Common sense suggests, precious metals, especially gild, typically serve as safe-haven assets during geopolitical crises, with prices often spiking as investors seek refuge from uncertainty. The trend is likely to continue. But is Every Dip a Buy? Well, I for one consider pullbacks as entries because the medium-to-long-term outlook for gold and silver remains positive due to central bank accumulation and monetary policy easing. But sudden diplomatic resolution or change in Fed. policy can trigger sharp retracements also. So there ciuld at least be Range-Bound Action, geopolitical stress and central bank demand provide a floor allowing metals to consolidate at elevated levels rather than reversing sharply.
As of today Nvidia is ~$190 & has been 9n a roll since 3 years. But the market sentiment now seems mixed due to valuation concerns & the longevity of AI infrastructure spending. The future trend, apart from new innovations, depends on (a) new, aggressive infrastructure commitments (b) "No-Win" narrative due to high market expectations (c) Demand for the next-generation Blackwell architecture & (d) Sovereign AI" demand—nations building their own domestic AI capacity—as a potential new revenue stream that could offset any slowdown in private cloud spending. Assuming all or most of these work in its favour, we can expect the AI story in the markets to zoom.
$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$ the present year has been rather bad to me personally on many fronts: health & some domestic issues and also portfolio wise. Really hoping the year of the 🐎 🐴 will be much better & gallop ahead in the gains 📈 Lane. I plan to focus more on blue-chip bets like DBS, UOB, NVDA in this year. They have stood the test of time.
Softer CPI print increases the possibility of rate cuts by providing the Fed with the flexibility & reassurance needed to shift focus from fighting inflation to supporting labor market. There will be few major factors behind this: (1) Probability Shift where people have bet for a June cut, with probabilities as high as 83% to 90% (2) Timing: a March cut remains highly unlikely due to a still-strong labor market, the disinflation trend keeps this likely for H2 2026 (3) Qquantum of cuts: Markets now price in approximately 63 basis points of total easing for 2026, equivalent to about two to three quarter-point reductions by year-end. (4) how markets react: S&P 500 and other major indices initially rallied on the news, as lower inflation and the prospect of
Supply tightening and liquid float decrease will be the first outcomes. Steady sovereign accumulation on this scale would likely exert a structural tightening effect on the market with significantly reduced liquid float, the logically expected price elasticity as and when there are demand shocks. Both these can lead to a market multiplier i.e. a "reflexive" effect where every $1 of net inflow can increase Bitcoin's market cap by $3.70 in bull markets, as institutional buyers typically hold with higher conviction than retail - any good macroeconomics student can explain this. Many points to note wouos be a fragile sentiment, maintaining support levels: & being mindful of structural shifts.