To The Moon

$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ $Coca-Cola(KO)$ $Alphabet(GOOG)$ 🗓️🚨Earnings vs. Macro: The Most Pivotal Week of Q3 Is Here🚨

📈 Volatility. Rotation. Repricing. This week isn’t just busy; it’s an inflection point for portfolios, policy, and positioning.

🧠 Macro fuse is lit

I’ve built my playbook for the week of 21Jul25 knowing exactly where the landmines are and how I want to play around them. This isn’t a time for passive setups or generic exposure. We’re heading straight into a volatility regime shift, triggered by Fed rhetoric, earnings dislocations, and global PMI shocks. From $TSLA’s structural breakout to Powell’s policy tone, this is a confluence of micro and macro unlike anything we’ve seen this quarter.

The week kicks off with Fed Chair Powell speaking Monday at 8:30 a.m. ET; high impact across $USD, $BTC, equities, and gold. Markets will dissect every word for clues on credit conditions and the Fed’s tolerance for sticky inflation. Tuesday follows with Vice Chair Bowman’s 1:00 p.m. speech and the July WTI crude contract expiry, which historically adds volatility. By Thursday, we’re digesting global flash PMIs, the ECB’s policy update, and U.S. new home sales data. I’m especially alert to the Atlanta Fed’s GDPNow release Friday, currently forecasting Q2 at 2.4%. Durable goods orders (−9% MoM expected) and the Alzheimer’s Association Conference will close the week; both are underpriced volatility catalysts in their own right.

🎯 This is peak earnings week

Earnings season returns in full force with over 200 companies reporting. But I’m focusing on names where narrative, positioning, and implied volatility intersect.

🥤 Coca-Cola: quiet breakout, loud potential ($KO)

$KO reports Tuesday before the bell. EPS is expected at $0.83 on $12.6B revenue (+1.9% YoY). Despite the low buzz, this is a quiet pricing power story. Input costs are easing, the dollar’s softened, and Coca-Cola has begun reformulating its ingredients to better align with health-conscious trends. Analysts are distracted, but the tailwinds are visible. Options imply a ±2.37% move, with IV near the 30th percentile. I remain long equity and am layering short front-week covered calls into earnings.

🚗 Tesla: from breakout to software-defined ($TSLA)

$TSLA reports Wednesday after market close. This is less about the Q2 print and more about the Q3–Q4 roadmap. Musk teased Grok’s integration with vehicles and the Optimus V3 robot; big news for Tesla’s transformation into a software-defined ecosystem. Technically, this is a double inside monthly breakout play. If $350 breaks, I’m eyeing $420 as a clean Elliott Wave 3 and harmonic target. Options flow shows significant interest in 330C–360C chains. I’m positioned in 340C 26Jul25 calls and will trim actively above $358 if momentum follows through.

🌐 Alphabet: watching the Comet tailwind ($GOOG)

$GOOG also reports Wednesday evening. EPS estimates sit at $1.89 on $84.1B revenue. While most will watch advertising trends, I’m tracking the threat posed by Perplexity AI’s Comet browser, which aims to disrupt Google’s dominance via AI-native search experiences. Hedge funds have quietly rotated back into megacap tech after the early July selloff. With IV pricing a ±4.2% move, I prefer a neutral $135/$140 calendar spread if pre-earnings vol remains under 35%.

⚙️ Intel: the contrarian semis setup ($INTC)

Thursday brings $INTC, the underdog among semis. Analysts expect EPS of $0.12 on $12.4B revenue. Everyone’s watching $NVDA, but Intel’s Mobileye ($MBLY) exposure and foundry realignment make this a potential turnaround story. Options are pricing in a ±7% move. If earnings surprise on margins, I’ll consider a post-print short strangle using 32P and 36C for 2Aug25. No position yet, but I’m on alert.

🏥 HCA Healthcare: margin resilience meets macro stress ($HCA)

On Friday, I’m watching $HCA, which reports before the bell. EPS is forecasted at $4.95 on $16.2B. Healthcare may seem defensive, but with $CNC, $CHTR, and $AON also reporting, this becomes a sector-wide signal. $HCA’s margins have stabilised thanks to labour cost control and a strong payer mix. If we get a reactionary drop, I’ll scale into equity and protect with near-term ATM puts if the macro backdrop turns risk-off.

📊 Flow check and volatility lens

$TSLA remains dominant with bullish open interest in the 330C–360C chains. Implied volatility is hot, and I expect a significant crush post-earnings. $PLTR bulls held 220C 17Oct25 contracts through last week’s dip; still in drawdown, but showing conviction. $KO shows quiet accumulation on call spreads, while $INTC may be primed for a contrarian volatility fade if premiums spike after the print.

🧬 Risks I’m managing

I’m preparing for potential ECB tightening surprises, contraction in flash PMIs, retail weakness from NRF’s back-to-school webinar, and any hawkish shifts in Powell or Bowman’s tone. Add tariff uncertainty and industrial margin pressure, and you’ve got a complex battlefield. I’ve specifically flagged $HON, $DOW, and $TSCO for tariff-related exposure.

💡 Where most traders are misallocating

Most are focused on AI momentum and headline-grabbing mega caps. I see mispriced opportunity in $KO and $INTC. $TSLA’s breakout is real, but sentiment could be overbought. My edge lies in setups where fundamentals inflect while volatility is underpriced.

🛠 How I’m structuring trades this week

$TSLA: Long 340C 26Jul25 with scale-out plan above $358

$KO: Equity long + short 26Jul25 calls for income

$GOOG: $135/$140 calendar spread if IV holds

$INTC: Post-print strangle only if IV spikes irrationally

$HCA: Equity scale-in with protective put overlay

🧭 Final reflection

This week crystallises the real battle: Fed tone versus earnings surprises, AI dominance versus real-world pricing power, and reactive trading versus strategic positioning. It’s not about playing everything; it’s about playing the right setups with conviction and discipline.

📋 Watchlist: $TSLA, $KO, $GOOG, $INTC, $HCA, $BX, $VZ, $DPZ, $RTX, $IBM, $TMUS, $HON, $CHTR, $EQT, $SAP, $URI, $NEM, $PSX, $PLTR, $CNC, $MBLY, $CMG, $DOW, $AMZN, $UBER, $LCID, $PONY, $WRD, $SONY

🌐 Top Crypto Events & Macro Shocks to Watch: 21–27 Jul25 🌐

📈 Ethereum’s breaking out, Bitcoin ETFs are hoarding supply, and the political metagame is bleeding into price action. This isn’t noise, it’s the next wave of conviction setups.

BULLISH: $ETH is now trading above $3,700, up +26% over the past 7 days. 🚀 Ethereum hit $3,772 and traders are crowding into upside calls on Deribit, betting on a gamma supercycle. Market share has surged to 11.6% while futures open interest exploded past $55B. Over $12K in ETH options premium has lit up the board in just days.

📅 Top Events This Week in Crypto

🟩 Jul 21

• Trusta.AI ($TA): Listing on Binance Alpha & Futures

• Coresky ($CSKY): Token Generation Event (TGE)

• Coinbase ($COIN): US launch of perpetual-style crypto futures

🟨 Jul 22

• SaharaAI ($SAHARA): Data Service Platform beta launch

• ZKWASM (Delphinius Lab): Token sale on Binance Wallet

🟦 Jul 23

• Rainmaker ($RAIIN): TGE

• Avail ($AVAIL): $19M token unlock

⬛️ Jul 24

• OneFootball ($OFT): Token sale on CoinList

• MultiversX ($EGLD): Barnard upgrade on mainnet

• Aspecta ($ASP): Listing on Binance Alpha

• AltLayer ($ALT): $9M token unlock

🟥 Jul 25

• Ronin ($RON): $19M token unlock

📉 Total token unlock value this week: over $47M, a clear liquidity test for the alt layer.

🧠 Meanwhile, Bitcoin trades at $118K, forming tight consolidation as bulls eye the $120K breakout. MACD is bullish, RSI has cooled, and key support is sitting at $117K. A break above $120K opens room to $130,981 as flagged in structural models.

📊 ETF impact is accelerating. Spot Bitcoin ETFs have now bought $6.6B worth of Bitcoin over 12 consecutive trading sessions. July 10 and 11 marked the first back-to-back billion-dollar inflow days ever. BlackRock led with nearly $500M in one session. These ETFs now control 6.5% of all circulating Bitcoin, and that percentage is climbing fast.

🪙 Michael Saylor’s $STRATEGY treasury now holds $71B in Bitcoin, jumping to the #9 spot among all S&P 500 balance sheets. That’s above $XOM, $NVDA, $PYPL, and $CVS. His call?

“It’s already happening. It’s unstoppable.”

He’s now forecasting a $500T Bitcoin market cap.

🧭 Forecasts are stretching higher:

• $BTC $160K EOY — 10x Research

• $BTC $200K EOY — Standard Chartered

• $BTC >$200K EOY — Bitwise CEO

2028 bets are heating up too, with prediction markets flashing unexpected moves.

🎭 Politics meet price action

• J.D. Vance leads GOP markets with 56%

• Newsom leads Dems, but AOC is gaining fast

• Trump still pulls 4% despite constitutional restriction

🧬 GENIUS Act Signed Into Law

This breakthrough legislation, now officially enacted—may dramatically shift the funding, tax classification, and intellectual property rights around AI-token ecosystems. I’m expecting indirect impact across infrastructure chains like $ETH, $AVAX, $LINK, and $FIL.

📌 Summary Macro Setups:

• $ETH key support at $3,600, bull target: $4,120

• $BTC key support at $117K, breakout above $120K opens path to $130,981

• $COIN has macro momentum behind it this week with product expansion and bullish ETF tailwind

• $EGLD and $AVAIL unlocks: watching volumes for exit liquidity signals

🚀 This week isn’t just earnings vs. macro, it’s TradFi vs. DeFi, and both are sending signals. When regulation, rotation, and real flows converge, setups emerge for those paying attention.

📢 Don’t miss out! Like, Repost and Follow me for exclusive setups, cutting-edge trends, and insights that move markets 🚀📈 I’m obsessed with hunting down the next big movers and sharing strategies that crush it. Let’s outsmart the market and stack those gains together! 🍀

Trade like a boss! Happy trading ahead, Cheers, BC 📈🚀🍀🍀🍀

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