To The Moon

$Apple(AAPL)$ $ProShares UltraPro QQQ(TQQQ)$ $ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ(SQQQ)$ 🍏⚠️🚨 $AAPL: STUCK IN THE MIDDLE OR PRIMED FOR LIFT-OFF? 🚨⚠️🍎

As of 24May25, 🇳🇿NZ Time

HEAVY MOAT STOCKS ON SALE! 🛍️💥

These 14 wide moat giants are now trading close to their 52-week lows - and some of the biggest names in tech and pharma are sitting at steep discounts 👇

$AAPL - 116.8%

$ABNB - 120.8%

$ASML - 124.4%

$GOOG - 117.3%

$ADBE - 122.3%

$AMAT - 126.4%

$MRK - 105.9%

$MSFT - 128.3%

$MSI - 118.9%

$NVO - 117.4%

$QCOM - 118.2%

$RACE - 123.5%

$RELX - 127.5%

$SCCO - 119.6%

$UL - 121.1%

Apple’s December-April selloff looks technically complete, bottoming decisively at $169.21 📉. But the post-bounce action? It’s been choppy, laboured, and a clear underperformance relative to the rest of the Magnificent 7 💸. While $NVDA and $MSFT flirt with new highs, $AAPL has remained a laggard, stalled below a critical breakdown pivot at $214.56 🔄.

📉 Technical Check: A Descending Triangle in Play

Despite a low-to-high bounce off $169.21, Apple’s price action has been trapped in a tight range beneath converging resistance 📊. The daily chart now reveals a descending triangle pattern, with a horizontal support zone near $193.25 and lower highs forming ⏬. RSI sits neutral at 44.05, but MACD remains in bearish territory with no bullish crossover in sight ⚠️.

📊 Macro Catalyst Watch: Tariffs and Trade Wars Return

$AAPL slides -3.03% after President Trump floated a potential 25% tariff on foreign-manufactured iPhones - a move that could hammer Apple’s gross margins and ripple through the entire tech complex 🤔. The warning? Foreign-made iPhones sold in the U.S. might face steep levies. That sent $AAPL to a two-week low, closing at $195.26 on heavy volume 💸.

🧠 Strategic Leverage: Will Tim Cook Play the Domestic Manufacturing Card?

With Trump applying pressure, attention turns to Tim Cook and whether Apple will commit to U.S.-based iPhone production 📱. Any official announcement of a domestic expansion could serve as a psychological and structural support for the stock, potentially catalysing a reversal above $214.56, the neckline of its current pattern 🔜.

📊 LTM Financials (Mar25): A Profit Machine With Pressured Margins

According to ValueSense, Apple delivered $400.4B in revenue (+4.9%) over the last 12 months.

• Gross profit: $186.7B (+7.3%)

• Operating income: $127.4B (+7.7%)

• Net income: $101.4B (+0.9%)

• Cost of revenue: $213.8B (+2.9%)

• R&D spend: $32.8B (+7.4%)

• SG&A: $26.7B (+5.4%)

Margins are still robust, but this is precisely why tariffs could be lethal. There’s no fat to trim when your moat relies on pricing precision and premium brand strength.

🤖 AI Hardware Ambitions: Smart Glasses and the AR Gamble

Apple is quietly ramping up its AI hardware arsenal, with plans to release smart glasses by late 2026 🕶️. The new device, internally dubbed N401, aims to rival Meta’s Ray-Bans and Google’s Android XR glasses 🔥.

💡 Insider Insights: What’s Cooking?

Tim Cook sold 108,136 shares for $24,184,658 on April 2, 2025 🤑. Other executives also sold significant amounts of shares, sparking speculation about future growth 📊.

🔮 Forecast and Price Target: Potential Upside?

Some analysts predict a potential upside of 15.76% with a target price of $244.28 📈. TradingView analysts currently show a “buy” rating based on technical indicators 🔮.

⚔️ Risk vs Reward: Neutral with a Catalyst Bias

I’m not bearish - just neutral - but we’re nearing an inflection 🔄. A break below $193.25 could trigger a retest of the March lows near $169.21, while any upside reversal above $214.56 backed by strong volume and trade headlines would signal a bullish rotation 🔜.

⏱️ What to Watch Next:

1️⃣ Federal Reserve Gov. Lisa Cook speaks at noon Monday - watch for policy cues impacting Big Tech 🕰️

2️⃣ Trade headlines - any formal Apple-U.S. manufacturing announcement could spike sentiment 📈

3️⃣ EMV (-1.87) and MACD (-5.32) - wait for signs of momentum divergence flipping positive 🔀

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Trade like a boss! Happy trading ahead, Cheers, BC 📈🚀🍀🍀🍀

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