[Stock Prediction] Can Xiaomi Rebound to 59 or Face More Downside?
Xiaomiwill report its Q1 2025 earnings on May 27. Analysts expect revenue of RMB 109 billion and adjusted net profit of RMB 9.1 billion, up more than 85% year-over-year. $XIAOMI-W(01810)$ $Xiaomi Corp.(XIACY)$
Smartphone shipments in China rose 40%, pushing Xiaomi back to the top of the market. The company also unveiled its first self-developed 3nm chip, marking a key step in its move upmarket.
In the EV segment, Xiaomi delivered 25,000 SU7 units in Q1, reaching nearly 30% of its full-year delivery target. With production ramping up and a new model (the YU7 SUV) expected this summer, investors are watching for more signals in this report.
The stock is currently trading around HK$51. Huaxing Securities has a target price of HK$70, while some valuation models suggest limited upside. Will strong Q1 results and upcoming catalysts drive a rebound—or has the market priced it all in?
🗓 Xiaomi ’s earnings call will be held on May 27, 2025, at approximately 19:30 SGT. To set a reminder, click here.
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26 May to 27 May 2025 at 16:00
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I am bullish about this matter. Xiaomi’s Q1 momentum looks very encouraging. A revenue forecast of RMB 109B and adjusted net profit jumping over 85% YoY is a strong comeback signal. Regaining top position in China’s smartphone market with 40% shipment growth shows solid consumer traction — especially in a competitive landscape.
More importantly, Xiaomi’s vertical integration strategy is starting to take shape. The self-developed 3nm chip is a major leap forward, not just for branding but also for long-term margin control and product differentiation.
On the EV front, hitting 25,000 SU7 deliveries in Q1 — nearly 30% of the annual goal — shows real market acceptance. With the YU7 SUV coming this summer, there’s a strong product pipeline ahead. If production scales smoothly, this segment could be a powerful new revenue driver.
At HK$51, I believe Xiaomi still has runway. With Huaxing’s HK$70 target and multiple growth catalysts in play, the upside potential remains intact — especially if Q1 results beat and guidance stays upbeat.
I am bullish about this matter. Xiaomi’s Q1 momentum looks very encouraging. A revenue forecast of RMB 109B and adjusted net profit jumping over 85% YoY is a strong comeback signal. Regaining top position in China’s smartphone market with 40% shipment growth shows solid consumer traction — especially in a competitive landscape.
More importantly, Xiaomi’s vertical integration strategy is starting to take shape. The self-developed 3nm chip is a major leap forward, not just for branding but also for long-term margin control and product differentiation.
On the EV front, hitting 25,000 SU7 deliveries in Q1 — nearly 30% of the annual goal — shows real market acceptance. With the YU7 SUV coming this summer, there’s a strong product pipeline ahead. If production scales smoothly, this segment could be a powerful new revenue driver.
At HK$51, I believe Xiaomi still has runway. With Huaxing’s HK$70 target and multiple growth catalysts in play, the upside potential remains intact — especially if Q1 results beat and guidance stays upbeat.