To The Moon

$D-Wave Quantum Inc.(QBTS)$ 🧠💰⚡The $552K Quantum Bet: $QBTS Faces Its Make-or-Break as Institutions Load Calls ⚡💰🧠

Friday’s session ignited the entire quantum computing sector. $QBTS surged +11.29%, outperforming QUBT (+14%), RGTI (+6%), IONQ (+5%), SEALSQ (+4.8%), and Quantum Corp (+2.6%). But that’s not what caught my eye.

At 12:00 ET, a $552,414 call sweep blasted through the July 11 $19C strike, 2,510 contracts at $2.20 average, all bought at the ask. That’s no retail YOLO. That’s institutional conviction.

What makes it fascinating is the timing. Just one day earlier, $QBTS sank -5.1% intraday, flagged by analysts as a high-beta retail favourite facing sentiment risk. Vanda Research had named D-Wave among the most bought Russell 2000 names recently as retail rotated out of megacap tech. Panmure Liberum analysts then warned the divergence between retail bullishness and hedge fund short exposure often precedes a market pullback.

But instead of breaking down, $QBTS reversed hard. It reclaimed its trendline, surged above the 9EMA, and cleared back into the June Value Area, a key zone formed from May’s high-volume consolidation.

📊 Technicals Confirm It’s Game On

   •   Price held $17.00 support, reclaimed EMA9 at $17.66

   •   Daily candle closed above descending resistance

   •   RSI(12) = 72.61, not yet stretched for a parabolic

   •   MACD accelerating above signal, confirming strong trend resumption

   •   Volume surged on the breakout, not distribution

💡 What I’m Watching

1. A clean daily close above $18.31 opens up a retest of the 19.76 May high, which also aligns with gamma exposure thresholds

2. Above $19.76? Watch for a potential measured move to $23.80 to $25.40, based on Fibonacci extension and recent call OI clusters

3. Below $17.00 would invalidate the breakout, I’m monitoring that zone as a must-hold line for bulls

🎯 Price Targets

   •   $19.76 near-term resistance (May swing high)

   •   $23.80 to $25.40 medium-term extension if momentum continues

   •   $31.00 is my longer-term swing target IF QBTS confirms strength above $25, as part of a broader AI and quantum repricing wave

🧠 Contrarian Take

While sentiment is becoming frothy in small-cap AI names, the bear trap on Thursday followed by Friday’s engulfing reversal suggests the shakeout may be done, for now. With institutional flow and breakout confirmation, this could mark the beginning of a secondary impulse wave.

This isn’t just about D-Wave. It’s a microcosm of what happens when retail and hedge funds square off, and retail gets it right.

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Trade like a boss! Happy trading ahead, Cheers, BC 📈🚀🍀🍀🍀

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