Tariff Pause Lifted Asian Equities; JPM Shifted Fed Cut Forecast to September [CSOP APAC Midweek Glance]

East Asia

$CSOP LOW CARBON US$(LCU.SI)$ WTD return: 3.84%

• LCU gained 3.84% WTD in USD, after tariff pause which offered some short-term relief. Trump has temporarily suspended consumer electronics tariffs (smartphones, laptops, chips) and floated delaying auto tariffs.

• Positive sentiment also drew support from S&P 500's last Friday's rally, fuelled by Fed assurances to stabilize markets if needed.

• Gains were led by Alibaba Group, Tencent and Toyota Motor Corp. Toyota Motor gained after Trump floated delaying auto tariffs.

$CSOP SEA TECH ETF US$(SQU.SI)$ $CSOP SEA TECH ETF S$(SQQ.SI)$ WTD return: 2.55%

• SQU rose 2.55% WTD in USD, and gains were led by Astra International, Sime Darby and Goto Gojek Tokopedia.

• Macquarie notes Astra's management's long-term optimism for Indonesia despite short-term macroeconomic headwinds. Astra has low direct exposure to US, and is confident of keeping autos market share dominance. It also shared that financial services have been a resilient contributor and growth to persist.

China

$CSOP DIV ETF S$(SHD.SI)$ WTD return: 1.81%

• Central bank data revealed that China’s accelerated government bond issuance drove March credit expansion beyond expectations. Last month’s net financing from central and local government bonds hit nearly ¥1.5 trillion, the highest for the period since at least 2017.

• Liquidity pressures are mounting ahead of tax deadlines, with increased local bond payments and maturing interbank certificates of deposit compared to last week, fueling market speculation about potential easing measures like a reserve requirement ratio (RRR) cut.

• The China Financial Times cited experts interpreting signals for timely RRR and interest rate adjustments, noting that further monetary easing could occur if macroeconomic conditions deteriorate, aiming to spur growth.

US

• Over the weekend, tariff exemptions on key consumer electronics eased trade tensions and resulted in improved market depth.

• Despite spread widening pressure and signs of deleveraging last week, JPM notes orderly funding markets and available liquidity.

• JPM now forecasts a September Fed cut (vs June previously) post 90-day tariff-pause reprieve.

Source: CSOP, Bloomberg, JPM, as of 2025/04/15

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