To The Moon

On November 19, 2025, Nvidia $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ delivered yet another blockbuster quarterly report that not only shattered Wall Street expectations but also sent its stock soaring in after-hours trading. Revenue clocked in at a record $57.01 billion — up 62% year-over-year and 22% sequentially — while adjusted earnings per share hit $0.81 (or $1.30 on a reported basis in some metrics), comfortably beating consensus forecasts. More importantly, the company guided for Q4 revenue around $65 billion, well above the $62 billion analysts had anticipated. Blackwell GPU sales were described as "off the charts," cloud providers' capacity is fully utilised and sold out for quarters ahead. CFO Colette Kress reaffirmed visibility into roughly half a trillion doll

I've been reading a lot of comments about the "panic selling" in the market this November. But something isn't adding up. We're seeing high-growth tech and AI stocks (the darlings of 2023-2024) getting absolutely hammered. Yet, when we look at the market's "Fear Gauge," the VIX (S&P 500 Volatility Index), it's hovering around 20. This is the central puzzle. A VIX at 20 is elevated, it's "anxiety"—it is not the "blind panic" (think 40, 60, or 80+) that we see during a true market-wide crash. So, if it's not a panic, what is it? I believe what we're witnessing is not a panic-driven stampede, but a rational, structural "liquidation" of the market's most expensive assets. And the key piece of evidence is the VIX's cousin. It is quite possibly the most orderly, professional, cold-blooded se

As we hit mid-November 2025, the investment community is buzzing with year-end debates: Is there still gas in the tank for this bull market, or should we brace for a cooldown? The forum prompt captures this tension perfectly, highlighting tailwinds like Fed rate cuts, AI-driven earnings, and strong corporate results, while cautioning about lofty valuations and potential volatility. But before diving into predictions for the S&P 500 or Nasdaq's final moves of the year—and spotlighting a standout sector—let's address the elephant in the room: the supposed "significant market pullback" since November began. Based on my analysis of recent data, this narrative doesn't hold up. Instead, we've seen a robust rally, and understanding its drivers is key to gauging what's next. Before jumping int

This article serves as a supplemental analysis to the previous piece, "Figma's Q3 2025 Earnings: AI Fuels Growth Amid Post-IPO Volatility," focusing specifically on the potential short-term fluctuations in FIG's stock price due to upcoming lock-up expirations and market dynamics. While Figma's Q3 earnings report was positive, the impending lock-up period expirations could indeed trigger significant stock price volatility over the next few weeks to a month, particularly in the current market environment, where insider and early investor selling pressure should not be underestimated. Below, I'll combine the latest data and analysis to share my independent judgment. Lock-Up Period Details and Potential Impact Based on reliable sources, Figma's IPO lock-up period is primarily 180 days, startin

Figma Inc. $Figma(FIG)$ , the collaborative design software powerhouse, delivered its Q3 2025 earnings report on November 5, 2025, showcasing resilient growth in a competitive market. The results, which highlighted the impact of AI integrations on customer acquisition and retention, come on the heels of a challenging Q2 where the stock faced significant pressure following its July 2025 IPO. As of after-hours trading on November 5, shares climbed 6.7% to $47, signalling investor approval of the beat-and-raise quarter. In this analysis, we'll break down the key metrics, compare them to Q2, examine the stock's trajectory, and provide an independent assessment of Figma's trajectory. Q3 2025 Highlights: Beating Expectations with AI Momentum Figma report

AMD $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ delivered what can only be described as a phenomenal Q3 2025 earnings report. The chip giant not only met but comfortably exceeded Wall Street's expectations across almost every key metric, posting record revenues and offering robust guidance for Q4. Yet, despite this stellar performance, the stock experienced a notable drop of over 4% in after-hours trading. For many investors, this outcome can be perplexing: how does a company deliver such strong results and see its stock fall? Let's break down the "why" and explore the underlying reasons, as well as what this means for AMD's outlook. The Numbers Don't Lie: A Truly Strong Quarter First, let's acknowledge the strength of AMD's Q3. The company reported: Revenue of

The Party's Over? Why This Drop Feels Different That familiar sinking feeling is back. For the third time in four months (August, September, and now November), the market has opened the month with a sharp drop. While October's dip was blamed on specific tariff news, this one feels more systemic. With the S&P 500 up a staggering 37% in just six months—a feat seen only five times since 1950—and veteran bulls like Ed Yardeni warning of a 5% pullback, the crucial question is the one on everyone's mind: Is this a healthy pause, or the beginning of a real trend reversal? While the AI-driven narrative has powered this historic rally, a look under the hood reveals several flashing red lights. I believe this isn't just a minor pullback; it's a foundational warning that the market's key drivers

An earnings beat on the bottom line was no match for a story of slowing growth, as high interest rates continue to clog the FinTech's funding model. Upstart ( $Upstart Holdings, Inc.(UPST)$ reported its third-quarter 2025 financial results on Tuesday, and the market's reaction was swift and decisive. In after-hours trading, the stock fell by over 11%, providing a perfect case study for a high-growth company running headlong into a macroeconomic wall. On the surface, the quarter was a confusing, mixed bag. But for a high-beta stock like Upstart, the past is irrelevant. The story, and the reason for the sell-off, was found in one place: a critical failure in its forward-looking guidance. The Mixed Bag: Q3 by the Numbers By the raw numbers, Upstart’s

In the dynamic arena of financial technology, where digital disruption meets the unyielding currents of market sentiment, SoFi Technologies ( $SoFi Technologies Inc.(SOFI)$ ) continues to carve a path of innovation. Released on October 28, 2025, amid the shadow of an impending Federal Reserve decision, the company's Q3 earnings report reveals not just numbers, but a narrative of resilience and evolution. Yet, as shares dipped to $29.48—a 1.57% decline from Monday's close—the market's response prompts a timeless investor's reflection: In the pursuit of growth, does short-term volatility obscure long-term vision? This analysis explores SoFi's latest milestones, deciphers the price dynamics, and projects forward, blending data with insights to illumi

“The AI Capex Paradox: Will Google’s $90B Bet Pay Off Tomorrow?” Executive Summary Alphabet reports Q3 2025 earnings after market close on Wednesday, October 29. With shares at $269.93 (Monday close) and trading near all-time highs, the bar is high. Base Case (65% probability): Beat & Raise on Cloud and AI momentum Stock Target: $285–$295 (+6–9%) within 72 hours Bull Case (20%): Cloud >$15B, AI revenue >$3B, capex guided down Target: $305+ (+13%) Bear Case (15%): Cloud margin compression, AI ROI scrutiny, capex up again Target: $245–$255 (-6 to -9%) The Core Thesis: Alphabet Is Not Just an Ad Company Anymore — But It Still Is Let’s be clear: ~78% of revenue still comes from advertising. But the growth engine has shifted. Insight: Cloud will grow 3.3x faster than ads. This is no l