SPX Long-Term Investment Strategy: Stay the Course

pretiming
04-18

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$

Long-Term Investment Strategy: Stay the Course

  • The long-term strategy remains “Buy and Hold”, as we are still in a Bullish Zone.

  • The market has been in this bullish state for the past 4 days, with a cumulative return of +0.1% since April 10, 2025.

📈 Entry Price (Apr 10): 5,268.1
📉 Current Price (Apr 16): 5,275.7
➕ Profit: +7.7 points

💡 Why Buy and Hold?
In a Bullish Zone, prices tend to rise over time. Holding your investment without frequent trading allows you to benefit from the overall upward trend.

Unless the market shifts into a Bearish Zone (which would signal a major trend reversal), there is no need to change your long-term strategy.

Expected Movement Over the Next 10 Days

The market is expected to move in a sideways box pattern, meaning a mix of ups and downs within a certain price range:

  • Downward vs. Upward trend ratio: 8 : 2
    → Downward trends are more likely in the short term.

  • Downward intensity: Moderate

  • Upward intensity: Slightly stronger than downward

🔮 Predicted Price Range (next 10 days):

  • Low: 5,223.0 (–1.0%)

  • High: 5,492.6 (+4.1%)

  • Median: 5,357.8 (+1.6%)

Trend Strength and Market Correlation

  • Current Trend Level: Bullish at 110% strength

  • Expected Next 10-Day Average Trend: Bullish at 87%

  • Upward intensity (if rising): +57%

  • Downward intensity (if falling): –46%

📊 The S&P 500 moves very closely with the overall U.S. stock market, with a 93% correlation.
This means any major move in the U.S. market index will likely affect the S&P 500 in the same direction.

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Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

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