$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ 🚨🧠💾 Palantir’s Paradox: When Winning Feels Like Losing 💾🧠🚨
Palantir just delivered solid numbers, hiked guidance, and flexed its AI dominance. So why did the stock plunge over -9%? Because expectations were even higher than the results!
Palantir Technologies raised its full-year revenue outlook, but the street yawned. Shares dropped 8.4% in extended trading as investors digested a modest 2.4% revenue beat and EPS merely in line at $0.13.
As analyst Gil Luria put it, “The only thing that’s higher than the results reported were expectations, and that’s why the stock is down.” Running Point CIO Michael Ashley Schulman added, “Investors were hoping for fireworks, not just results. Maybe a 10 times revenue beat.”
Co-founded by Peter Thiel, Palantir still draws over 42% of its revenue from government contracts, including battlefield visualisation software. That dependency introduces political crosswinds, especially with Trump’s return and Elon Musk’s Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) spearheading cost cuts.
Palantir’s CFO responded bluntly: “Focus on efficiency is excellent for Palantir. We support a push by the U.S. government to drive efficiency.”
Q1 FY25 Results:
Revenue $884M (+39% Y/Y) vs $862.8M est. EPS $0.13 in line.
Customers 769 (+39% Y/Y).
Net Dollar Retention 124% (+13pp Y/Y).
Net Income $218M, 25% margin (+8pp Y/Y).
Guidance Raised: Q2 Sales $936M vs $899M est.
FY25 Revenue $3.89B to $3.90B vs $3.75B est. Adj. Operating Margin 44% (+5pp Y/Y).
Despite this bullish guidance hike, the post-earnings reaction reminds us that when you’re priced for perfection, even great isn’t good enough!
Technically, $PLTR now hovers above key support at $112.50, with $115.40 as the immediate pivot back to bullish structure.
MACD is turning positive again. RSI(6) at 75.74 ~ hot, but not yet burned out.
EMV confirms continued smart money interest.
MA stack still supports the long-term uptrend. A close below $112.50 could open the door to $105.48. Hold this level, and bulls are back in control.
At the moment, it's stuck between a rock 🪨 and a hard place!
Palantir has surged over 63% YTD, making it the best $SPX performer. It’s the quintessential AI-meets-national-security story, but Wall Street is growing impatient. The shift toward defence efficiency under Trump 2.0 and Musk’s DOGE could pressure contract margins or timelines. That said, Palantir’s pipeline, commercial acceleration, and multi-sector entrenchment remain intact. This dip is less about flaws, more about inflated sentiment.
Hey Tiger Traders, are we looking at a classic buy-the-dip moment on real strength, or is this the beginning of sentiment decay in the AI narrative? Can Palantir live up to its own myth?
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