Profile - To The Moon

ShuJie

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- ShuJieShuJie
  ·2021-09-17
  Wow
  Singapore's August exports rise 2.7% y/y, miss forecast
  SINGAPORE, Sept 17 (Reuters) - Singapore's August non-oil domestic exports (NODX) expanded 2.7%from
  Singapore's August exports rise 2.7% y/y, miss forecast
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- ShuJieShuJie
  ·2021-08-21
  Very smart company, heard that they want to come out with 3rd vaccine. Really know how to earn money
  Sorry, this post has been deleted
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- ShuJieShuJie
  ·2021-08-11
  Ok!
  The Ark Funds' Actions to Lighten up China Concepts Stocks
  Pre-market overview U.S. stocks fell in the pre-market trading, and the U.S. 10-Year Government Bond
  The Ark Funds' Actions to Lighten up China Concepts Stocks
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- ShuJieShuJie
  ·2021-08-10
  Maybe that’s the reason for the surge in Golden Nuggets 50+%! Hohoho
  Sorry, this post has been deleted
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- ShuJieShuJie
  ·2021-08-05
  Wow!!!
  Sorry, this post has been deleted
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- ShuJieShuJie
  ·2021-07-15
  Wow good
  Goldman Sees Oil Price Spiking On UAE/OPEC+ Deal
  Oil suffered its biggest drop in 2.5 months today after the EIA reported that in the latest week, ga
  Goldman Sees Oil Price Spiking On UAE/OPEC+ Deal
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- ShuJieShuJie
  ·2021-07-13
  //@HMian:It’s low indeed
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- ShuJieShuJie
  ·2021-07-12
  Okay
  Chase, Delta, Goldman Sachs, PepsiCo, and Other Stocks to Watch This Week
  Second-quarter earnings season gets under way this week, with several big banks reporting. JPMorgan ChaseandGoldman SachsGroup kick things off on Tuesday, followed byBank of America,Wells Fargo,andCitigroupon Wednesday andMorgan Stanleyon Thursday.The week’s economic calendar will be equally busy. The Bureau of Labor Statistics releases the consumer price index for June on Tuesday, followed by the producer price index for June on Wednesday. Expectations are for year-over-year increases of 4.0% a
  Chase, Delta, Goldman Sachs, PepsiCo, and Other Stocks to Watch This Week
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- ShuJieShuJie
  ·2021-07-09
  Sold haha
  Sorry, this post has been deleted
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- ShuJieShuJie
  ·2021-07-06
  Wow I shall share with my friend
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brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1631840281,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2168154770?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-09-17 08:58","market":"sg","language":"en","title":"Singapore's August exports rise 2.7% y/y, miss forecast","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2168154770","media":"Reuters","summary":"SINGAPORE, Sept 17 (Reuters) - Singapore's August non-oil domestic exports (NODX) expanded 2.7%from ","content":"<p>SINGAPORE, Sept 17 (Reuters) - Singapore's August non-oil domestic exports (NODX) expanded 2.7%from a year earlier, official data showed on Friday, the slowest pace since November due to a drop in non-electronics shipments.</p>\n<p>The year-on-year export growth was below economists' expectations in a Reuters poll for a 8.3% rise and compared with 12.7% growth in July.</p>\n<p>On a seasonally adjusted month-on-month basis, exports fell 3.6% in August, Enterprise Singapore data showed, versus the prior month's 0.9% contraction. Economists had forecast 2.4% growth.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Singapore's August exports rise 2.7% y/y, miss forecast</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSingapore's August exports rise 2.7% y/y, miss forecast\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-09-17 08:58</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>SINGAPORE, Sept 17 (Reuters) - Singapore's August non-oil domestic exports (NODX) expanded 2.7%from a year earlier, official data showed on Friday, the slowest pace since November due to a drop in non-electronics shipments.</p>\n<p>The year-on-year export growth was below economists' expectations in a Reuters poll for a 8.3% rise and compared with 12.7% growth in July.</p>\n<p>On a seasonally adjusted month-on-month basis, exports fell 3.6% in August, Enterprise Singapore data showed, versus the prior month's 0.9% contraction. Economists had forecast 2.4% growth.</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"STI.SI":"富时新加坡海峡指数"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2168154770","content_text":"SINGAPORE, Sept 17 (Reuters) - Singapore's August non-oil domestic exports (NODX) expanded 2.7%from a year earlier, official data showed on Friday, the slowest pace since November due to a drop in non-electronics shipments.\nThe year-on-year export growth was below economists' expectations in a Reuters poll for a 8.3% rise and compared with 12.7% growth in July.\nOn a seasonally adjusted month-on-month basis, exports fell 3.6% in August, Enterprise Singapore data showed, versus the prior month's 0.9% contraction. Economists had forecast 2.4% growth.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"STI.SI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2861,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":836541993,"gmtCreate":1629510036412,"gmtModify":1676530061396,"author":{"id":"3580280937765956","authorId":"3580280937765956","name":"ShuJie","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fab78f17f563d835249358a8d127785c","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3580280937765956","idStr":"3580280937765956"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Very smart company, heard that they want to come out with 3rd vaccine. Really know how to earn money&nbsp;","listText":"Very smart company, heard that they want to come out with 3rd vaccine. Really know how to earn money&nbsp;","text":"Very smart company, heard that they want to come out with 3rd vaccine. Really know how to earn money","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":7,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/836541993","repostId":"2161745179","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3392,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3582028884093480","authorId":"3582028884093480","name":"慢的老人","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d8809bb976396889eb133162af0901b8","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"authorIdStr":"3582028884093480","idStr":"3582028884093480"},"content":"Why is anyone surprised? Hep A, Hep B, Tetanus, Flu vaccines all require boosters every few years. Delta variant may require a stronger dose to deal with.","text":"Why is anyone surprised? Hep A, Hep B, Tetanus, Flu vaccines all require boosters every few years. Delta variant may require a stronger dose to deal with.","html":"Why is anyone surprised? Hep A, Hep B, Tetanus, Flu vaccines all require boosters every few years. Delta variant may require a stronger dose to deal with."}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":892659114,"gmtCreate":1628657422438,"gmtModify":1676529811767,"author":{"id":"3580280937765956","authorId":"3580280937765956","name":"ShuJie","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fab78f17f563d835249358a8d127785c","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3580280937765956","idStr":"3580280937765956"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok!","listText":"Ok!","text":"Ok!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/892659114","repostId":"1163924715","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1163924715","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1628654753,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1163924715?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-08-11 12:05","market":"sh","language":"en","title":"The Ark Funds' Actions to Lighten up China Concepts Stocks","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1163924715","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Pre-market overview\nU.S. stocks fell in the pre-market trading, and the U.S. 10-Year Government Bond","content":"<p><b>Pre-market overview</b></p>\n<p>U.S.&nbsp;stocks fell in the pre-market trading, and the&nbsp;U.S.&nbsp;10-Year&nbsp;Government&nbsp;Bond Yields dropped again in Asias&nbsp;hours, pulling down the prices of commodities with crude oil falling up to 5%.&nbsp;China Concepts Stocks rose slightly in the pre-market trading.</p>\n<p>In the&nbsp;secondary market, there are two types of US funds willing to make investments&nbsp;in China. Thereinto, one of them has liquidated or been gradually liquidating&nbsp;their holdings. According to the daily operations of the Ark Funds, it has been&nbsp;reducing its positions in China Concepts Stocks including Tencent, and has&nbsp;never increased its positions, although the afore-mentioned stocks have&nbsp;rebounded to some extent recently. A more pleasing signal appeared lately is&nbsp;that the Ark Funds has stopped lightening up Chinese stocks.</p>\n<p>On July 1st, a&nbsp;total of 10 Chinese stocks listed in the U.S. are covered by the Ark Funds, including&nbsp;8 China Concept Stocks and 2 Hong Kong stocks traded in U.S. over-the-counter (OTC).&nbsp;Based on the closing price of the day, these 10 stocks totaled $1.8 billion, as&nbsp;shown in the following figure.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5be54c5dfdf52cd1c4ea28364f2dc37a\" tg-width=\"622\" tg-height=\"320\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><b>About Its Positions</b></p>\n<p>As a fund that&nbsp;is not active enough to invest in Chinese stocks, it is hard to say that the size&nbsp;of $1.8-billion position is small. The largest mutual fund that invests in&nbsp;emerging markets is the Invesco Developing Markets Fund, which has an&nbsp;investment of $15 billion in China, covering China Concepts Stocks, Hong Kong Stocks&nbsp;and A shares. Therefore, Ark's investment in China is not trivial.</p>\n<p>The Ark Funds&nbsp;claims to be technology-based, but it seems that the Funds does not fully trust&nbsp;China's technology. By analyzing its holdings on Chinese stocks, the most positions&nbsp;held by the Ark Funds now are stocks of e-commerce which owns vast purchasing&nbsp;power, rather than those of technology companies. Cathie Wood, an American&nbsp;investor as well as the CEO &amp; CIO of Ark Invest, once praised Baidu's&nbsp;driverless technology on TV, while their position in Baidu’s stock is not so&nbsp;large. Then, here comes the new energy vehicles of China. The investment target&nbsp;of the Ark Funds is not the Chinese EV trio including <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LI\">Li Auto</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">NIO Inc.</a> and&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">XPeng Inc.</a>, but NIU Technologies. The electric vehicles produced by <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIU\">Niu Technologies</a> are good sellers in New York, while another three makers have not&nbsp;yet expanded into the United States. Once again, it reflects Cathie Wood's&nbsp;skeptical attitude towards China's \"technology\".</p>\n<p><b>Let’s look into&nbsp;the lightening of the Ark Funds</b></p>\n<p>10 stocks are&nbsp;chosen to analyze their share changes. 5 stocks with the largest positions on&nbsp;July 1 (JD, TCEHY, BEKE, PDD, and BIDU) are shown in Figure 1, totaling $1.5&nbsp;billion, accounting for about 80%.&nbsp;Another 5 stocks are BABA, NIU, HUYA,&nbsp;BYDDY, and BZ, totaling $300 million, accounting for about 20% (Figure 2). Key&nbsp;dates are marked below.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/41b4d86b2c5953dc32e4a31fb13ee410\" tg-width=\"554\" tg-height=\"269\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Figure 1</span></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/09631c97e67c3aa9711d607bca310526\" tg-width=\"554\" tg-height=\"252\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Figure 2</span></p>\n<p>The Ark Funds cleared&nbsp;all its positions in HUYA on July 13 and 14 (marked in the Figure above). The&nbsp;news of the failed merger between Huya and DouYu was announced on July 12, but the&nbsp;Ark Funds did not substantially lighten up its position on the day, and&nbsp;continued the pace in the past few days.&nbsp;</p>\n<p>Another marked&nbsp;date is July 26 (Figure 1). The Chinese education stocks plummeted over 50% on&nbsp;Friday, July 23. On that day, few people realized that a chain reaction had&nbsp;occurred, and Chinese stocks listed in Hong Kong would slump in the following&nbsp;week. The Ark Funds failed to realize it, either. On July 26, the Ark Funds had&nbsp;to lighten up its positions. The top 5 largest positions were all reduced by&nbsp;Ark, with Ke Holdings standing in the breach. This reflects Cathie Wood's&nbsp;suspicion of high-growth companies in China.</p>\n<p>The third marked&nbsp;date is July 28, as shown in Figure 2. In this round of turmoil, the Ark Funds&nbsp;only lightened up its positions in the stocks of BOSS Zhipin&nbsp;(<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BZ\">Kanzhun Limited</a>), which is also a&nbsp;company with a relatively small market value. Meanwhile, Cathie Wood is still&nbsp;very insistent on the investments in NIU Technologies.</p>\n<p>In the past&nbsp;week, the prices of China Concepts Stocks still hovered at a low level, but the&nbsp;Ark Funds no longer lightened up their positions. At present, there are only 7&nbsp;stocks left. Based on the closing price last Friday, the position is $450&nbsp;million, which is a 75% decrease compared to that of July 1.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The Ark Funds' Actions to Lighten up China Concepts Stocks</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe Ark Funds' Actions to Lighten up China Concepts Stocks\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-08-11 12:05</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Pre-market overview</b></p>\n<p>U.S.&nbsp;stocks fell in the pre-market trading, and the&nbsp;U.S.&nbsp;10-Year&nbsp;Government&nbsp;Bond Yields dropped again in Asias&nbsp;hours, pulling down the prices of commodities with crude oil falling up to 5%.&nbsp;China Concepts Stocks rose slightly in the pre-market trading.</p>\n<p>In the&nbsp;secondary market, there are two types of US funds willing to make investments&nbsp;in China. Thereinto, one of them has liquidated or been gradually liquidating&nbsp;their holdings. According to the daily operations of the Ark Funds, it has been&nbsp;reducing its positions in China Concepts Stocks including Tencent, and has&nbsp;never increased its positions, although the afore-mentioned stocks have&nbsp;rebounded to some extent recently. A more pleasing signal appeared lately is&nbsp;that the Ark Funds has stopped lightening up Chinese stocks.</p>\n<p>On July 1st, a&nbsp;total of 10 Chinese stocks listed in the U.S. are covered by the Ark Funds, including&nbsp;8 China Concept Stocks and 2 Hong Kong stocks traded in U.S. over-the-counter (OTC).&nbsp;Based on the closing price of the day, these 10 stocks totaled $1.8 billion, as&nbsp;shown in the following figure.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5be54c5dfdf52cd1c4ea28364f2dc37a\" tg-width=\"622\" tg-height=\"320\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><b>About Its Positions</b></p>\n<p>As a fund that&nbsp;is not active enough to invest in Chinese stocks, it is hard to say that the size&nbsp;of $1.8-billion position is small. The largest mutual fund that invests in&nbsp;emerging markets is the Invesco Developing Markets Fund, which has an&nbsp;investment of $15 billion in China, covering China Concepts Stocks, Hong Kong Stocks&nbsp;and A shares. Therefore, Ark's investment in China is not trivial.</p>\n<p>The Ark Funds&nbsp;claims to be technology-based, but it seems that the Funds does not fully trust&nbsp;China's technology. By analyzing its holdings on Chinese stocks, the most positions&nbsp;held by the Ark Funds now are stocks of e-commerce which owns vast purchasing&nbsp;power, rather than those of technology companies. Cathie Wood, an American&nbsp;investor as well as the CEO &amp; CIO of Ark Invest, once praised Baidu's&nbsp;driverless technology on TV, while their position in Baidu’s stock is not so&nbsp;large. Then, here comes the new energy vehicles of China. The investment target&nbsp;of the Ark Funds is not the Chinese EV trio including <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LI\">Li Auto</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">NIO Inc.</a> and&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">XPeng Inc.</a>, but NIU Technologies. The electric vehicles produced by <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIU\">Niu Technologies</a> are good sellers in New York, while another three makers have not&nbsp;yet expanded into the United States. Once again, it reflects Cathie Wood's&nbsp;skeptical attitude towards China's \"technology\".</p>\n<p><b>Let’s look into&nbsp;the lightening of the Ark Funds</b></p>\n<p>10 stocks are&nbsp;chosen to analyze their share changes. 5 stocks with the largest positions on&nbsp;July 1 (JD, TCEHY, BEKE, PDD, and BIDU) are shown in Figure 1, totaling $1.5&nbsp;billion, accounting for about 80%.&nbsp;Another 5 stocks are BABA, NIU, HUYA,&nbsp;BYDDY, and BZ, totaling $300 million, accounting for about 20% (Figure 2). Key&nbsp;dates are marked below.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/41b4d86b2c5953dc32e4a31fb13ee410\" tg-width=\"554\" tg-height=\"269\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Figure 1</span></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/09631c97e67c3aa9711d607bca310526\" tg-width=\"554\" tg-height=\"252\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Figure 2</span></p>\n<p>The Ark Funds cleared&nbsp;all its positions in HUYA on July 13 and 14 (marked in the Figure above). The&nbsp;news of the failed merger between Huya and DouYu was announced on July 12, but the&nbsp;Ark Funds did not substantially lighten up its position on the day, and&nbsp;continued the pace in the past few days.&nbsp;</p>\n<p>Another marked&nbsp;date is July 26 (Figure 1). The Chinese education stocks plummeted over 50% on&nbsp;Friday, July 23. On that day, few people realized that a chain reaction had&nbsp;occurred, and Chinese stocks listed in Hong Kong would slump in the following&nbsp;week. The Ark Funds failed to realize it, either. On July 26, the Ark Funds had&nbsp;to lighten up its positions. The top 5 largest positions were all reduced by&nbsp;Ark, with Ke Holdings standing in the breach. This reflects Cathie Wood's&nbsp;suspicion of high-growth companies in China.</p>\n<p>The third marked&nbsp;date is July 28, as shown in Figure 2. In this round of turmoil, the Ark Funds&nbsp;only lightened up its positions in the stocks of BOSS Zhipin&nbsp;(<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BZ\">Kanzhun Limited</a>), which is also a&nbsp;company with a relatively small market value. Meanwhile, Cathie Wood is still&nbsp;very insistent on the investments in NIU Technologies.</p>\n<p>In the past&nbsp;week, the prices of China Concepts Stocks still hovered at a low level, but the&nbsp;Ark Funds no longer lightened up their positions. At present, there are only 7&nbsp;stocks left. Based on the closing price last Friday, the position is $450&nbsp;million, which is a 75% decrease compared to that of July 1.</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"LI":"理想汽车","BZ":"BOSS直聘","XPEV":"小鹏汽车","NIO":"蔚来","NIU":"小牛电动"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1163924715","content_text":"Pre-market overview\nU.S. stocks fell in the pre-market trading, and the U.S. 10-Year Government Bond Yields dropped again in Asias hours, pulling down the prices of commodities with crude oil falling up to 5%. China Concepts Stocks rose slightly in the pre-market trading.\nIn the secondary market, there are two types of US funds willing to make investments in China. Thereinto, one of them has liquidated or been gradually liquidating their holdings. According to the daily operations of the Ark Funds, it has been reducing its positions in China Concepts Stocks including Tencent, and has never increased its positions, although the afore-mentioned stocks have rebounded to some extent recently. A more pleasing signal appeared lately is that the Ark Funds has stopped lightening up Chinese stocks.\nOn July 1st, a total of 10 Chinese stocks listed in the U.S. are covered by the Ark Funds, including 8 China Concept Stocks and 2 Hong Kong stocks traded in U.S. over-the-counter (OTC). Based on the closing price of the day, these 10 stocks totaled $1.8 billion, as shown in the following figure.\n\nAbout Its Positions\nAs a fund that is not active enough to invest in Chinese stocks, it is hard to say that the size of $1.8-billion position is small. The largest mutual fund that invests in emerging markets is the Invesco Developing Markets Fund, which has an investment of $15 billion in China, covering China Concepts Stocks, Hong Kong Stocks and A shares. Therefore, Ark's investment in China is not trivial.\nThe Ark Funds claims to be technology-based, but it seems that the Funds does not fully trust China's technology. By analyzing its holdings on Chinese stocks, the most positions held by the Ark Funds now are stocks of e-commerce which owns vast purchasing power, rather than those of technology companies. Cathie Wood, an American investor as well as the CEO & CIO of Ark Invest, once praised Baidu's driverless technology on TV, while their position in Baidu’s stock is not so large. Then, here comes the new energy vehicles of China. The investment target of the Ark Funds is not the Chinese EV trio including Li Auto, NIO Inc. and XPeng Inc., but NIU Technologies. The electric vehicles produced by Niu Technologies are good sellers in New York, while another three makers have not yet expanded into the United States. Once again, it reflects Cathie Wood's skeptical attitude towards China's \"technology\".\nLet’s look into the lightening of the Ark Funds\n10 stocks are chosen to analyze their share changes. 5 stocks with the largest positions on July 1 (JD, TCEHY, BEKE, PDD, and BIDU) are shown in Figure 1, totaling $1.5 billion, accounting for about 80%. Another 5 stocks are BABA, NIU, HUYA, BYDDY, and BZ, totaling $300 million, accounting for about 20% (Figure 2). Key dates are marked below.\nFigure 1\nFigure 2\nThe Ark Funds cleared all its positions in HUYA on July 13 and 14 (marked in the Figure above). The news of the failed merger between Huya and DouYu was announced on July 12, but the Ark Funds did not substantially lighten up its position on the day, and continued the pace in the past few days. \nAnother marked date is July 26 (Figure 1). The Chinese education stocks plummeted over 50% on Friday, July 23. On that day, few people realized that a chain reaction had occurred, and Chinese stocks listed in Hong Kong would slump in the following week. The Ark Funds failed to realize it, either. On July 26, the Ark Funds had to lighten up its positions. The top 5 largest positions were all reduced by Ark, with Ke Holdings standing in the breach. This reflects Cathie Wood's suspicion of high-growth companies in China.\nThe third marked date is July 28, as shown in Figure 2. In this round of turmoil, the Ark Funds only lightened up its positions in the stocks of BOSS Zhipin (Kanzhun Limited), which is also a company with a relatively small market value. Meanwhile, Cathie Wood is still very insistent on the investments in NIU Technologies.\nIn the past week, the prices of China Concepts Stocks still hovered at a low level, but the Ark Funds no longer lightened up their positions. At present, there are only 7 stocks left. Based on the closing price last Friday, the position is $450 million, which is a 75% decrease compared to that of July 1.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"BZ":0.9,"NIO":0.9,"LI":0.9,"XPEV":0.9,"NIU":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2611,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":896964897,"gmtCreate":1628552528219,"gmtModify":1703507878491,"author":{"id":"3580280937765956","authorId":"3580280937765956","name":"ShuJie","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fab78f17f563d835249358a8d127785c","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3580280937765956","idStr":"3580280937765956"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Maybe that’s the reason for the surge in Golden Nuggets 50+%! Hohoho","listText":"Maybe that’s the reason for the surge in Golden Nuggets 50+%! Hohoho","text":"Maybe that’s the reason for the surge in Golden Nuggets 50+%! Hohoho","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/896964897","repostId":"2158246446","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2599,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":890707708,"gmtCreate":1628131858504,"gmtModify":1703501822642,"author":{"id":"3580280937765956","authorId":"3580280937765956","name":"ShuJie","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fab78f17f563d835249358a8d127785c","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3580280937765956","idStr":"3580280937765956"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow!!!","listText":"Wow!!!","text":"Wow!!!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/890707708","repostId":"2157481973","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2463,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":147096181,"gmtCreate":1626318101743,"gmtModify":1703757784978,"author":{"id":"3580280937765956","authorId":"3580280937765956","name":"ShuJie","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fab78f17f563d835249358a8d127785c","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3580280937765956","idStr":"3580280937765956"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow good","listText":"Wow good","text":"Wow good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/147096181","repostId":"1122758076","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1122758076","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1626316880,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1122758076?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-07-15 10:41","market":"fut","language":"en","title":"Goldman Sees Oil Price Spiking On UAE/OPEC+ Deal","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1122758076","media":"zerohedge","summary":"Oil suffered its biggest drop in 2.5 months today after the EIA reported that in the latest week, ga","content":"<p>Oil suffered its biggest drop in 2.5 months today after the EIA reported that in the latest week, gasoline demand in the US unexpectedly tumbled by 760,000 barrels a day from the record 10 million barrels a day a week, to 9.28 million barrels a day to get back to levels in late June.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/96a51307958cb16bc6d3451c273dc614\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"662\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">While algos focused on the sharp drop, what they ignored was that the number was largely meaningless, since the reporting week included July 5, a day off for Americans. Additionally, the EIA’s estimate, known as product supplied, is derived from other data rather than being a direct measurement of consumption. Since that method often leads to erratic numbers, some observers prefer to use the 4-week rolling average. That measure was 9.485 million barrels a day, which was about equal to the same week in 2019</p>\n<p>None of that mattered, however, as CTAs quickly joined in the selling frenzy and completely erasing the earlier jump on the far more important news of an OPEC+ deal.</p>\n<p>Just how important was the Reuters report that the UAE and Saudi Arabia are close to reaching a production agreement, one which sees both the higher baseline requested by the UAE (of 3.65 mb/d starting in April 2022) as well as an extension of the output agreement requested by Saudi (through December 2022). Important enough that in a note released late on Wednesday, Goldman said that the deal would remove the low-probability tail risks of potential price war, and \"<b>represents $2 to $4/bbl upside risk to our $80/bbl summer and $75/bbl 2022 Brent price forecasts.\"</b></p>\n<p>In the note from Goldman commodity analysts Damien Courvalin and Jeff Currie, the two also write that the expected agreement “as the ﬁrst of likely four potential bullish supply catalysts over the coming month” that would more than offset higher North American production. Additionally, although some OPEC+ details remain uncertain, like August and September quotas or baselines of other countries, “these are of limited magnitude and importance to the global oil market outlook, which the bank continues to see as supportive of higher oil prices”</p>\n<p>Piling on the bullish cash, Courvalin writes that an OPEC+ deal that offers a higher baseline for the UAE, as well as an extension of output agreement through December 2022 - such as the one being contemplated -&nbsp; would be bullish relative to Goldman’s base case</p>\n<p>And speaking of Goldman's forecasts, the bank had assumed a 500kb/d ramp-up starting in August as well as a gradually rising UAE baseline from 3.17m b/d to 3.3m b/d in August to 3.65m b/d by the end of 1Q 2022. As a result, such a deal would imply downside risk to its OPEC+ production forecast of 400k-600k b/d on average for 3Q 2021-1Q 2022, depending on whether the lack of August production hike is compensated for in September. Needless to say, that too is bullish for the price of oil... and yet one look at the collapse in oil prices today and one would be left shocked at just how dumb the algos have become.</p>\n<p>Finally, it's not just the UAE/OPEC+ deal that makes Goldman's commodities team hopeful - the bank’s other three potential bullish supply catalysts are listed as:-</p>\n<ul>\n <li>Upcoming shale earnings season, which may reaffirm greater incentive toward returning cash to shareholders over production growth</li>\n <li>That progress on the U.S. reaching an agreement with Iran has stalled, setting back the potential ramp up of exports</li>\n <li>Bank’s view that consensus expectations for global production outside of North America and core-OPEC remain too optimistic</li>\n</ul>\n<p>Below we excerpt from the full note:</p>\n<ul>\n <li>The UAE and Saudi Arabia appear close to reaching a production agreement, with Reuters reporting progress towards a deal that would allow for both the higher baseline requested by the UAE (of 3.65 mb/d starting in April 2022) as well as an extension of the output agreement requested by Saudi (through December 2022).<b>We assume that the such a deal - if conﬁrmed - would likely come alongside a gradual 0.4 mb/d monthly ramp-up in production through December 2021, as all OPEC+ members had already supported this decision.</b></li>\n <li>Such an agreement would help bridge the (modest) divide between both countries and<b>help remove the (low probability) OPEC+ tail risks of a potential price war or insufﬁcient production growth, as we expected.</b>While some details remain uncertain, like the August and September quotas or the baseline of other countries, these are of limited magnitude and importance to the global oil market outlook,<b>which we continue to see as supportive of higher oil prices.</b></li>\n <li>Importantly,<b>such an OPEC+ agreement would be bullish relative to our base-case, as we had assumed (1) a 0.5 mb/d ramp-up starting in August as well as (2) a gradually rising UAE baseline from 3.17 mb/d to 3.3 mb/d in August to 3.65 mb/d by the end of 1Q22 (given its clear inequity).</b>As a result, a deal as described above would<b>imply downside risk to our OPEC+ production forecast of 0.4 to 0.6 mb/d on average for 3Q21-1Q22</b>(depending on whether the lack of August production hike is compensated for in September).</li>\n</ul>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/47c75c93814aad90865576eeb1666992\" tg-width=\"651\" tg-height=\"527\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><u><b>All else equal, this would represent $2 to $4/bbl upside risk to our $80/bbl summer and $75/bbl 2022 Brent price forecasts.</b></u>As a result,&nbsp;<b>we believe that risks to our bullish oil price forecasts are skewed to the upside, with the catalyst for such a move higher shifting from the demand to the supply side</b>. While our bullish view this year had been driven by our well above consensus demand growth forecast, this is no longer the case with (1) the sharp rebound in global oil demand that has taken place since May, from 95 to 98 mb/d currently and near our 99 mb/d end of summer forecast, mostly played out, with (2) the IEA expecting similar peak summer demand, and with (3) the EM vaccine led demand uplift set to only play out gradually through 1Q22.</p>\n<p>A shift in market focus to the supply will make increasingly evident that the industry’s costs have reset sharply higher, due to (1) poor accumulated returns of the past 5 years, (2) the inﬂationary impact of internalizing carbon emissions and (3) the rising uncertainty and pessimism on long-term oil demand.&nbsp;<b>As a result, we initiate a new trade recommendation to be long Dec-22 Brent forwards, currently trading at $67.06/bbl. This entry point is below our Dec-22 spot forecast of $75/bbl due to backwardation and further offers a proxy trade for a re-setting higher of the oil market’s marginal costs.</b></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Goldman Sees Oil Price Spiking On UAE/OPEC+ Deal</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGoldman Sees Oil Price Spiking On UAE/OPEC+ Deal\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-15 10:41 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/goldman-sees-oil-price-spiking-uaeopec-deal><strong>zerohedge</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Oil suffered its biggest drop in 2.5 months today after the EIA reported that in the latest week, gasoline demand in the US unexpectedly tumbled by 760,000 barrels a day from the record 10 million ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/goldman-sees-oil-price-spiking-uaeopec-deal\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/goldman-sees-oil-price-spiking-uaeopec-deal","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1122758076","content_text":"Oil suffered its biggest drop in 2.5 months today after the EIA reported that in the latest week, gasoline demand in the US unexpectedly tumbled by 760,000 barrels a day from the record 10 million barrels a day a week, to 9.28 million barrels a day to get back to levels in late June.\nWhile algos focused on the sharp drop, what they ignored was that the number was largely meaningless, since the reporting week included July 5, a day off for Americans. Additionally, the EIA’s estimate, known as product supplied, is derived from other data rather than being a direct measurement of consumption. Since that method often leads to erratic numbers, some observers prefer to use the 4-week rolling average. That measure was 9.485 million barrels a day, which was about equal to the same week in 2019\nNone of that mattered, however, as CTAs quickly joined in the selling frenzy and completely erasing the earlier jump on the far more important news of an OPEC+ deal.\nJust how important was the Reuters report that the UAE and Saudi Arabia are close to reaching a production agreement, one which sees both the higher baseline requested by the UAE (of 3.65 mb/d starting in April 2022) as well as an extension of the output agreement requested by Saudi (through December 2022). Important enough that in a note released late on Wednesday, Goldman said that the deal would remove the low-probability tail risks of potential price war, and \"represents $2 to $4/bbl upside risk to our $80/bbl summer and $75/bbl 2022 Brent price forecasts.\"\nIn the note from Goldman commodity analysts Damien Courvalin and Jeff Currie, the two also write that the expected agreement “as the ﬁrst of likely four potential bullish supply catalysts over the coming month” that would more than offset higher North American production. Additionally, although some OPEC+ details remain uncertain, like August and September quotas or baselines of other countries, “these are of limited magnitude and importance to the global oil market outlook, which the bank continues to see as supportive of higher oil prices”\nPiling on the bullish cash, Courvalin writes that an OPEC+ deal that offers a higher baseline for the UAE, as well as an extension of output agreement through December 2022 - such as the one being contemplated -  would be bullish relative to Goldman’s base case\nAnd speaking of Goldman's forecasts, the bank had assumed a 500kb/d ramp-up starting in August as well as a gradually rising UAE baseline from 3.17m b/d to 3.3m b/d in August to 3.65m b/d by the end of 1Q 2022. As a result, such a deal would imply downside risk to its OPEC+ production forecast of 400k-600k b/d on average for 3Q 2021-1Q 2022, depending on whether the lack of August production hike is compensated for in September. Needless to say, that too is bullish for the price of oil... and yet one look at the collapse in oil prices today and one would be left shocked at just how dumb the algos have become.\nFinally, it's not just the UAE/OPEC+ deal that makes Goldman's commodities team hopeful - the bank’s other three potential bullish supply catalysts are listed as:-\n\nUpcoming shale earnings season, which may reaffirm greater incentive toward returning cash to shareholders over production growth\nThat progress on the U.S. reaching an agreement with Iran has stalled, setting back the potential ramp up of exports\nBank’s view that consensus expectations for global production outside of North America and core-OPEC remain too optimistic\n\nBelow we excerpt from the full note:\n\nThe UAE and Saudi Arabia appear close to reaching a production agreement, with Reuters reporting progress towards a deal that would allow for both the higher baseline requested by the UAE (of 3.65 mb/d starting in April 2022) as well as an extension of the output agreement requested by Saudi (through December 2022).We assume that the such a deal - if conﬁrmed - would likely come alongside a gradual 0.4 mb/d monthly ramp-up in production through December 2021, as all OPEC+ members had already supported this decision.\nSuch an agreement would help bridge the (modest) divide between both countries andhelp remove the (low probability) OPEC+ tail risks of a potential price war or insufﬁcient production growth, as we expected.While some details remain uncertain, like the August and September quotas or the baseline of other countries, these are of limited magnitude and importance to the global oil market outlook,which we continue to see as supportive of higher oil prices.\nImportantly,such an OPEC+ agreement would be bullish relative to our base-case, as we had assumed (1) a 0.5 mb/d ramp-up starting in August as well as (2) a gradually rising UAE baseline from 3.17 mb/d to 3.3 mb/d in August to 3.65 mb/d by the end of 1Q22 (given its clear inequity).As a result, a deal as described above wouldimply downside risk to our OPEC+ production forecast of 0.4 to 0.6 mb/d on average for 3Q21-1Q22(depending on whether the lack of August production hike is compensated for in September).\n\nAll else equal, this would represent $2 to $4/bbl upside risk to our $80/bbl summer and $75/bbl 2022 Brent price forecasts.As a result, we believe that risks to our bullish oil price forecasts are skewed to the upside, with the catalyst for such a move higher shifting from the demand to the supply side. While our bullish view this year had been driven by our well above consensus demand growth forecast, this is no longer the case with (1) the sharp rebound in global oil demand that has taken place since May, from 95 to 98 mb/d currently and near our 99 mb/d end of summer forecast, mostly played out, with (2) the IEA expecting similar peak summer demand, and with (3) the EM vaccine led demand uplift set to only play out gradually through 1Q22.\nA shift in market focus to the supply will make increasingly evident that the industry’s costs have reset sharply higher, due to (1) poor accumulated returns of the past 5 years, (2) the inﬂationary impact of internalizing carbon emissions and (3) the rising uncertainty and pessimism on long-term oil demand. As a result, we initiate a new trade recommendation to be long Dec-22 Brent forwards, currently trading at $67.06/bbl. This entry point is below our Dec-22 spot forecast of $75/bbl due to backwardation and further offers a proxy trade for a re-setting higher of the oil market’s marginal costs.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"MCLmain":0.9,"CLmain":0.9,"BZmain":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2269,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":142858287,"gmtCreate":1626142388149,"gmtModify":1703754170106,"author":{"id":"3580280937765956","authorId":"3580280937765956","name":"ShuJie","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fab78f17f563d835249358a8d127785c","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3580280937765956","idStr":"3580280937765956"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"//<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3577877222927887\">@HMian</a>:It’s low indeed","listText":"//<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3577877222927887\">@HMian</a>:It’s low indeed","text":"//@HMian:It’s low indeed","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/142858287","repostId":"2150326565","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2803,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":146839380,"gmtCreate":1626064583940,"gmtModify":1703752653080,"author":{"id":"3580280937765956","authorId":"3580280937765956","name":"ShuJie","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fab78f17f563d835249358a8d127785c","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3580280937765956","idStr":"3580280937765956"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Okay","listText":"Okay","text":"Okay","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/146839380","repostId":"1114863871","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1114863871","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1626039626,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1114863871?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-07-12 05:40","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Chase, Delta, Goldman Sachs, PepsiCo, and Other Stocks to Watch This Week","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1114863871","media":"Barron's","summary":"Second-quarter earnings season gets under way this week, with several big banks reporting. JPMorgan ChaseandGoldman SachsGroup kick things off on Tuesday, followed byBank of America,Wells Fargo,andCitigroupon Wednesday andMorgan Stanleyon Thursday.The week’s economic calendar will be equally busy. The Bureau of Labor Statistics releases the consumer price index for June on Tuesday, followed by the producer price index for June on Wednesday. Expectations are for year-over-year increases of 4.0% a","content":"<p>Second-quarter earnings season gets under way&nbsp;this week, with several big banks reporting.&nbsp;JPMorgan ChaseandGoldman SachsGroup kick things off on Tuesday, followed byBank of America,Wells Fargo,andCitigroupon Wednesday andMorgan Stanleyon Thursday.</p>\n<p>Other major companies reporting this week includePepsiCoandFastenalon Tuesday,Delta Air Lineson Wednesday,Taiwan Semiconductor ManufacturingandUnitedHealth Groupon Thursday, andKansas City Southernon Friday.</p>\n<p>The week’s economic calendar will be equally busy. The Bureau of Labor Statistics releases the consumer price index for June on Tuesday,&nbsp;followed by the producer price index for June on Wednesday. Expectations are for year-over-year increases of 4.0% and 6.4%, respectively, in the core CPI and core PPI.</p>\n<p>Investors and economists will also get a look at a pair of sentiment surveys this week:&nbsp;The National Federation of Independent Business’ Small Business Optimism Index for June on Tuesday and The University of Michigan’s Consumer Sentiment index for July on Friday. The&nbsp;Federal Reserve releases its latest beige book on Wednesday, the Census Bureau reports retail-sales data for June on Friday, and theBank of Japanannounces its latest monetary-policy decision on Friday.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1508a89eaa3fb959feaaa832797a2c48\" tg-width=\"1176\" tg-height=\"360\"></p>\n<p><b>Monday 7/12</b></p>\n<p>FedExhosts a conference call to update the investment community on its business outlook.</p>\n<p><b>Tuesday 7/13</b></p>\n<p>JPMorgan Chase and Goldman Sachs Group kick off earnings season by reporting results before the market open. The two money-center banks recently lifted their dividends 11% and 60%, respectively.</p>\n<p>Conagra Brands,Fastenal,First Republic Bank,and PepsiCo report quarterly results.</p>\n<p>Dell Technologieshosts a conference call to discuss its ESG strategy.</p>\n<p><b>The Bureau of Labor</b>&nbsp;Statistics releases the consumer price index for June. Economists forecast a 4.9% year-over-year rise, after a 5% jump in May—the fastest rate of growth since August 2008. The core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, is expected to increase 4% compared with 3.8% previously.</p>\n<p><b>The National Federation</b>&nbsp;of Independent Business releases its Small Business Optimism Index for June. Consensus estimate is for a 99.5 reading, about even with the May figure.</p>\n<p><b>Wednesday 7/14</b></p>\n<p>Bank of America,BlackRock,Citigroup, Delta Air Lines,PNC Financial Services Group,and Wells Fargo release earnings.</p>\n<p><b>The Federal Reserve</b>&nbsp;releases the beige book for the fifth of eight times this year. The report gathers anecdotal evidence of current economic conditions in the 12 Federal Reserve districts.</p>\n<p><b>The BLS releases</b>&nbsp;the producer price index for June. Expectations are for both the PPI and core PPI to increase 0.5% month over month. This compares with gains of 0.8% and 0.7%, respectively, in May.</p>\n<p><b>Thursday 7/15</b></p>\n<p>Bank of New York Mellon,Cintas,Morgan Stanley, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing,Truist Financial,U.S. Bancorp,and UnitedHealth Group hold conference calls to discuss quarterly results.</p>\n<p><b>Friday 7/16</b></p>\n<p>Charles Schwab,Ericsson,Kansas City Southern, andState Streetannounce earnings.</p>\n<p><b>The Bank of Japan</b>&nbsp;announces its monetary-policy decision. The central bank is widely expected to keep its key short-term interest rate unchanged at negative 0.1%. In June, the BOJ said it would launch a climate-change plan by the end of this year, and would release a preliminary plan at its July meeting. This could take the form of higher interest rates paid to banks for green-lending measures.</p>\n<p><b>The University of Michigan</b>&nbsp;releases its Consumer Sentiment index for July. Economists forecast an 86.5 reading, slightly higher than June’s 85.5. The index is still well below its levels from just prior to the pandemic.</p>\n<p><b>The Census Bureau</b>&nbsp;reports retail-sales data for June. Consensus estimate is for a 0.5% monthly decline in spending to $617 billion, after slumping 1.3% in May.</p>","source":"lsy1610680873436","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Chase, Delta, Goldman Sachs, PepsiCo, and Other Stocks to Watch This Week</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nChase, Delta, Goldman Sachs, PepsiCo, and Other Stocks to Watch This Week\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-12 05:40 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.barrons.com/articles/stocks-for-investors-to-watch-this-week-51625883421><strong>Barron's</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Second-quarter earnings season gets under way this week, with several big banks reporting. JPMorgan ChaseandGoldman SachsGroup kick things off on Tuesday, followed byBank of America,Wells Fargo,...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/stocks-for-investors-to-watch-this-week-51625883421\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BAC":"美国银行","WFC":"富国银行","MS":"摩根士丹利","JPM":"摩根大通","GS":"高盛","C":"花旗","TSM":"台积电"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/stocks-for-investors-to-watch-this-week-51625883421","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1114863871","content_text":"Second-quarter earnings season gets under way this week, with several big banks reporting. JPMorgan ChaseandGoldman SachsGroup kick things off on Tuesday, followed byBank of America,Wells Fargo,andCitigroupon Wednesday andMorgan Stanleyon Thursday.\nOther major companies reporting this week includePepsiCoandFastenalon Tuesday,Delta Air Lineson Wednesday,Taiwan Semiconductor ManufacturingandUnitedHealth Groupon Thursday, andKansas City Southernon Friday.\nThe week’s economic calendar will be equally busy. The Bureau of Labor Statistics releases the consumer price index for June on Tuesday, followed by the producer price index for June on Wednesday. Expectations are for year-over-year increases of 4.0% and 6.4%, respectively, in the core CPI and core PPI.\nInvestors and economists will also get a look at a pair of sentiment surveys this week: The National Federation of Independent Business’ Small Business Optimism Index for June on Tuesday and The University of Michigan’s Consumer Sentiment index for July on Friday. The Federal Reserve releases its latest beige book on Wednesday, the Census Bureau reports retail-sales data for June on Friday, and theBank of Japanannounces its latest monetary-policy decision on Friday.\n\nMonday 7/12\nFedExhosts a conference call to update the investment community on its business outlook.\nTuesday 7/13\nJPMorgan Chase and Goldman Sachs Group kick off earnings season by reporting results before the market open. The two money-center banks recently lifted their dividends 11% and 60%, respectively.\nConagra Brands,Fastenal,First Republic Bank,and PepsiCo report quarterly results.\nDell Technologieshosts a conference call to discuss its ESG strategy.\nThe Bureau of Labor Statistics releases the consumer price index for June. Economists forecast a 4.9% year-over-year rise, after a 5% jump in May—the fastest rate of growth since August 2008. The core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, is expected to increase 4% compared with 3.8% previously.\nThe National Federation of Independent Business releases its Small Business Optimism Index for June. Consensus estimate is for a 99.5 reading, about even with the May figure.\nWednesday 7/14\nBank of America,BlackRock,Citigroup, Delta Air Lines,PNC Financial Services Group,and Wells Fargo release earnings.\nThe Federal Reserve releases the beige book for the fifth of eight times this year. The report gathers anecdotal evidence of current economic conditions in the 12 Federal Reserve districts.\nThe BLS releases the producer price index for June. Expectations are for both the PPI and core PPI to increase 0.5% month over month. This compares with gains of 0.8% and 0.7%, respectively, in May.\nThursday 7/15\nBank of New York Mellon,Cintas,Morgan Stanley, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing,Truist Financial,U.S. Bancorp,and UnitedHealth Group hold conference calls to discuss quarterly results.\nFriday 7/16\nCharles Schwab,Ericsson,Kansas City Southern, andState Streetannounce earnings.\nThe Bank of Japan announces its monetary-policy decision. The central bank is widely expected to keep its key short-term interest rate unchanged at negative 0.1%. In June, the BOJ said it would launch a climate-change plan by the end of this year, and would release a preliminary plan at its July meeting. This could take the form of higher interest rates paid to banks for green-lending measures.\nThe University of Michigan releases its Consumer Sentiment index for July. Economists forecast an 86.5 reading, slightly higher than June’s 85.5. The index is still well below its levels from just prior to the pandemic.\nThe Census Bureau reports retail-sales data for June. Consensus estimate is for a 0.5% monthly decline in spending to $617 billion, after slumping 1.3% in May.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"JPM":0.9,"BAC":0.9,"TSM":0.9,"C":0.9,"GS":0.9,"MS":0.9,"WFC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2854,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":143499748,"gmtCreate":1625806683984,"gmtModify":1703748962262,"author":{"id":"3580280937765956","authorId":"3580280937765956","name":"ShuJie","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fab78f17f563d835249358a8d127785c","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3580280937765956","idStr":"3580280937765956"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Sold haha","listText":"Sold haha","text":"Sold haha","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/143499748","repostId":"1192570348","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2299,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":154439086,"gmtCreate":1625537802645,"gmtModify":1703743267977,"author":{"id":"3580280937765956","authorId":"3580280937765956","name":"ShuJie","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fab78f17f563d835249358a8d127785c","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3580280937765956","idStr":"3580280937765956"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow I shall share&nbsp;with my friend","listText":"Wow I shall share&nbsp;with my friend","text":"Wow I shall share with my friend","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/154439086","repostId":"2149466331","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2501,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"defaultTab":"posts","isTTM":true}