To The Moon

Written 1 month ago at Marlin Capital, following the 90-day tariff pause 👇👇The $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ is down over 30% since 🎯Total Positioning has gone from -2.5z to -0.8z 🎯ImageFor whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:🏦 Open a CBA today and enjoy privileges of up to SGD 20,000 in trading limit with 0 commission. Trade SG, HK, US stocks as well as ETFs unlimitedly!Find out more here：Trade on a Cash Boost Account and enjoy up to 6 months of Commission-Free trading.💰Join the TB Contra Telegram Group to Get $10 Trading Vouchers Now🎉💰CBA Mini Course 1: What is Cash Boost Account(CBA)?

Systematic strategies (CTAs, Vol Control, and Risk Parity) are historically low on equities exposure here (~4th percentile). This will be a major source of buying demand moving forward. $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ $iShares Russell 2000 ETF(IWM)$ ImageFor whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:🏦 Open a CBA today and enjoy privileges of up to SGD 20,000 in trading limit with 0 commission. Trade SG, HK, US stocks as well as ETFs unlimitedly!Find out more here：Trade on a Cash Boost Account and enjoy up to 6 months of Commission-Free trading.💰Join the TB Contra Telegram Group to Get $10

While forward EPS revisions have been overwhelmingly negative (in terms of breadth), the overall EPS picture remains much steadier than previous recessionary periods. $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ $Microsoft(MSFT)$ $Apple(AAPL)$ $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ ImageFor whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:🏦 Open a CBA today and enjoy privileges of up to SGD 20,000 in trading limit with 0 commission. Trade SG, HK, US stocks as well as ETFs unlimitedly!Find out more here：Trade on a Cash Boost Account and enjoy up to 6 months of Commission-Free trading.

Systematic Funds are being forced to add back net long exposure with the market rallying. Vol Control Funds have basically just begun buying from 3+ year allocation lows. $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ $Microsoft(MSFT)$ $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ For whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:🏦 Open a CBA today and enjoy privileges of up to SGD 20,000 in trading limit with 0 commission. Trade SG, HK, US stocks as well as ETFs unlimitedly!Find out more here：Trade on a Cash Boost Account and enjoy up to 6 months of Commission-Free trad

We have had 16 NYSE Breadth Thrusts since 1939. The $S&P 500(.SPX)$ was higher 6 months later all 16 times.We just had the 17th signal trigger last week.ImageFor whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:🏦 Open a CBA today and enjoy privileges of up to SGD 20,000 in trading limit with 0 commission. Trade SG, HK, US stocks as well as ETFs unlimitedly!Find out more here：Trade on a Cash Boost Account and enjoy up to 6 months of Commission-Free trading.💰Join the TB Contra Telegram Group to Get $10 Trading Vouchers Now🎉💰CBA Mini Course 1: What is Cash Boost Account(CBA)?

Only 8 of the 59 $S&P 500(.SPX)$ companies that have reported in Q1 so far have issued forward guidance (13%, vs. ~40% avg).0 have guided above consensus.Not good.ImageThis is true. So far, thru Q1 Earnings Season:✅ Fewest companies issuing guidance since COVID (13% vs 40% avg)✅ Worst guidance ratio since COVID ✅ Company mentions of worse” or “weaker” at 2008 GFC levels.ImageFor whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:🏦 Open a CBA today and enjoy privileges of up to SGD 20,000 in trading limit with 0 commission. Trade SG, HK, US stocks as well as ETFs unlimitedly!Find out more here：Trade on a Cash Boost Account and enjoy up to 6 months of Commission-Free trading.💰Join the TB Contra Tele

Long Mag 7 has finally been dethroned from the “Most Crowded Trade” spot after 2+ years. Long Gold now takes the top spot. $SPDR Gold Shares(GLD)$ $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ $Microsoft(MSFT)$ $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ $Apple(AAPL)$ $Alphabet(GOOG)$ $Alphabet(GOOGL)$ ImageFor whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:🏦 Open a CBA today and enjoy privileges of up to SGD 20,00

We have had 11 $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ spikes above 45 since 1997.4 months later, the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ was higher 10/11 times (ex. 2008) with an average gain of +6.4%.ImageThe relative valuation of Big Tech vs. the S&P 500 is now at 10 year lows. This feels very extreme. $Microsoft(MSFT)$ $Apple(AAPL)$ $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ $Alphabet(GOOG)$ $Alphabet(GOOGL)$ $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$

The $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ just had its largest 1-day decline EVER. Here are the other 6 largest 1D VIX drops along with what the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ did next. 👇ImageThe $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ saw its biggest daily inflow in 4+ years yesterday at over +$4B.Definitely a lot of Hedge Fund short covering and overall repositioning $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ ImageFor whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:🏦 Open a CBA today and enjoy privileges of up to SGD 20,000 in trading limit with 0 commission. Trade SG, HK, US stocks as well as ETFs unlimitedly!Fi

In every recession since 1970, we have also had a corresponding earnings recession.The median recessionary EPS decline is -15%. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ $iShares Russell 2000 ETF(IWM)$ $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ $Microsoft(MSFT)$ ImageFor whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:🏦 Open a CBA today and enjoy privileges of up to SGD 20,000 in trading limit with 0 commission. Tra