To The Moon

$NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$

The NASDAQ closed slightly higher on Monday at 19,591.2, marking a continuation of the bullish trend with moderate upward momentum. Market sentiment remains positive, driven by consistent buying strength and a lack of bearish signals in the near-term horizon. Notably, the probability of entering a bearish trend zone within the next 10 days has dropped to 0%, reinforcing confidence in the ongoing uptrend.

🧭 Long-Term Investment Strategy

Current Trend Zone: Bullish
Positioning Strategy: 📌 Buy and Hold

The market has sustained a bullish trend for 33 consecutive days since April 22, 2025. During this time, the NASDAQ has delivered an impressive +20.2% return, with the index rising from 16,300.4 to 19,591.2. This long-term growth has been accompanied by stable momentum and limited drawdowns, affirming the effectiveness of a Buy and Hold strategy.

🔎 Trend Breakdown:

• Uptrend: Strong upward movement with brief corrections.

• Correction Trend: Minor pullbacks within the bullish structure.

• Both variations within the bullish zone are considered low-risk, high-reward environments for long-term investors.

At this point, no strategic shift is warranted, as the market continues to exhibit robust upward characteristics. However, investors are advised to remain alert for early signs of bearish transition—although such a shift currently has a 0% probability in the next 10 days.

📊 Short-Term Trading Strategy

Market Position: Bullish
Recommended Strategy: 📈 Buy and Hold (Short-Term)
Next Optimal Buying Date: June 10
Target Buy Price: 19,713.5
Next Optimal Selling Period: June 11–12
Target Sell Price: 20,656.6

The short-term outlook remains favorable, with the NASDAQ in the early phase of a new uptrend following a minor correction. The current Buy-Sell intensity aligns well with the trend, and forward-looking indicators suggest the continuation of this bullish momentum.

🔁 Expected Trend Dynamics (Next 10 Days):

• Trend Ratio (Downward : Upward) → 4 : 6

• Upward Intensity: Strong (Average 94%)

• Downward Intensity: Moderate (-44%)

• Predicted Price Range: 19,395.3 ~ 20,909.0

• Median Forecast Price: 20,152.2 (+2.9%)

This suggests a high probability of upward breakouts, but with moderate downside volatility that could present re-entry opportunities. Active traders should consider accumulating during dips, particularly around the June 10 window.

📌 Trend Forecast and Turning Points

• Turning Point Probabilities:

  • Today (June 9): High chance of directional acceleration

  • Next Reversal Points: June 13 (4 days ahead) and June 17 (8 days ahead)

• Volatility Forecast:

  • Low volatility in timing predictions due to balanced Buy-Sell flow

  • Upward movement average gain: +1.2%

  • Downward movement average loss: -0.7%

These stats indicate a favorable risk-reward environment in the short term.

🔐 Key Indicators and Insights

The data reflects a strengthening trend, with a slight dip in current zone level offset by strong future intensity expectations.

📅 Comparison to Previous Outlook (May 30, 2025)

The previous outlook anticipated a near-term bearish reversal; however, this has reversed, and the bullish trend has strengthened significantly. The shift from an 89% probability of a Bearish zone to 0% today marks a key improvement in trend outlook.

🧠 Key Considerations for Daily Strategy Based on Weekly Trend

1. Maintain Core Long Positions
   The continuation of bullish momentum, with 0% bearish probability, supports holding existing positions confidently.

2. Optimize Entry Around Dips
   Utilize pullbacks near the 19,395–19,713 range to add exposure.

3. Target Midweek Profit-Taking
   If price approaches 20,656, consider partial exits around June 11–12.

4. Monitor Trend Turning Points Closely
   Especially on June 13 and June 17, which are forecasted as possible reversal windows.

📌 Strategic Takeaways

• Primary Strategy: Maintain Buy and Hold positions in alignment with the ongoing bullish trend.

• Short-Term Tactical Move: Watch for a short-term peak by June 12; consider rotating some positions if the index nears 20,656.

• Risk Management: Downside volatility is manageable, and trend intensity is favorable. However, continue tracking macro events or unexpected shifts.

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