Honestly, I think the market has already priced in much of the tariff shock. A 104% tariff sounds extreme, but once tariffs go beyond 100%, the marginal impact starts to fade—it becomes more about politics than real economics. Trump urging people to buy DJT stock feels more like a sideshow. Still, the retaliation from China and the EU will eventually hit corporate margins and global trade.

This short-term rebound could very well be a dead cat bounce. With EPS estimates revised down and the Fed unlikely to step in quickly, there's not much support under the market. I’ve trimmed some tech positions into strength and am holding cash in case we retest lows. The S&P’s current valuation still feels high compared to historical averages.

Instead of betting heavily on inverse ETFs—which can suffer from decay—I’ve been testing strangle strategies on SPY and QQQ to play the volatility. It offers flexibility without committing to one direction. @Tiger_comments @TigerStars

# Fed Keeps Unchanged: Are 3 Rate Cut Estimates Too Optimistic?

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  • 1PC
    ·04-13
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    Nice Sharing 😀 I read it as a  potential Dead Cat 😺 Bounce too [Speechless]... Time to Reduce position [Facepalm]. @Jes86188 @Gis @Barcode @JC888 @koolgal
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    • Shyon
      Haha seem like some good news over this weekend
      04-13
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