To The Moon

$Upstart Holdings, Inc.(UPST)$ 🚀🧠📊 $UPST: THE VOLATILITY VANGUARD EYES A MONSTROUS MOVE 📊🧠🚀

Prepare for lift-off. $UPST reports after-hours today, 07 May 2025, NZ Time, and it is the top winner of implied move across the board, priced for fireworks 🎆 

With a projected revenue of $201.1M, open interest at 320,008 contracts, and an options market baking in a +/-17.37% move ($8.71), this is no ordinary earnings day. This is the battleground of the week.

Past reactions tell the story of a stock that doesn’t tiptoe on earnings:

✅ +31.82%

✅ +46.02%

✅ +39.51%

❌ -5.56%

Despite a -25.53% drop since the last report, today’s setup suggests traders are betting big on a reversal. The bar chart data shows a Q4 2024 revenue surge, breaking a two-year slump and breathing life back into this fallen fintech.

From the chart, price is hugging the $50.15 level, just beneath the 150-day moving average, with a classic mean reversion setup. The yellow channel gives clear visual structure, and a breakout could be violent. RSI and MACD signal momentum is building.

Realised volatility sits at 1.55, but historical earnings swings suggest that’s about to spike. The street may be underestimating just how fast sentiment can flip.

This isn’t just a trade. It’s a test case in crowd psychology, mean reversion, and macro risk-on appetite.

🕒 Q1 2025 earnings drop today after close, 07 May 2025, NZ Time 🇳🇿

📊 Technical trigger: watch for break and hold above 150 MA

📈 Psychological trigger: reclaim of the $55 zone

🧠 Fundamental catalyst: revenue inflection vs. AI risk-model scrutiny

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Trade like a boss! Happy trading ahead, Cheers, BC 📈🚀🍀🍀🍀

@Tiger_Earnings