To The Moon

$Robinhood(HOOD)$ $SoFi Technologies Inc.(SOFI)$ $Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$ 🚀🧠💥 Robinhood’s Tokenised Pivot, Price Discovery, and the Next Catch-Up Contender 💥🧠🚀

Liquidity never sleeps on-chain!

By fusing private-equity tokens with 24 × 7 trading, Robinhood is morphing from a zero-commission broker into a capital-markets operating system. The market’s scrambling to price that correctly, and the latest price action proves it.

📈 KeyBanc just raised its $HOOD price target from $60 to $110: an 83 % upgrade that confirms institutional conviction is catching up to what options traders already know.

🧾 Fundamental Reset

• Transaction-based revenue surged +109 % YoY

• Net-interest revenue climbed +19 %

• Gross profit increased +52 %

• Net income hit a +478 % margin

• Robinhood Chain is expected to unlock US$1.5 B+ in new tokenised markets

Robinhood now earns more from crypto and interest income than equities, and that gap’s only going to grow. At 26 × sales and 74 × forward earnings, it looks stretched… until you factor in how tokenisation rewires its entire revenue model. On a forward gross-profit basis, $HOOD trades at 19 ×, more in line with growth tech peers.

📊 Technical Landscape

• Weekly breakout above $85 IPO high

• Cup breakout complete after 3 years of basing

• Daily demand zone: $90 to $93

• RSI(12): 79.67 (overbought but controlled)

• Target zones: $109 (MA extension), then $121

Volume confirms the move. The weekly candle closed strong above $99.18, invalidating the prior top and opening the path to price discovery. Still, the smart play now? Wait for a retracement into institutional demand: that’s where the asymmetric setup lives.

💥 Options Flow Confirmation

• $17 M+ call premium surged into today’s open

• Heavy buying in deep ITM $90C / $95C

• $100C roll ups building fast, signalling a gamma setup

• IV: 87.39 %, skew steepening in favour of upside

This isn’t speculative retail chasing; the flow is structured, deliberate, and focused on delta-rich strikes. Expect increased volatility around $100, where open interest is clustering.

🧠 Strategic Catalysts

• EU launch of private-stock tokens for SpaceX and OpenAI

• Live ETH & SOL staking

• Robinhood Chain test-net in Q3, cutting settlement costs and enabling 24 × 7 equity trading

• Looming MiCA rules and US stable-coin legislation that could unlock cross-border order flow

Robinhood is no longer just a broker, it’s becoming a hybrid of Coinbase + Nasdaq + Layer 2, and that’s why the valuation reset is just beginning.

🎯 Target Price Map

Base Case (12 m): $130, using 22 × FY26 EPS of $5.90

Bull Case: $160, faster token adoption + 200 M MAUs by mid-2027

Bear Case: $82, IPO retest if tokenisation stalls

Street View: KeyBanc’s $110 target now validates the upside roadmap

🔥 Who’s Next? The Catch-Up Contender

$COIN is the natural peer.

It’s already the liquidity backbone for US crypto and is moving into tokenised assets through Coinbase Prime. With 180 % 1Y performance, spot ETH ETF tailwinds, and a narrative overlap with Robinhood, it’s one strong catalyst away from chasing $HOOD’s multiple expansion.

🧠 Tagging $ETH adds edge: it’s the infrastructure layer both $HOOD and $COIN are building on.

⚠️ Why Not $SOFI?

• Strong 178 % 1Y gain, but capped by its bank charter

• Traditional lending model with slower scaling

• Regulatory leash limits DeFi-style upside

$HOOD and $COIN are asset-light, blockchain-native rails. They scale like platforms, not banks.

📌 Risk Matrix

• Regulatory risk around custodial staking

• Cybersecurity breach risk on Robinhood Chain

• Macro tightening or credit event hitting retail flows

🔎 What to Watch

• Call OI at $100

• Daily volume versus 20-day average

• Robinhood Chain onboarding metrics (Q3 EU launch)

• Further PT hikes following KeyBanc’s $110 move

🧠 CEO Vlad Tenev sums it up:

“We think that crypto and traditional finance will eventually fully merge.” If he’s right, today’s valuation hand-wringing is just noise.

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Trade like a boss, happy trading ahead, Cheers, BC 📈🚀🍀🍀🍀

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[ShakeHands]  Would be grear to see you join in on the topic @koolgal @1PC @AL_Ishan @Kristina_