“Rolling Along”: Jobs, Trade Hopes, and a Relentless Rally
Markets Keep Climbing: Longest S&P 500 Streak in Two Decades
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The $S&P 500(.SPX)$ gained 1.5% Friday, marking its ninth straight day in the green. The longest win streak since 2004.
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Over that stretch, the index is up 10.2%, fully recovering losses from April’s volatility.
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The rally was broad-based, with 456 of 500 stocks in positive territory and every sector higher on the day.
Jobs Data Delivers – Rate Cut Odds Fall, But Risk Appetite Rises
Job Data
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April nonfarm payrolls came in at +177,000, topping expectations of +135,000.
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Unemployment rate held at 4.2%, reinforcing views of a still-resilient labor market.
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This strength reduced expectations for immediate Fed cuts, though President Trump renewed pressure for easing, claiming “NO INFLATION.”
Trade: China Hints at Deal – Apple Stumbles, Microsoft Rises
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China’s government stated its “door is wide open” to trade talks, hinting at renewed diplomacy following Apple’s earnings warning on Chinese demand.
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$Apple(AAPL)$ shares fell 3.7% after disclosing a 2.3% year-over-year drop in Greater China sales.
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As a result, $Microsoft(MSFT)$ surpassed Apple as the world’s most valuable company, with a $3.24T market cap.
Microsoft’s Azure cloud acceleration boosted confidence in long-term tech growth.
Looking Ahead: Fed, Earnings, and Energy Watch
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FOMC Meeting (Tues–Weds): The Fed is expected to hold rates steady. Chair Jerome Powell’s press conference will be critical for market expectations, especially after solid jobs data.
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Calendar Week:
Earnings
Monday: $Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ , Vertex Pharmaceuticals
Wednesday: $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ , Arista Networks, EA, Uber, Disney
Thursday: ConocoPhillips, Monster Beverage, Match Group
Economic Data:
Monday: ISM Services PMI
Thursday: NY Fed Consumer Expectations Survey
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Oil Market: OPEC+ is considering another ~400k bpd production hike for June after a surprise increase in May. A decision is expected Saturday, just ahead of President Trump’s planned Middle East visit.
Energy Diplomacy Could Ease Inflation: OPEC+ hikes, if confirmed, may support both supply and political stability.
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