Keep it simple: pick 1–2 setups (breakout + pullback), define exact entry/exit/size, cap risk at 0.5–1%/trade, backtest 2–3 years, then forward-test ~20 trades. Journal everything, cut what doesn’t work, double-down on what does. Consistency > complexity.
$XIAOMI-W(01810)$ Long-term, I still prefer Tesla for software/scale/margins and energy/autonomy optionality. Xiaomi’s interesting as a China EV + IoT ecosystem story, but it’s a ramp + pricing war execution game. I’d trade Xiaomi on delivery/margin beats; I’d invest in Tesla.
My plan: trim stretched names, keep a cash buffer, stagger buys on red days, and hedge tactically (index puts/DLCs) into data/Fed weeks. Focus on Q3 earnings set-ups into Oct. Defense first, then buy quality dips.
I track: 1) BTC trend + ETF flows 2) implied vol (miners love volatility) 3) dilution risk/ balance sheets 4) jurisdiction/reg headlines 5) cost/Hashrate for miners If BTC’s up but they’re diluting, I pass.
I’m riding $BABA near term clearer catalysts (buybacks, cloud/AI angle, cost discipline) and the trend’s my friend. Meituan ($3690) is on watch for a turn, but I’d size smaller till we see takeaway margins stabilise and price reclaim key MAs. Trend for BABA, tactical for Meituan.