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Kevin29

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- Kevin29Kevin29
  ·2023-11-02
  [财迷]
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- Kevin29Kevin29
  ·2023-09-05
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  Pre-market changes | One Chinese concept stock rose 12%, Ctrip and Li Auto fell
  美股三大指数期货在盘前时段集体走低。
  Pre-market changes | One Chinese concept stock rose 12%, Ctrip and Li Auto fell
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- Kevin29Kevin29
  ·2023-04-25
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  DBS Downgrades OCBC and UOB to "Hold" As It Sees "Limited Catalysts for Now"
  DBS Group Research analyst Lim Rui Wen has downgraded both Oversea-Chinese Banking Corporation (OCBC
  DBS Downgrades OCBC and UOB to "Hold" As It Sees "Limited Catalysts for Now"
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- Kevin29Kevin29
  ·2023-04-19
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- Kevin29Kevin29
  ·2023-04-14
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  CPI report blows the final whistle! Is the Fed going to win?
  最新公布的CPI报告对于美联储和美国人的钱包来说，无疑是个好消息，更重要的是，这还释放出一个重要信号……
  CPI report blows the final whistle! Is the Fed going to win?
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- Kevin29Kevin29
  ·2023-04-11
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- Kevin29Kevin29
  ·2023-04-11
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- Kevin29Kevin29
  ·2023-04-11
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- Kevin29Kevin29
  ·2023-04-10
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- Kevin29Kevin29
  ·2023-04-10
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16:10","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"Pre-market changes | One Chinese concept stock rose 12%, Ctrip and Li Auto fell","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1195776321","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"美股三大指数期货在盘前时段集体走低。","content":"<p><html><head></head><body>On Tuesday, September 5, the three major U.S. stock index futures collectively fell during the pre-market session. The U.S. Department of Labor said last Friday (September 1) that as more Americans joined the labor force, the unemployment rate rose to 3.8% from 3.5% in July.</p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/03ce3291f7d4cb88236ebd6267ab6df3\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"871\" tg-height=\"318\"/></p><p><ul style=\"\"><li>Zai Lab rose nearly 12% before the market, and H shares closed up more than 5% today. On the news, the magituximab injection declared by Zai Lab has been approved for marketing in China, and the indication approved this time is for the third-line and above treatment of patients with metastatic HER2-positive breast cancer. In addition, according to data from the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, JPMorgan increased its holdings of Zai Lab H shares by 983,479 shares on August 29, with a total amount of approximately HK $17.8315 million.</p><p></li></ul></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/077a9a804a1742bce663dc11bd7ef215\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"450\" tg-height=\"128\"/></p><p><ul style=\"\"><li>MINISO rose more than 8% before the market. The overall performance of fiscal year 2023 announced recently reached a new high, with historic breakthroughs in both revenue and profitability. In addition, revenue in the fourth fiscal quarter reached a record high of 3.25 billion yuan.</p><p></li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7b192e14e55261af07125eea8177fe8e\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"450\" tg-height=\"133\"/></p><p><ul style=\"\"><li>Ctrip fell nearly 4% before the market. Ctrip's net operating income in the second quarter was 11.2 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 180%. In the second quarter, the net profit attributable to the company's shareholders was 631 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 814.49%. However, it decreased significantly by more than 81% from 3.4 billion yuan in the first quarter.</p><p></li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1caa13befef2026dcb3582da3d05c6fc\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"450\" tg-height=\"126\"/></p><p><ul style=\"\"><li>Popular Chinese concept stocks generally fell before the market. As of press time, Li Auto fell more than 4%, Keike fell more than 3%, Bilibili fell 2.89%, Alibaba, JD.com, Pinduoduo fell more than 1%, Nio fell 0.91%, and XPeng Auto fell 0.11%.</p><p></li></ul></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/446be267f7985be73050a10af713e8e2\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"450\" tg-height=\"131\"/></p><p><ul style=\"\"><li>Blackstone, Airbnb rose premarket. On the news, S&P Dow Jones Indices announced that Blackstone and Airbnb will join the S&P 500 Index, replacing Lincoln National and Neway Brands. The changes will take effect before trading starts on September 18.</p><p></li></ul></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8f30f525e0372bc04ad017e4d7b038db\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"450\" tg-height=\"128\"/></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4f777fccc9cf2127b605998921751471\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"450\" tg-height=\"129\"/></p><p><ul style=\"\"><li>Vietnamese electric vehicle manufacturer VinFast fell nearly 8% before the market, after falling for four consecutive trading days, with a cumulative decline of more than 64%. VinFast CEO Le Thi Thu Shui said recently that he was not worried about the company's stock price fluctuations after its listing on Nasdaq, saying that he believed in VinFast's potential, especially considering the rapid expansion of the electric vehicle ecosystem in Southeast Asia.</p><p></li></ul></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/94707d514394a5d5375ca6f211bbc635\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"450\" tg-height=\"129\"/></p><p></body></html></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Pre-market changes | One Chinese concept stock rose 12%, Ctrip and Li Auto fell</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPre-market changes | One Chinese concept stock rose 12%, Ctrip and Li Auto fell\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2023-09-05 16:10</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body>On Tuesday, September 5, the three major U.S. stock index futures collectively fell during the pre-market session. The U.S. Department of Labor said last Friday (September 1) that as more Americans joined the labor force, the unemployment rate rose to 3.8% from 3.5% in July.</p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/03ce3291f7d4cb88236ebd6267ab6df3\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"871\" tg-height=\"318\"/></p><p><ul style=\"\"><li>Zai Lab rose nearly 12% before the market, and H shares closed up more than 5% today. On the news, the magituximab injection declared by Zai Lab has been approved for marketing in China, and the indication approved this time is for the third-line and above treatment of patients with metastatic HER2-positive breast cancer. In addition, according to data from the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, JPMorgan increased its holdings of Zai Lab H shares by 983,479 shares on August 29, with a total amount of approximately HK $17.8315 million.</p><p></li></ul></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/077a9a804a1742bce663dc11bd7ef215\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"450\" tg-height=\"128\"/></p><p><ul style=\"\"><li>MINISO rose more than 8% before the market. The overall performance of fiscal year 2023 announced recently reached a new high, with historic breakthroughs in both revenue and profitability. In addition, revenue in the fourth fiscal quarter reached a record high of 3.25 billion yuan.</p><p></li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7b192e14e55261af07125eea8177fe8e\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"450\" tg-height=\"133\"/></p><p><ul style=\"\"><li>Ctrip fell nearly 4% before the market. Ctrip's net operating income in the second quarter was 11.2 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 180%. In the second quarter, the net profit attributable to the company's shareholders was 631 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 814.49%. However, it decreased significantly by more than 81% from 3.4 billion yuan in the first quarter.</p><p></li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1caa13befef2026dcb3582da3d05c6fc\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"450\" tg-height=\"126\"/></p><p><ul style=\"\"><li>Popular Chinese concept stocks generally fell before the market. As of press time, Li Auto fell more than 4%, Keike fell more than 3%, Bilibili fell 2.89%, Alibaba, JD.com, Pinduoduo fell more than 1%, Nio fell 0.91%, and XPeng Auto fell 0.11%.</p><p></li></ul></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/446be267f7985be73050a10af713e8e2\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"450\" tg-height=\"131\"/></p><p><ul style=\"\"><li>Blackstone, Airbnb rose premarket. On the news, S&P Dow Jones Indices announced that Blackstone and Airbnb will join the S&P 500 Index, replacing Lincoln National and Neway Brands. The changes will take effect before trading starts on September 18.</p><p></li></ul></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8f30f525e0372bc04ad017e4d7b038db\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"450\" tg-height=\"128\"/></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4f777fccc9cf2127b605998921751471\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"450\" tg-height=\"129\"/></p><p><ul style=\"\"><li>Vietnamese electric vehicle manufacturer VinFast fell nearly 8% before the market, after falling for four consecutive trading days, with a cumulative decline of more than 64%. VinFast CEO Le Thi Thu Shui said recently that he was not worried about the company's stock price fluctuations after its listing on Nasdaq, saying that he believed in VinFast's potential, especially considering the rapid expansion of the electric vehicle ecosystem in Southeast Asia.</p><p></li></ul></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/94707d514394a5d5375ca6f211bbc635\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"450\" tg-height=\"129\"/></p><p></body></html></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4f6ec6e99c0c8b9feb7f296b78c65a54","relate_stocks":{"ZLAB":"再鼎医药","LI":"理想汽车"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1195776321","content_text":"9月5日周二，美股三大指数期货在盘前时段集体走低。美国劳工部上周五(9月1日)表示，随着越来越多的美国人加入劳动力队伍，失业率从7月份的3.5%上升至3.8%。再鼎医药盘前大涨近12%，H股今日收涨超5%。消息面上，再鼎医药申报的马吉妥昔单抗注射液已在中国获批上市，本次获批的适应症为用于转移性HER2阳性乳腺癌患者三线及以上治疗。此外，港交所资料显示，小摩于8月29日增持再鼎医药H股98.3479万股，总金额约为1783.15万港元。名创优品盘前涨超8%。日前公布的2023财年整体业绩表现再创新高，营收及盈利双双取得历史性突破。另外，第四财季营收32.5亿元创下历史新高。携程网盘前跌近4%。携程二季度净营业收入为112亿元，同比增长180%。二季度归属公司股东净利润6.31亿元，同比大增814.49%。但较一季度的34亿元大幅减少逾81%。热门中概股盘前普跌。截至发稿，理想汽车跌超4%，贝壳跌超3%，哔哩哔哩2.89%，阿里巴巴、京东、拼多多跌超1%，蔚来跌0.91%，小鹏汽车跌0.11%。黑石、爱彼迎盘前上涨。消息面上，标准普尔道琼斯指数公司宣布，黑石和爱彼迎将加入标准普尔500指数，取代林肯国民公司和纽威品牌公司，变动将于9月18日交易开始前生效。越南电动汽车制造商VinFast盘前跌近8%，此前已连跌四个交易日，累计下跌超64%。VinFast首席执行官黎氏秋水日前表示，对公司在纳斯达克上市后的股价波动并不担忧，称其相信VinFast的潜力，尤其是考虑到东南亚电动汽车生态系统正在迅速扩张。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"ZLAB":1.1,"LI":1.1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2531,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9947027408,"gmtCreate":1682389872205,"gmtModify":1682389876940,"author":{"id":"3579135726453814","authorId":"3579135726453814","name":"Kevin29","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4bcf91fefd04d4906409e47143e582b0","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3579135726453814","idStr":"3579135726453814"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[财迷]&nbsp;","listText":"[财迷]&nbsp;","text":"[财迷]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9947027408","repostId":"1175829315","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1175829315","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1682329507,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1175829315?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-04-24 17:45","market":"sg","language":"en","title":"DBS Downgrades OCBC and UOB to \"Hold\" As It Sees \"Limited Catalysts for Now\"","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1175829315","media":"The Edge Singapore","summary":"DBS Group Research analyst Lim Rui Wen has downgraded both Oversea-Chinese Banking Corporation (OCBC","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>DBS Group Research analyst Lim Rui Wen has downgraded both Oversea-Chinese Banking Corporation (OCBC) and United Overseas Bank (UOB) to “hold” as she sees limited catalysts for both banks for now.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Lim has also lowered her target price estimates. OCBC’s target price is now at $13 from $14 previously while UOB’s target price is at $30.30, down from $34.20 previously.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\"><strong>Higher downside risks for Singapore banking sector overall</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">In an overall report on the Singapore banking sector dated April 20, Lim notes several higher downside risks ahead such as limited upside for net interest margins (NIMs).</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">“As [the] US Federal Reserve (US Fed) comes close to a peak in this interest rate cycle, we believe there are limited upside for NIMs going forward for Singapore banks, especially as pressures from funding costs continue,” she writes.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Economists from DBS Group Research expect the US Fed to hike rates once more during the 2Q2023 to 5.25%, which is the terminal rate for the current rate hike cycle.</p><p>The analyst also sees increasing downside risks from potential rate cuts in FY2023 should a recession force the Fed to cut rates.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">“Singapore Banks have seen strong q-o-q NIM expansion since 1QFY2022, with 4QFY2022 NIMs hitting a decade high as interest rates soared. However, stronger deposit pressures seen during 1QFY2023 will likely lead to an even more muted q-o-q NIM expansion ahead, and possibly deterioration across the banks,” she says.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Amid a more uncertain macroeconomic environment, the analyst sees loan growth and recovery in non-interest income may be “weaker than hoped for”.</p><p>“Industry loan growth continues to be weak as system loans contracted by -1.1% year-to-date (ytd) as of end-February,” she writes.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">“We expect Singapore banks to see muted loan growth of 0% to 1% q-o-q during 1QFY2023. While the banks have largely seen an improvement in wealth management activities during January and February 2023, March 2023 saw volatile and risk-off markets as Silicon Valley Bank and Credit Suisse troubles hit the markets,” she adds.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">In addition, Lim believes that market activities are unlikely to rebound back to its FY2021 levels in the near future, in part due to the increasing global economic uncertainties.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Furthermore, asset quality risks continue to be on the rise through FY2023 as recession risks become more imminent and geopolitical tensions continue to increase alongside an inflationary environment.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">As it is, Singapore’s economy has already begun to see a sharper-than-expected slowdown during the 1Q2023 alongside US banks, which are increasingly starting to price a recession in the 2H2023 in their outlook.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">“We believe there is further downside from higher specific provisions as the economy starts to slow, though banks may reverse some general provisions to buffer credit costs,” says Lim.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">That said, all three banks began the current cycle with strong provisions buffers and now have non-performing asset (NPA) coverage ratios of 98% to 122%. “[This is] a key support to valuations in our view which limits downside.”</p><p>“As Fed comes close to a peak in this cycle with potential rate cuts looming in 2HFY2024, with limited NIM upside, a more muted loan growth and non-interest income on the cards, amidst increasing asset quality risks, we cut FY2023-FY2024 earnings by 3%-4% for the banks,” says Lim.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">“We believe Singapore banks’ strong provisions buffer, strong dividend yield of [over] 5% and excess capital (room for dividend upside) will limit downside in the near term, lest a global recession or banking crisis happen,” she adds.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\"><strong>‘Hold’ for OCBC and UOB</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">In a separate report for OCBC also dated April 20, the analyst feels OCBC’s earnings may have peaked after the bank benefitted “significantly” from the enhancement of its franchise value after it acquired Wing Hang Bank in 2014.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">“[This is] given that Greater China continues to be management’s focus as a key market outside Singapore, contributing close to 15% of the group’s income in FY2022,” she says.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">“The bank aims to capture rising Asian wealth and support increasing Mainland China-Hong Kong and Asean-Greater China flows to deepen its regional presence and drive sustainable growth,” she adds.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">As the Fed rate comes close to its peak in this cycle, Lim sees limited upside for OCBC’s NIMs especially as pressure from funding costs continues to grow.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">“While OCBC’s 4QFY2022 NIM improved 25 basis points (bps) q-o-q to 2.31%, management has guided for FY2023 NIM of [around] 2.0% - 2.1%.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">“OCBC is likely to see muted loan growth in 1QFY2023, having seen a 3% q-o-q decline during 4QFY2022. With wealth management and card fees seeing a rebound in January and February 2023, this is likely to be partially offset by Great Eastern Holdings’ (GEH) performance,” says Lim.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">“Recall that 4QFY2022 saw unrealised losses at GEH due to the yield curve inversion, which was still the case as of end-March. While asset quality remains benign in 1QFY2023, we believe management will top up general provisions as it guides for a more normalized credit costs of 20 bps - 25bps in FY2023 in a more uncertain environment,” she adds.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Lim has lowered her earnings estimates for OCBC by 3% to 4% for FY2023 to FY2024, which she recognises as being lower than the consensus. The lowered earnings come after she cuts her NIM estimates for FY2023 and FY2024.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">“Our target price represents [around 1x FY2024, below -0.5 standard deviation (s.d.) of OCBC’s 12-year forward P/BV multiple, which we believe is a fair valuation, as we see limited catalysts ahead for OCBC’s share price, given more downside risks arising from NIM, loan growth, a more uncertain macroeconomic environment for non-interest income growth, as well as rising asset quality risks,” she says.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">“We believe the downside to OCBC’s share price will be supported by its strong provisions buffer of 114% and potential excess capital of [over] $5 billion during FY2023. We believe the downside to OCBC’s share price will be supported by its strong provisions buffer of 114%,” she adds.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Lim also sees limited upside for UOB’s NIMs as the Fed rate cycle nears its peak with pressure from funding costs.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">UOB’s offering of higher fixed deposit interest rates on top of higher interest rates for its flagship current account savings accounts (CASA) compared to its peers in 2HFY2022 will weigh on its upcoming NIMs during the 1QFY2023, notes Lim.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">“[This is] as an increase in the cost of deposits offsets an increase in asset yields. While we anticipate a stronger q-o-q improvement in fee income from wealth and card fees and stronger treasury and investment income q-o-q, we believe there are still downside risks to management’s guidance for double-digit fee income growth through FY2023 in a more uncertain macroeconomic environment,” she writes.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">“While asset quality remains benign in 1QFY2023, we believe management will top up general provisions as it guides for a more normalized credit costs of 20 bps - 25bps in FY2023 in a more uncertain environment,” she adds.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">That said, UOB’s acquisition of Citi’s consumer businesses in Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, and Vietnam will allow the bank to accelerate, scale up, and deepen its Asean franchise.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Her new target price for UOB represents around 1x FY2024, near -0.5 s.d. of UOB’s 12-year forward P/BV multiple.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">In her report, Lim believes this is a “fair valuation, as we see limited catalysts ahead for UOB’s share price, given more downside risks arising from NIM, loan growth, a more uncertain macroeconomic environment for non-interest income growth, as well as rising asset quality risks.”</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">“We believe the downside to UOB’s share price will be supported by its strong provisions buffer of 98%,” she says.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">UOB and OCBC will be releasing their 1QFY2023 results on April 27 and May 10 respectively. DBS will release its results on May 2.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Shares in OCBC and UOB closed at $12.82 and $29.58 respectively.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1655096814160","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>DBS Downgrades OCBC and UOB to \"Hold\" As It Sees \"Limited Catalysts for Now\"</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nDBS Downgrades OCBC and UOB to \"Hold\" As It Sees \"Limited Catalysts for Now\"\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2023-04-24 17:45 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.theedgesingapore.com/capital/brokers-calls/dbs-downgrades-ocbc-and-uob-hold-it-sees-limited-catalysts-now><strong>The Edge Singapore</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>DBS Group Research analyst Lim Rui Wen has downgraded both Oversea-Chinese Banking Corporation (OCBC) and United Overseas Bank (UOB) to “hold” as she sees limited catalysts for both banks for now.Lim ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.theedgesingapore.com/capital/brokers-calls/dbs-downgrades-ocbc-and-uob-hold-it-sees-limited-catalysts-now\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"U11.SI":"大华银行","O39.SI":"华侨银行"},"source_url":"https://www.theedgesingapore.com/capital/brokers-calls/dbs-downgrades-ocbc-and-uob-hold-it-sees-limited-catalysts-now","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1175829315","content_text":"DBS Group Research analyst Lim Rui Wen has downgraded both Oversea-Chinese Banking Corporation (OCBC) and United Overseas Bank (UOB) to “hold” as she sees limited catalysts for both banks for now.Lim has also lowered her target price estimates. OCBC’s target price is now at $13 from $14 previously while UOB’s target price is at $30.30, down from $34.20 previously.Higher downside risks for Singapore banking sector overallIn an overall report on the Singapore banking sector dated April 20, Lim notes several higher downside risks ahead such as limited upside for net interest margins (NIMs).“As [the] US Federal Reserve (US Fed) comes close to a peak in this interest rate cycle, we believe there are limited upside for NIMs going forward for Singapore banks, especially as pressures from funding costs continue,” she writes.Economists from DBS Group Research expect the US Fed to hike rates once more during the 2Q2023 to 5.25%, which is the terminal rate for the current rate hike cycle.The analyst also sees increasing downside risks from potential rate cuts in FY2023 should a recession force the Fed to cut rates.“Singapore Banks have seen strong q-o-q NIM expansion since 1QFY2022, with 4QFY2022 NIMs hitting a decade high as interest rates soared. However, stronger deposit pressures seen during 1QFY2023 will likely lead to an even more muted q-o-q NIM expansion ahead, and possibly deterioration across the banks,” she says.Amid a more uncertain macroeconomic environment, the analyst sees loan growth and recovery in non-interest income may be “weaker than hoped for”.“Industry loan growth continues to be weak as system loans contracted by -1.1% year-to-date (ytd) as of end-February,” she writes.“We expect Singapore banks to see muted loan growth of 0% to 1% q-o-q during 1QFY2023. While the banks have largely seen an improvement in wealth management activities during January and February 2023, March 2023 saw volatile and risk-off markets as Silicon Valley Bank and Credit Suisse troubles hit the markets,” she adds.In addition, Lim believes that market activities are unlikely to rebound back to its FY2021 levels in the near future, in part due to the increasing global economic uncertainties.Furthermore, asset quality risks continue to be on the rise through FY2023 as recession risks become more imminent and geopolitical tensions continue to increase alongside an inflationary environment.As it is, Singapore’s economy has already begun to see a sharper-than-expected slowdown during the 1Q2023 alongside US banks, which are increasingly starting to price a recession in the 2H2023 in their outlook.“We believe there is further downside from higher specific provisions as the economy starts to slow, though banks may reverse some general provisions to buffer credit costs,” says Lim.That said, all three banks began the current cycle with strong provisions buffers and now have non-performing asset (NPA) coverage ratios of 98% to 122%. “[This is] a key support to valuations in our view which limits downside.”“As Fed comes close to a peak in this cycle with potential rate cuts looming in 2HFY2024, with limited NIM upside, a more muted loan growth and non-interest income on the cards, amidst increasing asset quality risks, we cut FY2023-FY2024 earnings by 3%-4% for the banks,” says Lim.“We believe Singapore banks’ strong provisions buffer, strong dividend yield of [over] 5% and excess capital (room for dividend upside) will limit downside in the near term, lest a global recession or banking crisis happen,” she adds.‘Hold’ for OCBC and UOBIn a separate report for OCBC also dated April 20, the analyst feels OCBC’s earnings may have peaked after the bank benefitted “significantly” from the enhancement of its franchise value after it acquired Wing Hang Bank in 2014.“[This is] given that Greater China continues to be management’s focus as a key market outside Singapore, contributing close to 15% of the group’s income in FY2022,” she says.“The bank aims to capture rising Asian wealth and support increasing Mainland China-Hong Kong and Asean-Greater China flows to deepen its regional presence and drive sustainable growth,” she adds.As the Fed rate comes close to its peak in this cycle, Lim sees limited upside for OCBC’s NIMs especially as pressure from funding costs continues to grow.“While OCBC’s 4QFY2022 NIM improved 25 basis points (bps) q-o-q to 2.31%, management has guided for FY2023 NIM of [around] 2.0% - 2.1%.“OCBC is likely to see muted loan growth in 1QFY2023, having seen a 3% q-o-q decline during 4QFY2022. With wealth management and card fees seeing a rebound in January and February 2023, this is likely to be partially offset by Great Eastern Holdings’ (GEH) performance,” says Lim.“Recall that 4QFY2022 saw unrealised losses at GEH due to the yield curve inversion, which was still the case as of end-March. While asset quality remains benign in 1QFY2023, we believe management will top up general provisions as it guides for a more normalized credit costs of 20 bps - 25bps in FY2023 in a more uncertain environment,” she adds.Lim has lowered her earnings estimates for OCBC by 3% to 4% for FY2023 to FY2024, which she recognises as being lower than the consensus. The lowered earnings come after she cuts her NIM estimates for FY2023 and FY2024.“Our target price represents [around 1x FY2024, below -0.5 standard deviation (s.d.) of OCBC’s 12-year forward P/BV multiple, which we believe is a fair valuation, as we see limited catalysts ahead for OCBC’s share price, given more downside risks arising from NIM, loan growth, a more uncertain macroeconomic environment for non-interest income growth, as well as rising asset quality risks,” she says.“We believe the downside to OCBC’s share price will be supported by its strong provisions buffer of 114% and potential excess capital of [over] $5 billion during FY2023. We believe the downside to OCBC’s share price will be supported by its strong provisions buffer of 114%,” she adds.Lim also sees limited upside for UOB’s NIMs as the Fed rate cycle nears its peak with pressure from funding costs.UOB’s offering of higher fixed deposit interest rates on top of higher interest rates for its flagship current account savings accounts (CASA) compared to its peers in 2HFY2022 will weigh on its upcoming NIMs during the 1QFY2023, notes Lim.“[This is] as an increase in the cost of deposits offsets an increase in asset yields. While we anticipate a stronger q-o-q improvement in fee income from wealth and card fees and stronger treasury and investment income q-o-q, we believe there are still downside risks to management’s guidance for double-digit fee income growth through FY2023 in a more uncertain macroeconomic environment,” she writes.“While asset quality remains benign in 1QFY2023, we believe management will top up general provisions as it guides for a more normalized credit costs of 20 bps - 25bps in FY2023 in a more uncertain environment,” she adds.That said, UOB’s acquisition of Citi’s consumer businesses in Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, and Vietnam will allow the bank to accelerate, scale up, and deepen its Asean franchise.Her new target price for UOB represents around 1x FY2024, near -0.5 s.d. of UOB’s 12-year forward P/BV multiple.In her report, Lim believes this is a “fair valuation, as we see limited catalysts ahead for UOB’s share price, given more downside risks arising from NIM, loan growth, a more uncertain macroeconomic environment for non-interest income growth, as well as rising asset quality risks.”“We believe the downside to UOB’s share price will be supported by its strong provisions buffer of 98%,” she says.UOB and OCBC will be releasing their 1QFY2023 results on April 27 and May 10 respectively. DBS will release its results on May 2.Shares in OCBC and UOB closed at $12.82 and $29.58 respectively.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"O39.SI":0.9,"U11.SI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2029,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9944518029,"gmtCreate":1681912768761,"gmtModify":1681912773182,"author":{"id":"3579135726453814","authorId":"3579135726453814","name":"Kevin29","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4bcf91fefd04d4906409e47143e582b0","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3579135726453814","idStr":"3579135726453814"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[财迷]&nbsp;","listText":"[财迷]&nbsp;","text":"[财迷]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9944518029","repostId":"1142957366","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2474,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9945832437,"gmtCreate":1681425549429,"gmtModify":1681425551876,"author":{"id":"3579135726453814","authorId":"3579135726453814","name":"Kevin29","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4bcf91fefd04d4906409e47143e582b0","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3579135726453814","idStr":"3579135726453814"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[财迷]&nbsp;","listText":"[财迷]&nbsp;","text":"[财迷]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9945832437","repostId":"2327422131","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2327422131","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1681388403,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2327422131?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-04-13 20:20","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"CPI report blows the final whistle! Is the Fed going to win?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2327422131","media":"金十数据","summary":"最新公布的CPI报告对于美联储和美国人的钱包来说，无疑是个好消息，更重要的是，这还释放出一个重要信号……","content":"<p><html><head></head><body>The latest CPI report is undoubtedly good news for the Fed and American wallets. More importantly, it also sends an important signal... For the Fed and American wallets, the situation looks to be getting better.</p><p>On Wednesday, the latest report from the Bureau of Labor Statistics showed<strong>, inflation as measured by the CPI fell a full percentage point</strong>。 As one measure of inflation, the annual CPI plunged from 6.0% in February to 5.0% in March, the lowest level since May 2021.</p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/01f4a22ef1c92ac98482b9f1298cb957\" tg-width=\"1104\" tg-height=\"841\"/></p><p>That's good news for the Fed as it continues to work to get inflation back to its 2% target.<strong>While the U.S. still has a long way to go to achieve this goal, the latest economic data shows the Federal Reserve's continued rate hike is working and the Fed is winning the war on inflation.</strong></p><p>The PCE (Personal Consumption Expenditures) price index is another inflation measure that the Federal Reserve closely monitors,<strong>The indicator also shows encouraging signs</strong>。 Compared with January, the index's month-on-month growth rate in February was lower, and the year-on-year growth rate also shows that this inflation measure has been largely declining.</p><p>The Fed has also been looking for signs of tightening labor markets, and it may have seen them, too. The U.S. added 236,000 new jobs in March, a lower increase than in previous months,<strong>The slowdown in job market growth to levels that are still strong but not overheated is exactly what the Fed has been seeking.</strong></p><p>Nick Bunker, head of economic research for North America at Indeed Hiring Lab, said:</p><p>\"Even with slowing growth, the labour market is still moving rapidly.\"<strong>It's clear that the U.S. economy is moving in the right direction</strong>, even as Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell faced criticism from Democratic lawmakers over his ongoing rate hike and the move that could trigger job losses and eventual recession. For example, after the Federal Reserve rate hike in March, Senator Elizabeth Warren publicly stated:</p><p>\"Powell made a mistake by not pausing his extreme rate hike. I've been warning for months that the current Fed approach could cost millions of Americans their jobs. We have a lot of tools to fight inflation without pushing the economy off the cliff.\" But Powell said at a press conference in March this year that he would not back down when it came to meeting his inflation reduction target, claiming:</p><p>\"Because we know that this is the best thing for the people in the long run.\" Although the Fed is not looking to cut rates this year,<strong>The latest economic data suggests the Federal Reserve may be on the verge of pausing its rate hike.</strong>Chicago Fed President Goolsbee told the Economic Club of Chicago on Tuesday that \"the right monetary policy requires caution and patience\" in the wake of the \"financial stress\" from the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank. He said:</p><p>\"Given the high uncertainty over the direction of these financial headwinds, I think we need to be cautious. We should gather further data and be cautious about an overly aggressive rate hike until we see how much the headwinds help in bringing down inflation.\" The Silicon Valley Bank collapse has heightened calls for a rate hike pause as it has triggered economic uncertainty. While Powell claims the banking system is \"robust and resilient,\" the consequences of a collapse could be \"the equivalent of a rate hike, and perhaps even more than that,\" as credit conditions for businesses and households could tighten.</p><p>To be sure,<strong>While the lower overall CPI in March is good news, house prices and apartment rents are still rising at a high pace</strong>。 Meanwhile, core CPI, which excludes food and energy, rose slightly more year-over-year in March than in February, driven in large part by higher housing prices.</p><p>Uncertainty remains. The collapse of Silicon Valley Bank could make financial conditions tougher, with corporate and consumer borrowing and spending likely to slow, but too high core inflation could force the Fed to continue its rate hike,<strong>That means the possibility of a recession remains</strong>。</p><p>However, the Fed is still looking for the data it needs to support a potential pause in rate hike, so,<strong>Looks like the US is more likely to avoid a severe recession</strong>。</p><p></body></html></p>","source":"xnew_highlight","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>CPI report blows the final whistle! Is the Fed going to win?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nCPI report blows the final whistle! Is the Fed going to win?\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">金十数据</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2023-04-13 20:20</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body>The latest CPI report is undoubtedly good news for the Fed and American wallets. More importantly, it also sends an important signal... For the Fed and American wallets, the situation looks to be getting better.</p><p>On Wednesday, the latest report from the Bureau of Labor Statistics showed<strong>, inflation as measured by the CPI fell a full percentage point</strong>。 As one measure of inflation, the annual CPI plunged from 6.0% in February to 5.0% in March, the lowest level since May 2021.</p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/01f4a22ef1c92ac98482b9f1298cb957\" tg-width=\"1104\" tg-height=\"841\"/></p><p>That's good news for the Fed as it continues to work to get inflation back to its 2% target.<strong>While the U.S. still has a long way to go to achieve this goal, the latest economic data shows the Federal Reserve's continued rate hike is working and the Fed is winning the war on inflation.</strong></p><p>The PCE (Personal Consumption Expenditures) price index is another inflation measure that the Federal Reserve closely monitors,<strong>The indicator also shows encouraging signs</strong>。 Compared with January, the index's month-on-month growth rate in February was lower, and the year-on-year growth rate also shows that this inflation measure has been largely declining.</p><p>The Fed has also been looking for signs of tightening labor markets, and it may have seen them, too. The U.S. added 236,000 new jobs in March, a lower increase than in previous months,<strong>The slowdown in job market growth to levels that are still strong but not overheated is exactly what the Fed has been seeking.</strong></p><p>Nick Bunker, head of economic research for North America at Indeed Hiring Lab, said:</p><p>\"Even with slowing growth, the labour market is still moving rapidly.\"<strong>It's clear that the U.S. economy is moving in the right direction</strong>, even as Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell faced criticism from Democratic lawmakers over his ongoing rate hike and the move that could trigger job losses and eventual recession. For example, after the Federal Reserve rate hike in March, Senator Elizabeth Warren publicly stated:</p><p>\"Powell made a mistake by not pausing his extreme rate hike. I've been warning for months that the current Fed approach could cost millions of Americans their jobs. We have a lot of tools to fight inflation without pushing the economy off the cliff.\" But Powell said at a press conference in March this year that he would not back down when it came to meeting his inflation reduction target, claiming:</p><p>\"Because we know that this is the best thing for the people in the long run.\" Although the Fed is not looking to cut rates this year,<strong>The latest economic data suggests the Federal Reserve may be on the verge of pausing its rate hike.</strong>Chicago Fed President Goolsbee told the Economic Club of Chicago on Tuesday that \"the right monetary policy requires caution and patience\" in the wake of the \"financial stress\" from the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank. He said:</p><p>\"Given the high uncertainty over the direction of these financial headwinds, I think we need to be cautious. We should gather further data and be cautious about an overly aggressive rate hike until we see how much the headwinds help in bringing down inflation.\" The Silicon Valley Bank collapse has heightened calls for a rate hike pause as it has triggered economic uncertainty. While Powell claims the banking system is \"robust and resilient,\" the consequences of a collapse could be \"the equivalent of a rate hike, and perhaps even more than that,\" as credit conditions for businesses and households could tighten.</p><p>To be sure,<strong>While the lower overall CPI in March is good news, house prices and apartment rents are still rising at a high pace</strong>。 Meanwhile, core CPI, which excludes food and energy, rose slightly more year-over-year in March than in February, driven in large part by higher housing prices.</p><p>Uncertainty remains. The collapse of Silicon Valley Bank could make financial conditions tougher, with corporate and consumer borrowing and spending likely to slow, but too high core inflation could force the Fed to continue its rate hike,<strong>That means the possibility of a recession remains</strong>。</p><p>However, the Fed is still looking for the data it needs to support a potential pause in rate hike, so,<strong>Looks like the US is more likely to avoid a severe recession</strong>。</p><p></body></html></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> source：<a href=\"https://xnews.jin10.com/webapp/details.html?id=110312&type=news&data_type=0\">金十数据</a></p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d87d9a839d3b8f535281b72db3c3cfd0","relate_stocks":{"161125":"标普500","513500":"标普500ETF","UDOW":"三倍做多道指30ETF-ProShares","QQQ":"纳指100ETF","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","DXD":"两倍做空道琼30指数ETF-ProShares","DJX":"1/100道琼斯","BK4588":"碎股","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","DOG":"道指ETF-ProShares做空",".DJI":"道琼斯","QLD":"2倍做多纳斯达克100指数ETF-ProShares","SQQQ":"纳指三倍做空ETF","BK4581":"高盛持仓","CPI":"IQ Real Return ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SH":"做空标普500-Proshares","OEX":"标普100","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF-ProShares","IVV":"标普500ETF-iShares","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","SSO":"2倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares","QID":"两倍做空纳斯达克指数ETF-ProShares","SDS":"两倍做空标普500 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Bunker）表示：“即使增长放缓，劳动力市场仍在快速发展。”很明显，美国经济正在朝着正确的方向前进，尽管美联储主席鲍威尔因其持续加息以及此举可能引发失业和最终的经济衰退而面临民主党议员的批评。例如在美联储3月加息后，参议员沃伦（Elizabeth 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