To The Moon

$BigBear.ai Holdings(BBAI)$ 

The BigBear.ai Holdings stock price increased by 7.78% on the most recent trading day (Thursday, 24th Apr 2025), moving up from $2.70 to $2.91. It has now experienced gains for three consecutive days. It will be interesting to see if it can maintain this upward trend or if it will take a brief pause in the coming days. On the last trading day, the stock experienced fluctuations of 8.75%, with a low of $2.69 and a high of $2.92. Over the past 10 days, the price has declined in 6 of those days, resulting in a total decrease of -6.13% for that period. Volume fell on the last day by -8 million shares, with a total of 34 million shares traded, amounting to approximately $100.30 million. It is important to consider that a decrease in volume alongside rising prices can indicate divergence and may serve as an early warning of potential changes in the next few days.

The stock lies in the middle of a very wide and falling trend in the short term and further fall within the trend is signaled. Due to the high volatility and the trend direction we are not able to give forecast range for this stock.

BBAI Signals & Forecast

Volume fell during the last trading day despite gaining prices. This causes a divergence between volume and price and it may be an early warning. The stock should be watched closely. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The BigBear.ai Holdings stock holds a buy signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, the long-term average holds a general sell signal. Since the longterm average is above the short-term average there is a general sell signal in the stock giving a more negative forecast for the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the long-term Moving Average at $3.02. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the short-term average at $2.59. A break-up through the long-term average will give another buy signal, while a fall below the short-term average will add another sell signal and strengthen the general signal. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Thursday, February 13, 2025, and so far it has fallen -70.25%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD).

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for BigBear.ai Holdings stock

On the downside, the stock finds support just below today's level from accumulated volume at $2.66 and $2.62. There is a natural risk involved when a stock is testing a support level, since if this is broken, the stock then may fall to the next support level. In this case, BigBear.ai Holdings finds support just below today's level at $2.66. If this is broken, then the next support from accumulated volume will be at $2.62 and $2.57.

This stock may move much during the day (volatility) and with a large prediction interval from the Bollinger Band this stock is considered to be "high risk". During the last day, the stock moved $0.235 between high and low, or 8.75%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 6.60%.

Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.

Trading Expectations (BBAI) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Friday 25th

For the upcoming trading day on Friday, 25th we expect BigBear.ai Holdings to open at $2.84, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $2.57 and $3.25, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.341 (+/-11.73%) up or down from last closing price. If BigBear.ai Holdings takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 23.47% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $3.04 (4.47%) than the support at $2.66 (8.59%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.

Insiders are Very Negative Selling More Shares Than They Are Buying In BigBear.ai Holdings

In the last 100 trades there were 2.53 million shares bought and 145.08 million shares sold. The last trade was made 17 days ago by Pangiam Ultimate Holdings, Llc who sold 27.43 million shares. In general the insiders are selling more stocks than they buy. There can be a variety of reasons for this, but in general it can be considered as a negative signal.

Earnings coming up

BigBear.ai Holdings will release earnings AMC on Thursday, May 01, 2025.The consensus among the analysts for the expected earnings (EPS) is -$0.0600. We will update the financials statements for BigBear.ai Holdings, that can be found here as soon as the records are public. Our systems has calculated a possible swing of +/- 10.68% in the first trading day after earnings release.

Is BigBear.ai Holdings stock A Buy?

BigBear.ai Holdings holds several negative signals and is within a very wide and falling trend, so we believe it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock.