Macquarie Sees Upside for S-REITs【CSOP Fixed Income Weekly】
Weekly Performance Checkpoint
【SRT】
Last week, SRT traded relatively flat. Gains were led by data centre, industrial and office by subsectors and CICT, KDCREIT and MPACT by individual REITs. Losses were led by hotel by subsectors and FCT, DCREIT and FLT by individual REITs.
According to Business Times, S-REITs outperformed as banking stocks weakened, signalling a potential sector rotation and S-REITs attracted institutional buying after weeks of net institutional outflows. Over the month of March, S-REITs outperformed Singapore’s major banks (DBS, UOB, OCBC).
$CSOP S-REITs INDEX ETF(SRT.SI)$ 2025 YTD Total Return: +2.07%
【MMF】
Last week, equity markets saw a rise in risk-on sentiment amid easing tariff fears. Economic releases presented a mixed picture amid near-term uncertainty in bond markets. Besides that, there was news that Trump intends to extend his 2017 tax cuts and raise debt ceiling limit.
Nevertheless, we expect CSOPUMM to continue to deliver stable yield in the near term. As of 20250328, the fund has a net yield at 4.16%. ^
$CSOP US Dollar Money Market ETF Unlisted Share Class P(HK0000503836)$ Net 7-day Yield: +4.16%
^ 7-day net yield is calculated based on calendar days and NAVs in 5-decimal.
【CN】
Over the quarter-end accounting period, funding costs are relatively elevated with 7-day repo rate fixing averaging 2.18% last week (vs 1.97% prior).
Last week, the central bank has shifted the monthly medium-term lending facility (MLF) auction to a multiple price system, marking the end of a chapter in China’s monetary policy. In other news, PBOC officials reiterated plans to cut the reserve requirement ratio (RRR) and interest rates at an appropriate time, considering domestic and global economic and financial conditions.
Moving into April, liquidity conditions are postulated to improve after the quarter-end period. Despite the aforementioned plans by PBOC, given resilient equity market performance, and economic data and credit data being better than anticipated, the probability of an impending RRR reduction stays low.
Looking at YTD performance as of 2025/03/27, $ICBC CSOP CGB ETF SGD(CYC.SI)$ / $ICBC CSOP CGB ETF US$D(CYB.SI)$ ’s NAV fell -0.78% in CNY and gained -0.32% in USD*.
* CYC/CYB/CYX USD NAV is converted based on benchmark FX, subject to rounding error
Global Market Outlook
【SG】Macquarie Sees Upside for S-REITs
Macquarie noted that markets anticipate ~47bps Fed rate cuts in 2025 which potentially boosts S-REITs, despite its own forecast for unchanged rates. Lower rates could drive over 10% upside for S-REITs.
【US】Uncertainty over Tariff Impact Prompts Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis President to Caution that Officials Could Hold Rates Steady for Longer
Trump’s 25% tariff on auto imports is postulated to impact this year’s GDP growth and push inflation higher, and Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis President said last week that it is not clear the impact of tariffs will prove temporary, and cautioned that secondary effects could prompt officials to hold interest rates steady for longer.
Source: CSOP, Bloomberg, JPM, HSBC, as of 2025/03/28.
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SRT
The CSOP iEdge S-REIT Leaders Index ETF is not in any way sponsored, endorsed, sold or promoted by Singapore Exchange Limited and/or its affiliates (collectively, “SGX”) and SGX makes no warranty or representation whatsoever, expressly or impliedly, either as to the results to be obtained from the use of the iEdge S-REIT Leaders Index and/or the figure at which the iEdge S-REIT Leaders Index stand at any particular time on any particular day or otherwise. The iEdge S-REIT Leaders Index are administered, calculated, and published by SGX. SGX shall not be liable (whether in negligence or otherwise) to any person for any error in the CSOP iEdge S-REIT Leaders Index ETF and the iEdge S-REIT Leaders Index and shall not be under any obligation to advise any person of any error therein. “SGX” is a trademark of SGX and is used by CSOP under license. All intellectual property rights in the iEdge S-REIT Leaders Index vest in SGX.
CYC/CYB/CYX
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