$200 Mln Inauguration? Will Trump Office Bring Benefits Back to Big Companies?
On January 20, Donald Trump will take the oath of office at the White House, officially beginning his second presidential term.
Tomorrow will be the last trading day before Trump's inauguration, and Bitcoin has already returned to $100,000. $Trump Media & Technology(DJT)$ has also been rising. Recently, Morgan Stanley raised $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ target price to an extremely high $800.
Cost $200 million? Unprecedented enthusiasm from major companies in support!
According to the Trump Inaugural Committee's report, over $170 million has already been raised for the event, setting a new record. The committee expects to raise over $200 million by the end of this week, making it the most expensive inauguration in US history.
After the "Capitol Hill riot" incident, Zuckerberg blocked Trump’s accounts on Facebook and Instagram. However, during Trump’s campaign, Zuckerberg has frequently made overtures. ABC reported that Meta, the company Zuckerberg oversees, donated $1 million to Trump’s inaugural fund last month, marking the first time $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ has ever donated to a presidential inauguration fund.
Politics and the stock market are closely linked: The three tech giants will gather.
Trump's team announced a four-day inauguration schedule, starting on January 18 and ending on January 21.
The activities include a fireworks display and VIP events at Trump’s golf course, a celebration rally on the eve of the inauguration, and three balls following the ceremony.
The three tech moguls—Elon Musk, Mark Zuckerberg, and Jeff Bezos—who lead the US internet and high-tech industries, are all invited and are likely to sit in the front row together. Given the conflicts among the three, some media have speculated about their potentially “awkward but polite” interactions on the day of the ceremony.
Will Bitcoin hit a new high?
Tiger Brokers analysts recently lowered their target price for $Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$ , as the current probability of Bitcoin moving up or down is roughly 50-50. For most investors, entering the market now is not a good idea.
We continue to see BTC's probability of moving up or down as roughly 50-50, with upside potential to $130K (+34%) and downside risk to $61K (-36%) being relatively balanced. Accordingly, we maintain our HOLD rating but lower our price target to $265 (from $350).
Questions to discuss:
Are you looking forward to Trump's inauguration?
Which part of the "Trump trade" do you find most promising?
Can Bitcoin hit a new all-time high?
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In terms of the "Trump trade," I find the performance of stocks like DJT & the potential for Bitcoin to be particularly intriguing. The connection between politics and the stock market is undeniable, and Trump's second term could lead to some interesting shifts in the market, especially with his influence on technology stocks and cryptocurrency.
As for Bitcoin, I think it's possible that it could hit a new all-time high, especially given the recent price surge to $100,000. However, the likelihood of Bitcoin reaching $130,000 or facing a downturn to $61,000 seems pretty balanced. The future of Bitcoin could be uncertain, but with the right market catalysts, it’s certainly plausible that it could push even higher.
@Tiger_comments @TigerStars @TigerGPT
在“特朗普贸易”中，我认为能源和国防板块最具潜力。特朗普一向支持传统能源，尤其是石油与天然气行业，像埃克森美孚（XOM）和康菲石油（COP）等企业有望受益。此外，地缘政治紧张局势若加剧，军工和国防公司如洛克希德·马丁（LMT）和诺斯洛普·格鲁曼（NOC）也可能迎来订单增长。
至于比特币，我认为特朗普上台对其走势影响有限。比特币的走势更多受全球货币政策和市场风险偏好驱动。但若特朗普推动美元贬值或经济政策引发通胀，可能间接助推比特币创新高。不过，短期内比特币涨势仍需关注市场情绪和监管环境。
总的来说，特朗普上任后，能源与国防板块是我认为最值得布局的方向。比特币则需谨慎观察，逢低布局可能是更稳妥的策略。
之後“國會山暴動”事件，扎克伯格封鎖了特朗普在臉書和Instagram上的賬號。不過，在特朗普競選期間，扎克伯格已經頻頻示好。美國廣播公司報道稱，扎克伯格監管的Meta公司上個月向特朗普的就職基金捐贈了100萬美元，這是首次$元平臺公司(META)$曾向總統就職基金捐款。
Regulatory Clarity for Crypto:
A crypto-friendly regulatory framework could reduce uncertainty and attract institutional investors. Simplifying rules and supporting innovation might drive broader adoption of Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies.
Regulatory Clarity for Crypto:
A crypto-friendly regulatory framework could reduce uncertainty and attract institutional investors. Simplifying rules and supporting innovation might drive broader adoption of Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies.