outlook for FQ3. Nvidia expects revenues of $5.90B plus or minus $118M, which would mark another 12% quarter-over-quarter decrease in consolidated revenues, which comes on top of the 19% quarter-over-quarter drop in revenues in FQ2. On an annualized basis, FQ3 revenues are down 29% compared to the beginning of the year, which marks a massive slowdown in Nvidia&#39;s business. The revenue downgrade for FQ3 occurred as Nvidia expects the Gaming industry to adjust to lower GPU demand and work throughhigh inventory levels. Nvidia&#39;s revenue guidance of $5.9B for FQ3 compares to aconsensus FQ3 estimate of $6.9B, meaning actual guidance was a massive $1.0B below the most recent revenue prediction.</p><p>I expected a sequential down-turn in revenues, led by Gaming, and projected FQ3 revenues to be between $6.0B to $6.2B, which reflected a sequential decline of up to 10%. Apparently, the situation in the Gaming industry is even more serious for Nvidia than expected, and it will affect how the market generates revenue estimates and values the stock going forward.</p><h3>My expectations for Nvidia going forward</h3><p>I expect Nvidia to continue to expand its Data Center business as demand for cloud computing, AI applications and hyper-scale platforms is only going to grow. However, I expect growth in this segment to be overshadowed by continual declines and pricing weakness in the Gaming segment. Worldwide PC shipments are expected to decline 9.5% (according toGartner) in 2022, but I believe the drop could be even larger if a deeper US recession were to bite.</p><p>Since there is no short-term solution to getting rid of high inventories in the PC industry, I expect pricing weakness in the GPU market to weigh on Nvidia&#39;s revenue potential. I also expect the pricing trend for both NVIDIA&#39;s GeForce RTX 30 and AMD&#39;s Radeon RX 6000 to remain negative, with larger discounts to the manufacturer&#39;s suggested retail price possible. Nvidia&#39;s RTX 30 GPU was available at a 9% discount to MSRP in July. Given the high inventory levels in the PC market paired with a drop-off in GPU demand, I expect Nvidia&#39;s flagship graphics card to trade at even higher discount to the MSRP going forward.</p><p>Because of the headwinds in the Gaming business, I expect Nvidia to generate about $27B in full-year revenues in FY 2023 (down from $28B), which means the chip maker could see no year-over-year growth whatsoever this year.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/297c23d10b4798c94de6cfa3ff793b91\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"802\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>NVDA Revenue (Quarterly YoY Growth) data by YCharts</p><p><b>Estimate and valuation risk</b></p><p>Nvidia&#39;s revenue estimates are now going to reset after the chip maker submitted a seriously bad guidance for its third fiscal quarter. As analysts incorporate Nvidia&#39;s FQ3&#39;23 revenue guidance into their projections, Nvidia is likely going to see a massive, broad-based reduction for its FY 2023 revenue predictions. Since lofty revenue expectations have been used to justify Nvidia&#39;s generous valuation, a reset of expectations has the potential to drive a downward revaluation of Nvidia&#39;s shares.</p><p>Nvidia&#39;s shares dropped 4.6% after regular trading yesterday and, I believe, the drop does not accurately reflect the seriousness of the sequential revenue downgrade. Nvidia currently has a P-S ratio of 12.2x, and if revenue estimates continue to fall, the valuation factor may even increase.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/92263effbea15a27a9d0154ceff211d1\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"852\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>NVDA Revenue Estimates for Current Fiscal Yeardata by YCharts</p><p><b>Other risks/considerations with Nvidia</b></p><p>I see two big risks for Nvidia at this point in time. The first one is that the slowdown in the GPU market may last for quite some time, meaning Nvidia may have to deal with slowing Gaming segment revenues for more than just one more quarter. This is because thePC market is in a declinewhich affects the shipment of Nvidia&#39;s GPUs. Secondly, revenue and earnings estimates, especially after the nightmarish guidance for FQ3&#39;23, will reflect a reset of growth expectations which in itself could lead Nvidia&#39;s shares into a new down-leg.</p><p><b>Final thoughts</b></p><p>Shares of Nvidia dropped 4.6% after the market closed, but I believe the sharpness of the expected revenue decline in FQ3 is not accurately reflected in this drop. The guidance truly is a game-changer because Nvidia&#39;s period of hyper-growth is ending.</p><p>Nvidia&#39;s outlook for FQ3&#39;23 revenues was $1.0B below expectations and the company is going through a major post-pandemic reset in the GPU market… which could affect Nvidia&#39;s valuation much more severely going forward. As estimates correct to the downside, Nvidia&#39;s valuation is set to experience more pressure!</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Nvidia: Guidance Is A Game-Changer</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNvidia: Guidance Is A Game-Changer\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-08-28 08:14 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4537353-nvidia-nvda-guidance-game-changer><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryMassive slowdown in the Gaming business is affecting Nvidia’s revenue prospects.Revenue guidance for FQ3 was a real shocker as the outlook underperformed estimates by $1.0B.Nvidia’s FY 2023 ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4537353-nvidia-nvda-guidance-game-changer\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NVDA":"英伟达"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4537353-nvidia-nvda-guidance-game-changer","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1161837457","content_text":"SummaryMassive slowdown in the Gaming business is affecting Nvidia’s revenue prospects.Revenue guidance for FQ3 was a real shocker as the outlook underperformed estimates by $1.0B.Nvidia’s FY 2023 revenue estimates are set for a major downward revision.Nvidia (NASDAQ:NVDA) finally released highly anticipated earnings for its second fiscal quarter of FY 2023. Part of the earnings report card was the outlook for Nvidia's third fiscal quarter, which was significantly worse than expected. Nvidia is seeing a massiveslowdown in its Gaming business due to weakening demand and pricing for graphics processing units which have supported the chip maker's results last year. Because of the size of the expected revenue drop-off in FQ3'23, Nvidia's shares are likely set to correct further to the downside!Nvidia's FQ2'23 earnings card was as expectedNvidia's second quarter results largely conformed with the release of preliminary results from the beginning of August. Nvidia guided for $6.7B in FQ2 revenues due to a 33% year-over-year top line decrease in the Gaming segment. Actual revenues for Nvidia's FQ2'23 were indeed $6.7B, showing 3% growth year-over-year, but also a 19% drop-off compared to FQ1. Unfortunately, Nvidia's gross margins collapsed in the second fiscal quarter to 45.9%, showing a decrease of 21.1 PP quarter-over-quarter. The drop in revenues and gross margins was overwhelmingly caused by the Gaming segment which reported, as expected, a 44% quarter-over-quarter drop in revenues due toweakening demand for GPUs and declining pricing strengthfor Nvidia's graphic cards. Weakening pricing for GPUsalso affected AMDin the last quarter, but Nvidia is more reliant on GPU sales than AMD and therefore more affected than its rival by the slowdown in the industry.Nvidia: Final FQ2'23 ResultsNvidia's Data Center revenues soared 61% year-over-year to $3.8B in FQ2 due to growing customer uptake of Nvidia's computing platforms that support data analysis and allow for the managing and scaling of artificial intelligence applications. Nvidia's Data Center business, because of the slowdown in the GPU segment, pulled ahead of Nvidia's Gaming segment regarding revenue generation in FQ2.While Nvidia's Gaming business saw the biggest slowdown, the firm's 'OEM and Other' business -- which includes the sale of dedicated cryptocurrency mining processors/CMPs -- also slumped. Nvidia's CMPs are used by cryptocurrency miners to validate transactions for proof of work cryptocurrencies like Ethereum (ETH-USD).Nvidia doesn't break out how much of its OEM revenues are related to CMP sales, but crashing cryptocurrency prices in 2022 have not been good for business, obviously. Nvidia generated just $140M of OEM and Other revenues in FQ2, showing a decline of 66% year-over-year, due chiefly to decelerating demand for dedicated cryptocurrency mining processors. For those reasons, I don't see Nvidia developing its CMP business into a multi-billion dollar revenue opportunity, aspredicted previously, in the near term.Nvidia: Segment Revenue TrendsNightmarish guidanceThe most important piece of new information in Nvidia's release was the outlook for FQ3. Nvidia expects revenues of $5.90B plus or minus $118M, which would mark another 12% quarter-over-quarter decrease in consolidated revenues, which comes on top of the 19% quarter-over-quarter drop in revenues in FQ2. On an annualized basis, FQ3 revenues are down 29% compared to the beginning of the year, which marks a massive slowdown in Nvidia's business. The revenue downgrade for FQ3 occurred as Nvidia expects the Gaming industry to adjust to lower GPU demand and work throughhigh inventory levels. Nvidia's revenue guidance of $5.9B for FQ3 compares to aconsensus FQ3 estimate of $6.9B, meaning actual guidance was a massive $1.0B below the most recent revenue prediction.I expected a sequential down-turn in revenues, led by Gaming, and projected FQ3 revenues to be between $6.0B to $6.2B, which reflected a sequential decline of up to 10%. Apparently, the situation in the Gaming industry is even more serious for Nvidia than expected, and it will affect how the market generates revenue estimates and values the stock going forward.My expectations for Nvidia going forwardI expect Nvidia to continue to expand its Data Center business as demand for cloud computing, AI applications and hyper-scale platforms is only going to grow. However, I expect growth in this segment to be overshadowed by continual declines and pricing weakness in the Gaming segment. Worldwide PC shipments are expected to decline 9.5% (according toGartner) in 2022, but I believe the drop could be even larger if a deeper US recession were to bite.Since there is no short-term solution to getting rid of high inventories in the PC industry, I expect pricing weakness in the GPU market to weigh on Nvidia's revenue potential. I also expect the pricing trend for both NVIDIA's GeForce RTX 30 and AMD's Radeon RX 6000 to remain negative, with larger discounts to the manufacturer's suggested retail price possible. Nvidia's RTX 30 GPU was available at a 9% discount to MSRP in July. Given the high inventory levels in the PC market paired with a drop-off in GPU demand, I expect Nvidia's flagship graphics card to trade at even higher discount to the MSRP going forward.Because of the headwinds in the Gaming business, I expect Nvidia to generate about $27B in full-year revenues in FY 2023 (down from $28B), which means the chip maker could see no year-over-year growth whatsoever this year.NVDA Revenue (Quarterly YoY Growth) data by YChartsEstimate and valuation riskNvidia's revenue estimates are now going to reset after the chip maker submitted a seriously bad guidance for its third fiscal quarter. As analysts incorporate Nvidia's FQ3'23 revenue guidance into their projections, Nvidia is likely going to see a massive, broad-based reduction for its FY 2023 revenue predictions. Since lofty revenue expectations have been used to justify Nvidia's generous valuation, a reset of expectations has the potential to drive a downward revaluation of Nvidia's shares.Nvidia's shares dropped 4.6% after regular trading yesterday and, I believe, the drop does not accurately reflect the seriousness of the sequential revenue downgrade. Nvidia currently has a P-S ratio of 12.2x, and if revenue estimates continue to fall, the valuation factor may even increase.NVDA Revenue Estimates for Current Fiscal Yeardata by YChartsOther risks/considerations with NvidiaI see two big risks for Nvidia at this point in time. The first one is that the slowdown in the GPU market may last for quite some time, meaning Nvidia may have to deal with slowing Gaming segment revenues for more than just one more quarter. This is because thePC market is in a declinewhich affects the shipment of Nvidia's GPUs. Secondly, revenue and earnings estimates, especially after the nightmarish guidance for FQ3'23, will reflect a reset of growth expectations which in itself could lead Nvidia's shares into a new down-leg.Final thoughtsShares of Nvidia dropped 4.6% after the market closed, but I believe the sharpness of the expected revenue decline in FQ3 is not accurately reflected in this drop. The guidance truly is a game-changer because Nvidia's period of hyper-growth is ending.Nvidia's outlook for FQ3'23 revenues was $1.0B below expectations and the company is going through a major post-pandemic reset in the GPU market… which could affect Nvidia's valuation much more severely going forward. As estimates correct to the downside, Nvidia's valuation is set to experience more pressure!","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1074,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9995969795,"gmtCreate":1661394588322,"gmtModify":1676536511179,"author":{"id":"3574715591870441","authorId":"3574715591870441","name":"GeraldLee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7455e2a2eb175ec763af1f094563a53f","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574715591870441","authorIdStr":"3574715591870441"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/MSFT\">$Microsoft(MSFT)$</a>공유해 주셔서 감사합니다! 파이팅!!💪 힘내세요!&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/MSFT\">$Microsoft(MSFT)$</a>공유해 주셔서 감사합니다! 파이팅!!💪 힘내세요!&nbsp;","text":"$Microsoft(MSFT)$공유해 주셔서 감사합니다! 파이팅!!💪 힘내세요!","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/a46d3cb6f25e6c98c5b4758884cbe974","width":"828","height":"2698"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9995969795","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1060,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9996571138,"gmtCreate":1661208225826,"gmtModify":1676536471607,"author":{"id":"3574715591870441","authorId":"3574715591870441","name":"GeraldLee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7455e2a2eb175ec763af1f094563a53f","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574715591870441","authorIdStr":"3574715591870441"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"공유해 주셔서 감사합니다!&nbsp;","listText":"공유해 주셔서 감사합니다!&nbsp;","text":"공유해 주셔서 감사합니다!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9996571138","repostId":"2261576225","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2261576225","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1661182417,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2261576225?lang=&edition=full_marsco","pubTime":"2022-08-22 23:33","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Never Buy the Dip if You See These Red Flags","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2261576225","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"These two warning signs could be an indication you're trying to catch a falling knife.","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>After you&#39;ve been investing for a while, you begin to see the bright side of share-price declines, because they often present opportunities to buy great companies at discounted prices.</p><p>Not every beaten-down stock is a good investment, though. Sometimes, stocks fall for good reason, and buying them after a significant crash is actually a value trap instead of a bargain opportunity.</p><p>To avoid catching falling knives, you have to be able to distinguish the quality companies the market is overlooking from the struggling businesses that will likely continue to face challenges. To that end, I never invest in beaten-down companies if I see these two red flags:</p><ol><li>The company will likely need to raise more money to fund operations.</li><li>The business is facing secular headwinds.</li></ol><p>Let&#39;s unpack these two concepts by looking at an example: <b>Peloton Interactive</b>.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://g.foolcdn.com/image/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fg.foolcdn.com%2Feditorial%2Fimages%2F695187%2Fman-riding-peloton-bike-and-smiling.jpg&amp;w=700&amp;op=resize\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"467\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Image source: Getty Images.</span></p><h2><b>Avoid zombies like the plague</b></h2><p>A zombie company is a business that is on a path toward insolvency unless it manages to raise additional capital, either in the form of an additional equity offering (selling more stock) or by taking on new debt.</p><p>These companies are completely dependent on new capital injections to survive, and when interest rates start to rise and the market becomes more averse to risk, they&#39;re often forced to take on new debt at very unfavorable interest rates, exacerbating their balance-sheet woes.</p><p>Peloton has certainly struggled in the last year with demand dropping off a cliff and operating expenses rising.</p><p>This led Dave Trainer, the CEO of the research firm New Constructs, to say the following in a recent publication: &#34;Peloton&#39;s issues are well telegraphed -- given the stock&#39;s decline over the past year -- but investors may not realize that the company only has a few months&#39; worth of cash remaining to fund its operations, which puts the stock in danger of falling to $0 per share.&#34;</p><p>Trainer&#39;s harsh comments are substantiated when you look at the company&#39;s shrinking cash position:</p><table><thead><tr><th><p>Metric</p></th><th><p><b>June 30, 2020</b></p></th><th><p><b>June 30, 2021</b></p></th><th><p><b>March 21, 2022</b></p></th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td><p>Cash*</p></td><td><p>$1.75 billion</p></td><td><p>$1.60 billion</p></td><td><p>$879 million</p></td></tr></tbody></table><p>Data source: Peloton earnings reports. *Includes cash equivalents and short-term investments.</p><p>The interactive fitness specialist is also burning cash at an accelerated rate, going from free-cash-flow positive in 2020 to reporting negative free cash flow for five straight quarters. And the fiscal third quarter saw the biggest outflow yet of $746.7 million.</p><p>While Peloton&#39;s newly appointed CEO, Barry McCarthy, is hoping to pull off the comeback of the decade, Peloton is a company that may soon be raising capital in an environment where doing so is no longer cheap.</p><h2><b>Pass on businesses operating in declining markets</b></h2><p>Another major red flag is when a company operates in an industry with major secular headwinds. Peloton had a tremendous first-mover advantage which it cashed in during the pandemic as the connected-fitness industry enjoyed a surge in popularity. But as things have started returning to normal, the at-home fitness sector has experienced a complete reversal with waning demand, which is visible in Peloton&#39;s rapidly slowing revenue growth.</p><table border=\"1\"><tbody><tr><th>Metric</th><th>Q3 2021</th><th>Q4 2021</th><th>Q1 2022</th><th>Q2 2022</th><th>Q3 2022</th></tr><tr><td>Revenue growth</td><td>141%</td><td>54%</td><td>6%</td><td>6%</td><td>(15%)</td></tr></tbody></table><p>Data source: Peloton earnings reports.</p><p>And Peloton is not alone. Rival fitness brand <b>Nautilus</b> recently announced a 70% decline in sales in the most recent quarter, while the parent company of NordicTrack scrapped its plans to go public this year among various rounds of layoffs.</p><p>The at-home fitness equipment industry may eventually live up to the hype, but for the foreseeable future, it faces an uphill battle as fitness enthusiasts elect to return to gyms and outdoor activities.</p><h2><b>Buy the dip, but do it intelligently </b></h2><p>I&#39;m a huge proponent of buying beaten-down stocks as long as they&#39;re high-quality companies. And to determine that, you need to be on the lookout for red flags.</p><p>As you can see with Peloton, the potential need to raise capital to fund operations (especially when interest rates are rising) and major industry headwinds are two indications the stock could be a falling knife instead of a diamond in the rough.</p></body></html>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Never Buy the Dip if You See These Red Flags</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNever Buy the Dip if You See These Red Flags\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-08-22 23:33 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/08/21/never-buy-the-dip-if-you-see-these-red-flags/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>After you've been investing for a while, you begin to see the bright side of share-price declines, because they often present opportunities to buy great companies at discounted prices.Not every beaten...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/08/21/never-buy-the-dip-if-you-see-these-red-flags/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","PTON":"Peloton Interactive, Inc.",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/08/21/never-buy-the-dip-if-you-see-these-red-flags/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2261576225","content_text":"After you've been investing for a while, you begin to see the bright side of share-price declines, because they often present opportunities to buy great companies at discounted prices.Not every beaten-down stock is a good investment, though. Sometimes, stocks fall for good reason, and buying them after a significant crash is actually a value trap instead of a bargain opportunity.To avoid catching falling knives, you have to be able to distinguish the quality companies the market is overlooking from the struggling businesses that will likely continue to face challenges. To that end, I never invest in beaten-down companies if I see these two red flags:The company will likely need to raise more money to fund operations.The business is facing secular headwinds.Let's unpack these two concepts by looking at an example: Peloton Interactive.Image source: Getty Images.Avoid zombies like the plagueA zombie company is a business that is on a path toward insolvency unless it manages to raise additional capital, either in the form of an additional equity offering (selling more stock) or by taking on new debt.These companies are completely dependent on new capital injections to survive, and when interest rates start to rise and the market becomes more averse to risk, they're often forced to take on new debt at very unfavorable interest rates, exacerbating their balance-sheet woes.Peloton has certainly struggled in the last year with demand dropping off a cliff and operating expenses rising.This led Dave Trainer, the CEO of the research firm New Constructs, to say the following in a recent publication: \"Peloton's issues are well telegraphed -- given the stock's decline over the past year -- but investors may not realize that the company only has a few months' worth of cash remaining to fund its operations, which puts the stock in danger of falling to $0 per share.\"Trainer's harsh comments are substantiated when you look at the company's shrinking cash position:MetricJune 30, 2020June 30, 2021March 21, 2022Cash*$1.75 billion$1.60 billion$879 millionData source: Peloton earnings reports. *Includes cash equivalents and short-term investments.The interactive fitness specialist is also burning cash at an accelerated rate, going from free-cash-flow positive in 2020 to reporting negative free cash flow for five straight quarters. And the fiscal third quarter saw the biggest outflow yet of $746.7 million.While Peloton's newly appointed CEO, Barry McCarthy, is hoping to pull off the comeback of the decade, Peloton is a company that may soon be raising capital in an environment where doing so is no longer cheap.Pass on businesses operating in declining marketsAnother major red flag is when a company operates in an industry with major secular headwinds. Peloton had a tremendous first-mover advantage which it cashed in during the pandemic as the connected-fitness industry enjoyed a surge in popularity. But as things have started returning to normal, the at-home fitness sector has experienced a complete reversal with waning demand, which is visible in Peloton's rapidly slowing revenue growth.MetricQ3 2021Q4 2021Q1 2022Q2 2022Q3 2022Revenue growth141%54%6%6%(15%)Data source: Peloton earnings reports.And Peloton is not alone. Rival fitness brand Nautilus recently announced a 70% decline in sales in the most recent quarter, while the parent company of NordicTrack scrapped its plans to go public this year among various rounds of layoffs.The at-home fitness equipment industry may eventually live up to the hype, but for the foreseeable future, it faces an uphill battle as fitness enthusiasts elect to return to gyms and outdoor activities.Buy the dip, but do it intelligently I'm a huge proponent of buying beaten-down stocks as long as they're high-quality companies. And to determine that, you need to be on the lookout for red flags.As you can see with Peloton, the potential need to raise capital to fund operations (especially when interest rates are rising) and major industry headwinds are two indications the stock could be a falling knife instead of a diamond in the rough.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1446,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9996573888,"gmtCreate":1661208153946,"gmtModify":1676536471577,"author":{"id":"3574715591870441","authorId":"3574715591870441","name":"GeraldLee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7455e2a2eb175ec763af1f094563a53f","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574715591870441","authorIdStr":"3574715591870441"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/C6L.SI\">$SINGAPORE AIRLINES LTD(C6L.SI)$</a>Is it finally time to soar? Are your funds locked up in SQ? So many better options now. What will you get if you free up your funds?","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/C6L.SI\">$SINGAPORE AIRLINES LTD(C6L.SI)$</a>Is it finally time to soar? Are your funds locked up in SQ? So many better options now. What will you get if you free up your funds?","text":"$SINGAPORE AIRLINES LTD(C6L.SI)$Is it finally time to soar? Are your funds locked up in SQ? So many better options now. What will you get if you free up your funds?","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/127852c8b3c70bb8c051574d16e261f8","width":"828","height":"2046"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":19,"commentSize":18,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9996573888","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2167,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"4116740221555182","authorId":"4116740221555182","name":"snoopy123","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/993baa95f9c0a3f8cfab2e2400c2818b","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"idStr":"4116740221555182","authorIdStr":"4116740221555182"},"content":"is this good news? [Surprised] Singapore Airlines passengers will no longer have to wear masks on some flights. https://str.sg/wDse","text":"is this good news? [Surprised] Singapore Airlines passengers will no longer have to wear masks on some flights. https://str.sg/wDse","html":"is this good news? [Surprised] Singapore Airlines passengers will no longer have to wear masks on some flights. https://str.sg/wDse"}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9996964378,"gmtCreate":1661118218396,"gmtModify":1676536453125,"author":{"id":"3574715591870441","authorId":"3574715591870441","name":"GeraldLee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7455e2a2eb175ec763af1f094563a53f","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574715591870441","authorIdStr":"3574715591870441"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"세상에!! 어떻게??&nbsp;","listText":"세상에!! 어떻게??&nbsp;","text":"세상에!! 어떻게??","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9996964378","repostId":"2260230425","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2260230425","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1661044219,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2260230425?lang=&edition=full_marsco","pubTime":"2022-08-21 09:10","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Nvidia: Brace For Impact","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2260230425","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryNvidia is going to submit its FQ2 earnings sheet next week Wednesday.Weak FQ3 revenue and gro","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>Nvidia is going to submit its FQ2 earnings sheet next week Wednesday.</li><li>Weak FQ3 revenue and gross margin guidance could push shares into a new down-leg.</li><li>Estimate risk is growing and Nvidia’s multiplier factor may be set for a contraction.</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7bbe252892fcfab408c6aa787222a5bf\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"720\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>serg3d</span></p><p>After Nvidia&#39;s (NASDAQ:NVDA) truly shocking pre-release of FQ2’23 earnings earlier this month, the chipmaker is getting ready to submit its full earnings scorecard next week. Nvidia’s earnings release is timed for August 24, 2022 and the company is goingto provide much anticipated details about the state of its Gaming business.</p><p>Given how quickly business fundamentals have eroded in the second fiscal quarter, I believe that Nvidia’s guidance for FQ3 will be very disappointing and likely include a second consecutive decline in gross margins. Since investors have not taken a “wait-and-see” approach after the release of preliminary results but piled back into the stock, investors might be in for a surprise of the not so positive kind next week!</p><p><b>Investors May Be In Denial</b></p><p>Nvidia’s preliminary results indicated a massive and rapid deterioration of business fundamentals, especially in the graphics card business, which has been affected by negative pricing headwinds and declining PC shipments. Based off of Nvidia’s preliminary results, the Gaming segment has seen a dramatic 33% year-over-year drop in revenues in FQ2, which caused the Data Center business to pull ahead to the number one spot regarding revenues.</p><p>Despite the unprecedented drop in revenues and gross margins, investors have bid Nvidia’s price up again in the last two weeks. Shares of Nvidia are now trading at about the same level they were trading at before the FQ2 pre-release… and investors act as if nothing ever happened.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/790621264d64d035912cc10a8b031b1a\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"802\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>NVDA data by YCharts</span></p><p><b>FQ3 Guidance Likely Going To Be Gloomy</b></p><p>After Nvidia’s devastating FQ2 earnings sheet, investors have likely not much to expect from Nvidia’s guidance for FQ3 either. The expectation is for $7.0B in revenues for Nvidia’s third fiscal quarter, implying a (2)% growth rate year-over-year. In the last 90 days, there were 20 revenue downward revisions. Considering that Nvidia grew its top line at 46% year-over-year in FQ1, a sequential drop-off in growth rates in FQ3 would strongly indicate that the current expansion cycle has ended.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d2309de2ab06c5ec02c6bf10ecd381b8\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"216\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Seeking Alpha: Nvidia Revenue Estimates</span></p><p>My expectation is for Nvidia’s FQ3 revenues to fall in a range of $6.2B to $6.4B -- which would mark a sequential decline of up to 7% -- and gross margins dropping below 40%. Nvidia’s preliminary earnings release for FQ2 showed gross margins of 46.1%, showing a decline of 21 PP quarter-over-quarter. Two sequential quarters of gross margin declines would likely indicate that the cyclical upswing in the chip making industry is ending, and that valuation multiplier factors are set to compress further.</p><p><b>Declines In PC Shipments May Accelerate In FY 2022, Rising Inventories Posing A Risk</b></p><p>Gartner’s estimate of a 9.5% decline in PC shipments in FY 2022 may be optimistic, and I see a sharper downturn ahead that is set to affect shipment volumes of Nvidia’s GPUs. After reaching a shipment peak in Q4’21, the PC market has seen two consecutive quarters of shipment declines, driven by weak demand.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/853d1b9d1e4ebadaefc19d42755630a8\" tg-width=\"708\" tg-height=\"421\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Counterpoint Research</span></p><p>Major vendors have seen highly concerning, double-digit declines in PC shipments, with HP seeing the steepest drop-off in shipments of 27% in Q2’22. The decline in shipment rates has affected all well-known PC brands, including Apple, Dell and Lenovo. The broad-based decline in shipments leads me to believe that the overall market decline in PC shipments could be significantly larger than the 9.5% decline projected by Gartner.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/28ccef7440328fc223163401f0651527\" tg-width=\"695\" tg-height=\"453\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Counterpoint Research</span></p><p>Equally concerning, inventory levels in the laptop industry have risen rapidly in FY 2021 and FY 2022, indicating that demand weakness has led to an inventory build-up that will have negative effects on the pricing power of original design manufacturers/ODMs for the foreseeable future.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a5cc2e689ce4ed2d02c1d2b760adb002\" tg-width=\"654\" tg-height=\"416\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Source: Counterpoint Research</span></p><p><b>A Weak Outlook Is Coming, Estimate Risks Are Rising</b></p><p>For those reasons, I expect pressure on Nvidia’s top line and bottom line estimates to increase in the next two weeks, which is when analysts are incorporating Nvidia’s FQ3 guidance into their expectations for full-year revenues. Most analysts, I believe, are standing ready to lower Nvidia’s FY 2023 revenue estimates further if the company submits another sequential down-grade in its revenue guidance.</p><p>Estimates for FY 2023 are currently calling for revenues of $29.3B, but I believe these estimates, given the shockingly fast speed of business deterioration in the second quarter, will have to be downgraded. I estimate that Nvidia could achieve $28B in revenues on a full-year basis in FY 2023, assuming that we are seeing a stabilization in the Gaming business in the third fiscal quarter. Nvidia had revenues of $26.91B in FY 2022, so my estimate for FY 2023 implies a revenue year-over-year growth rate of only 4%, which, by Nvidia’s standards, is a weak growth rate.</p><p><b>Sales Multiplier Factor</b></p><p>The preliminary release did not have a lasting effect on investors: Nvidia has about the same P-S ratio it had earlier this month.</p><p>Based on consensus revenues of $35.9B in FY 2024 (next year), Nvidia has a P-S ratio of 13.1 X. AMD&#39;s price-to-revenue ratio is 5.5 X and I believe AMD not only has a much more attractive valuation ratio but also better execution in the Data Center business.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ba905c28943a10dfe68f7b63c234dcd6\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"826\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>NVDA PS Ratio (Forward 1y) data by YCharts</span></p><p><b>Risks With Nvidia</b></p><p>A continual slowdown in the Gaming business, weak expected revenue growth for FQ3 and another sequential decline in gross margins are major short-term risk factors for Nvidia. But it could get worse from here: if weakening revenue momentum spreads to Nvidia’s Data Center business, which so far is not showing a deceleration just yet, then Nvidia may be set for a major revaluation to the down-side.</p><p><b>Final Thoughts</b></p><p>Things about to get worse for Nvidia next week and investors need to brace for impact. New details about the seriousness of the decline in the firm&#39;s fundamentals and the guidance for FQ3 will determine what happens to Nvidia’s shares in the short term. Investors must be prepared for a very weak FQ3 outlook due to PC market weakness and inventory build-ups, which could lead to broad-based revisions of Nvidia’s top and bottom line estimates!</p><p><i>This article was written by The Asian Investor. </i><i>This article is for reference only.</i></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Nvidia: Brace For Impact</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNvidia: Brace For Impact\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-08-21 09:10 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4535881-nvidia-q2-earnings-brace-for-impact><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryNvidia is going to submit its FQ2 earnings sheet next week Wednesday.Weak FQ3 revenue and gross margin guidance could push shares into a new down-leg.Estimate risk is growing and Nvidia’s ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4535881-nvidia-q2-earnings-brace-for-impact\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NVDA":"英伟达"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4535881-nvidia-q2-earnings-brace-for-impact","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2260230425","content_text":"SummaryNvidia is going to submit its FQ2 earnings sheet next week Wednesday.Weak FQ3 revenue and gross margin guidance could push shares into a new down-leg.Estimate risk is growing and Nvidia’s multiplier factor may be set for a contraction.serg3dAfter Nvidia's (NASDAQ:NVDA) truly shocking pre-release of FQ2’23 earnings earlier this month, the chipmaker is getting ready to submit its full earnings scorecard next week. Nvidia’s earnings release is timed for August 24, 2022 and the company is goingto provide much anticipated details about the state of its Gaming business.Given how quickly business fundamentals have eroded in the second fiscal quarter, I believe that Nvidia’s guidance for FQ3 will be very disappointing and likely include a second consecutive decline in gross margins. Since investors have not taken a “wait-and-see” approach after the release of preliminary results but piled back into the stock, investors might be in for a surprise of the not so positive kind next week!Investors May Be In DenialNvidia’s preliminary results indicated a massive and rapid deterioration of business fundamentals, especially in the graphics card business, which has been affected by negative pricing headwinds and declining PC shipments. Based off of Nvidia’s preliminary results, the Gaming segment has seen a dramatic 33% year-over-year drop in revenues in FQ2, which caused the Data Center business to pull ahead to the number one spot regarding revenues.Despite the unprecedented drop in revenues and gross margins, investors have bid Nvidia’s price up again in the last two weeks. Shares of Nvidia are now trading at about the same level they were trading at before the FQ2 pre-release… and investors act as if nothing ever happened.NVDA data by YChartsFQ3 Guidance Likely Going To Be GloomyAfter Nvidia’s devastating FQ2 earnings sheet, investors have likely not much to expect from Nvidia’s guidance for FQ3 either. The expectation is for $7.0B in revenues for Nvidia’s third fiscal quarter, implying a (2)% growth rate year-over-year. In the last 90 days, there were 20 revenue downward revisions. Considering that Nvidia grew its top line at 46% year-over-year in FQ1, a sequential drop-off in growth rates in FQ3 would strongly indicate that the current expansion cycle has ended.Seeking Alpha: Nvidia Revenue EstimatesMy expectation is for Nvidia’s FQ3 revenues to fall in a range of $6.2B to $6.4B -- which would mark a sequential decline of up to 7% -- and gross margins dropping below 40%. Nvidia’s preliminary earnings release for FQ2 showed gross margins of 46.1%, showing a decline of 21 PP quarter-over-quarter. Two sequential quarters of gross margin declines would likely indicate that the cyclical upswing in the chip making industry is ending, and that valuation multiplier factors are set to compress further.Declines In PC Shipments May Accelerate In FY 2022, Rising Inventories Posing A RiskGartner’s estimate of a 9.5% decline in PC shipments in FY 2022 may be optimistic, and I see a sharper downturn ahead that is set to affect shipment volumes of Nvidia’s GPUs. After reaching a shipment peak in Q4’21, the PC market has seen two consecutive quarters of shipment declines, driven by weak demand.Source: Counterpoint ResearchMajor vendors have seen highly concerning, double-digit declines in PC shipments, with HP seeing the steepest drop-off in shipments of 27% in Q2’22. The decline in shipment rates has affected all well-known PC brands, including Apple, Dell and Lenovo. The broad-based decline in shipments leads me to believe that the overall market decline in PC shipments could be significantly larger than the 9.5% decline projected by Gartner.Source: Counterpoint ResearchEqually concerning, inventory levels in the laptop industry have risen rapidly in FY 2021 and FY 2022, indicating that demand weakness has led to an inventory build-up that will have negative effects on the pricing power of original design manufacturers/ODMs for the foreseeable future.Source: Counterpoint ResearchA Weak Outlook Is Coming, Estimate Risks Are RisingFor those reasons, I expect pressure on Nvidia’s top line and bottom line estimates to increase in the next two weeks, which is when analysts are incorporating Nvidia’s FQ3 guidance into their expectations for full-year revenues. Most analysts, I believe, are standing ready to lower Nvidia’s FY 2023 revenue estimates further if the company submits another sequential down-grade in its revenue guidance.Estimates for FY 2023 are currently calling for revenues of $29.3B, but I believe these estimates, given the shockingly fast speed of business deterioration in the second quarter, will have to be downgraded. I estimate that Nvidia could achieve $28B in revenues on a full-year basis in FY 2023, assuming that we are seeing a stabilization in the Gaming business in the third fiscal quarter. Nvidia had revenues of $26.91B in FY 2022, so my estimate for FY 2023 implies a revenue year-over-year growth rate of only 4%, which, by Nvidia’s standards, is a weak growth rate.Sales Multiplier FactorThe preliminary release did not have a lasting effect on investors: Nvidia has about the same P-S ratio it had earlier this month.Based on consensus revenues of $35.9B in FY 2024 (next year), Nvidia has a P-S ratio of 13.1 X. AMD's price-to-revenue ratio is 5.5 X and I believe AMD not only has a much more attractive valuation ratio but also better execution in the Data Center business.NVDA PS Ratio (Forward 1y) data by YChartsRisks With NvidiaA continual slowdown in the Gaming business, weak expected revenue growth for FQ3 and another sequential decline in gross margins are major short-term risk factors for Nvidia. But it could get worse from here: if weakening revenue momentum spreads to Nvidia’s Data Center business, which so far is not showing a deceleration just yet, then Nvidia may be set for a major revaluation to the down-side.Final ThoughtsThings about to get worse for Nvidia next week and investors need to brace for impact. New details about the seriousness of the decline in the firm's fundamentals and the guidance for FQ3 will determine what happens to Nvidia’s shares in the short term. Investors must be prepared for a very weak FQ3 outlook due to PC market weakness and inventory build-ups, which could lead to broad-based revisions of Nvidia’s top and bottom line estimates!This article was written by The Asian Investor. This article is for reference only.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1060,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9996965550,"gmtCreate":1661118197672,"gmtModify":1676536453112,"author":{"id":"3574715591870441","authorId":"3574715591870441","name":"GeraldLee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7455e2a2eb175ec763af1f094563a53f","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574715591870441","authorIdStr":"3574715591870441"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"세상에!!&nbsp;","listText":"세상에!!&nbsp;","text":"세상에!!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9996965550","repostId":"2260345221","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2260345221","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1661043639,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2260345221?lang=&edition=full_marsco","pubTime":"2022-08-21 09:00","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Own Tesla Stock? You'll Have More Shares After the Stock Split","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2260345221","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Tesla's 3-for-1 stock split will take place at the close of trading on August 24, but you don't have to wait to determine how many shares you'll have in your account after the big day.","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Tesla</b> is joining its tech peers in a stock split this year. At the close of trading on August 24th, the electric vehicle maker will proceed with a 3-for-1 stock split.</p><p>If this is the first stock split you&#39;re participating in, we&#39;ll give you the scoop on how stock splits work and how many shares you can expect to have in your account.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/21f5974b9fb9775a06b2ede4da1d47a3\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Image source: Getty Images.</span></p><h2>Welcome to the world of stock splits</h2><p>Tesla isn&#39;t the first company to do a stock split in 2022 and probably won&#39;t be the last. Amazon and Google&#39;s parent Alphabet both completed 20-for-1 stock splits this year, pulling down the price of each individual share from a 4-figure price tag to 3-figures.</p><p>A stock split multiplies the number of shares that a company has outstanding. It does this by dividing a company&#39;s shares into additional shares. This lowers a company&#39;s share price and makes shares prices more affordable for the average investor.</p><p>You can think of a stock split like exchanging a $50 bill for five 10-dollar bills. Although the switch leaves you with more bills in your hand, the total value of your money adds up to the same amount. That&#39;s how a stock split works. You won&#39;t have more money in your account after the stock split, just more shares. If Tesla&#39;s stock is trading at $900 before the stock split, each share will be worth $300 after a 3-for-1 stock split. It all adds up to $900 worth of Tesla stock.</p><h2>How many shares of Tesla will you own after the stock split?</h2><p>You don&#39;t have to wait until the day of Tesla&#39;s stock split to figure out how many shares of stock you will own. Since the shareholders approved a 3-for-1 stock split at the 2022 annual shareholders meeting, you can run the numbers to figure out how many shares you will receive.</p><p>Below, we use Tesla&#39;s 3-for-1 ratio to calculate how many shares you&#39;ll own after August 24. The numbers on the left represent the number of shares you might have had on record as of August 17. The numbers on the right show how your shares will multiply after the stock split.</p><ul><li>1 share of Tesla stock = 3 shares</li><li>5 shares of Tesla stock = 15 shares</li><li>10 shares of Tesla stock = 30 shares</li><li>15 shares of Tesla stock = 45 shares</li><li>20 shares of Tesla stock = 60 shares</li></ul><p>If you never purchased a whole share of Tesla, that&#39;s not a problem. Shareholders with fractional shares will also see a difference in their account. You just need to calculate how many whole shares or partial shares you&#39;ll have after a 3-for-1 stock split based on your current fractional shares.</p><p>But if you participated in Tesla&#39;s last stock split in August 2020, you probably know how it all works. Let&#39;s say you had one share of Tesla before the 5-for-1 stock split. That one share would have turned into five shares in 2020. Now those five shares will turn into 15 shares after the stock split this month.</p><h2>More shares doesn&#39;t mean more profits</h2><p>The thought of more shares flowing into your account can be exciting. But don&#39;t confuse the number of shares with the value of your stocks. A stock split doesn&#39;t alter a company&#39;s total market capitalization or value. It divides shares into bite-sized pieces so that shares can trade at a lower price. The overall value of your shares will remain the same after a stock split.</p><p>So, if you&#39;re searching for long-term profits, make sure you do your research, focus on the fundamentals, and keep your eyes on high-quality businesses. Knowing that you have a good business in your portfolio can make a stock split a bit sweeter.</p></body></html>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Own Tesla Stock? You'll Have More Shares After the Stock Split</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nOwn Tesla Stock? You'll Have More Shares After the Stock Split\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-08-21 09:00 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/08/19/own-tesla-stock-youll-have-more-shares-after-the-s/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Tesla is joining its tech peers in a stock split this year. At the close of trading on August 24th, the electric vehicle maker will proceed with a 3-for-1 stock split.If this is the first stock split ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/08/19/own-tesla-stock-youll-have-more-shares-after-the-s/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/08/19/own-tesla-stock-youll-have-more-shares-after-the-s/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2260345221","content_text":"Tesla is joining its tech peers in a stock split this year. At the close of trading on August 24th, the electric vehicle maker will proceed with a 3-for-1 stock split.If this is the first stock split you're participating in, we'll give you the scoop on how stock splits work and how many shares you can expect to have in your account.Image source: Getty Images.Welcome to the world of stock splitsTesla isn't the first company to do a stock split in 2022 and probably won't be the last. Amazon and Google's parent Alphabet both completed 20-for-1 stock splits this year, pulling down the price of each individual share from a 4-figure price tag to 3-figures.A stock split multiplies the number of shares that a company has outstanding. It does this by dividing a company's shares into additional shares. This lowers a company's share price and makes shares prices more affordable for the average investor.You can think of a stock split like exchanging a $50 bill for five 10-dollar bills. Although the switch leaves you with more bills in your hand, the total value of your money adds up to the same amount. That's how a stock split works. You won't have more money in your account after the stock split, just more shares. If Tesla's stock is trading at $900 before the stock split, each share will be worth $300 after a 3-for-1 stock split. It all adds up to $900 worth of Tesla stock.How many shares of Tesla will you own after the stock split?You don't have to wait until the day of Tesla's stock split to figure out how many shares of stock you will own. Since the shareholders approved a 3-for-1 stock split at the 2022 annual shareholders meeting, you can run the numbers to figure out how many shares you will receive.Below, we use Tesla's 3-for-1 ratio to calculate how many shares you'll own after August 24. The numbers on the left represent the number of shares you might have had on record as of August 17. The numbers on the right show how your shares will multiply after the stock split.1 share of Tesla stock = 3 shares5 shares of Tesla stock = 15 shares10 shares of Tesla stock = 30 shares15 shares of Tesla stock = 45 shares20 shares of Tesla stock = 60 sharesIf you never purchased a whole share of Tesla, that's not a problem. Shareholders with fractional shares will also see a difference in their account. You just need to calculate how many whole shares or partial shares you'll have after a 3-for-1 stock split based on your current fractional shares.But if you participated in Tesla's last stock split in August 2020, you probably know how it all works. Let's say you had one share of Tesla before the 5-for-1 stock split. That one share would have turned into five shares in 2020. Now those five shares will turn into 15 shares after the stock split this month.More shares doesn't mean more profitsThe thought of more shares flowing into your account can be exciting. But don't confuse the number of shares with the value of your stocks. A stock split doesn't alter a company's total market capitalization or value. It divides shares into bite-sized pieces so that shares can trade at a lower price. The overall value of your shares will remain the same after a stock split.So, if you're searching for long-term profits, make sure you do your research, focus on the fundamentals, and keep your eyes on high-quality businesses. Knowing that you have a good business in your portfolio can make a stock split a bit sweeter.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1324,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9996965258,"gmtCreate":1661118186876,"gmtModify":1676536453110,"author":{"id":"3574715591870441","authorId":"3574715591870441","name":"GeraldLee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7455e2a2eb175ec763af1f094563a53f","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574715591870441","authorIdStr":"3574715591870441"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"공유해 주셔서 감사합니다!&nbsp;","listText":"공유해 주셔서 감사합니다!&nbsp;","text":"공유해 주셔서 감사합니다!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9996965258","repostId":"2260785313","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2260785313","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1661045446,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2260785313?lang=&edition=full_marsco","pubTime":"2022-08-21 09:30","market":"us","language":"en","title":"No, There Is No New Short-Selling Champion in Tesla Stock","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2260785313","media":"Barrons","summary":"There was a stir in the Tesla investing community when a regulator filing indicated that asset manag","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>There was a stir in the Tesla investing community when a regulator filing indicated that asset manager Deer Park Road made a seemingly huge bet against Tesla stock using put options. The stir is just a tempest in a teapot. There is no new short-selling champion for Tesla bears to hoist onto their shoulders.</p><p>A put option is, generally speaking, a bearish bet. It gives the holder the right to sell a stock at a fixed price in the future. Holders of put options do better the lower a stock price falls.</p><p>A quarterly regulatory filing indicated that Deer Park had amassed put-option contracts representing more than 4.8 million shares of Tesla (ticker: TSLA) stock. That much Tesla stock is worth roughly $4.3 billion at current prices. On the surface that looks like a massive bet.</p><p>But that isn&#39;t really the way options work. The price paid for an options contract depends on many factors including the strike price and time to contract expiration.</p><p>Consider Tesla put options that expire Friday Aug. 19, and give the holder the right to sell Tesla stock at about $800 a share are essentially trading for about one cent. Theoretically, amassing options contracts that reflect 4.8 million shares of Tesla could cost someone $48,000. That&#39;s a long way from $4.3 billion.</p><p>It wouldn&#39;t be a good idea, though. There isn&#39;t high probability that Tesla stock will drop about $100 in the final hour of trading Friday.</p><p>(There isn&#39;t much trading volume in those contracts. It&#39;s just an example.)</p><p>Deer Park Chief Investment Officer Scott Burg told Barron&#39;s the Tesla put-options position amounted to 0.1% of his portfolio. That isn&#39;t all that much, and indicates Deer Park probably paid the less than $1 per share represented the puts.</p><p>That isn&#39;t a lot for a stock worth about $900. That also means the put options were either expiring soon, or deeply out of the money, or both. Burg didn&#39;t get into contract specifics, but said the position was closed profitably. The tiny position is already gone.</p><p>Profits aren&#39;t hard to fathom. Tesla stock did fall, along with other technology shares, in the second quarter. Tesla stock dropped almost 38% from the end of March to the end of June while the Nasdaq Composite fell 22% over the same span.</p><p>Burg doesn&#39;t consider himself a big Tesla bear. He&#39;s says he is bearish on the overall economy and the consumer. He expects Tesla stock to struggle, but just like any other consumer discretionary stock this coming year.</p><p>The whole episode does illustrate an important lesson about options trading. There are many ways to use options in a portfolio.</p><p>Investors can buy options contracts far from current prices. They are cheap and only pay off if extreme events happen. They can also be used to bet on volatility. Options get more valuable as stock volatility rises and less valuable when volatility falls. Options can be used to hedge a portfolio, too.</p><p>What&#39;s more, bearish options bets can actually generate income for bullish investors. Take Tesla. It doesn&#39;t pay a dividend. If that irks some shareholders they can sell call options contracts. (Selling a call is similar to a put option. Both work out if the stock falls. It&#39;s a bearish bet.)</p><p>A Tesla holder selling a $900 call option that expires in September gets about $44. That&#39;s almost 5% the value of the Tesla stock. The risk with selling call options against stock held is that the stock could go up. If Tesla hit $1,000, that holder would have essentially sold some of his position for $900, missing out on the additional gain.</p><p>There are many other things pros do with options. People have careers trading options for brokerage firms and asset managers.</p><p>However, options don&#39;t indicate with certainty how someone feels about the stock that underlies the options contract.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>No, There Is No New Short-Selling Champion in Tesla Stock</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNo, There Is No New Short-Selling Champion in Tesla Stock\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-08-21 09:30 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.barrons.com/articles/tesla-stock-short-selling-51660942310?mod=RTA><strong>Barrons</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>There was a stir in the Tesla investing community when a regulator filing indicated that asset manager Deer Park Road made a seemingly huge bet against Tesla stock using put options. The stir is just ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/tesla-stock-short-selling-51660942310?mod=RTA\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/tesla-stock-short-selling-51660942310?mod=RTA","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2260785313","content_text":"There was a stir in the Tesla investing community when a regulator filing indicated that asset manager Deer Park Road made a seemingly huge bet against Tesla stock using put options. The stir is just a tempest in a teapot. There is no new short-selling champion for Tesla bears to hoist onto their shoulders.A put option is, generally speaking, a bearish bet. It gives the holder the right to sell a stock at a fixed price in the future. Holders of put options do better the lower a stock price falls.A quarterly regulatory filing indicated that Deer Park had amassed put-option contracts representing more than 4.8 million shares of Tesla (ticker: TSLA) stock. That much Tesla stock is worth roughly $4.3 billion at current prices. On the surface that looks like a massive bet.But that isn't really the way options work. The price paid for an options contract depends on many factors including the strike price and time to contract expiration.Consider Tesla put options that expire Friday Aug. 19, and give the holder the right to sell Tesla stock at about $800 a share are essentially trading for about one cent. Theoretically, amassing options contracts that reflect 4.8 million shares of Tesla could cost someone $48,000. That's a long way from $4.3 billion.It wouldn't be a good idea, though. There isn't high probability that Tesla stock will drop about $100 in the final hour of trading Friday.(There isn't much trading volume in those contracts. It's just an example.)Deer Park Chief Investment Officer Scott Burg told Barron's the Tesla put-options position amounted to 0.1% of his portfolio. That isn't all that much, and indicates Deer Park probably paid the less than $1 per share represented the puts.That isn't a lot for a stock worth about $900. That also means the put options were either expiring soon, or deeply out of the money, or both. Burg didn't get into contract specifics, but said the position was closed profitably. The tiny position is already gone.Profits aren't hard to fathom. Tesla stock did fall, along with other technology shares, in the second quarter. Tesla stock dropped almost 38% from the end of March to the end of June while the Nasdaq Composite fell 22% over the same span.Burg doesn't consider himself a big Tesla bear. He's says he is bearish on the overall economy and the consumer. He expects Tesla stock to struggle, but just like any other consumer discretionary stock this coming year.The whole episode does illustrate an important lesson about options trading. There are many ways to use options in a portfolio.Investors can buy options contracts far from current prices. They are cheap and only pay off if extreme events happen. They can also be used to bet on volatility. Options get more valuable as stock volatility rises and less valuable when volatility falls. Options can be used to hedge a portfolio, too.What's more, bearish options bets can actually generate income for bullish investors. Take Tesla. It doesn't pay a dividend. If that irks some shareholders they can sell call options contracts. (Selling a call is similar to a put option. Both work out if the stock falls. It's a bearish bet.)A Tesla holder selling a $900 call option that expires in September gets about $44. That's almost 5% the value of the Tesla stock. The risk with selling call options against stock held is that the stock could go up. If Tesla hit $1,000, that holder would have essentially sold some of his position for $900, missing out on the additional gain.There are many other things pros do with options. People have careers trading options for brokerage firms and asset managers.However, options don't indicate with certainty how someone feels about the stock that underlies the options contract.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1369,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"defaultTab":"posts","isTTM":true}