To The Moon

The current earnings season is characterized by a mixed reaction to company performance. While some companies, like Google (Alphabet), experience modest gains on earnings "beats," others, like ASML, face significant stock price drops due to disappointing results. This suggests that the market is more sensitive to negative news and that even solid performance may not guarantee positive stock movement. 

Companies like Google (Alphabet) often see positive, albeit modest, stock price increases when they beat earnings expectations. This indicates that the market generally rewards companies that exceed predictions, but the magnitude of the gain can be influenced by various factors. Especially when all stocks have run up quite significantly, short term traders may use these prices increases as opportunities to take profit, leading to marginal overall gains in the stock price eventually.

Companies like ASML have experienced substantial stock price declines when they fail to meet expectations. Companies like ASML have experienced substantial stock price declines when they fail to meet expectations. This shows that the current earnings season appears to be more unforgiving, with investors punishing companies for even minor disappointments. Current market is more risk-averse and that positive news is not always enough to offset negative sentiment.

In summary, the market is showing a tendency to overreact to both positive and negative news, with a greater sensitivity to negative surprises. Companies need to not only meet expectations but also manage investor expectations regarding future performance to avoid significant stock price declines. Some investors are edgy as we move further from May and fast approaching Sept lows, with some rather exiting their portfolios now.

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