To The Moon

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ $Apple(AAPL)$ $SPDR Portfolio S&P 1500 Composite Stock Market ETF(SPTM)$ 🚨📈💥 $750B EU deal, China tariff truce, and SHUT rotation, this S&P rally is no accident, it’s re-acceleration 💥📈🚨

I’m convinced this stage of the S&P 500’s advance is not about blind momentum; it’s driven by accelerating earnings strength, asymmetric fiscal dynamics, and sectoral repositioning beneath the surface. Bears are not only fading fundamentals, they’re fading 25 years of hard statistical evidence.

The S&P 500 has only closed red in 6 of the past 25 years; and each instance was the result of a major macro rupture:

• 2000–02: Dot-com deflation

• 2008: Housing collapse and systemic credit breakdown

• 2018: Fed overtightening

• 2022: Inflation shock and policy miscalibration

The rest: 76% of years closed green. That’s structural probability, not seasonal hope. And right now, the data still favors upside:

🧮 Earnings revisions breadth is surging, with a clean V-shaped recovery and CY2025 EPS growth near +10%, broadening across sectors

📈 $SPX is pressing just beneath 6,400, with MACD acceleration and RSI confirming trend strength

📊 Policy is still stimulative: federal spending is growing faster than receipts, and the weaker dollar is a tailwind for multinationals

🇨🇳 China and the US have just extended their tariff pause by another 90 days, easing geopolitical strain and supporting trade-exposed earnings.

🇪🇺 And now, Trump has announced the largest transatlantic trade agreement in US history:

• $750B in US energy exports to the EU

• Vast expansion of US auto exports, with tariffs cut to 15%

• Zero tariffs on broader trade categories

• EU investment in the US to rise by $600B, per Trump

• EU Commission President Ursula von der Leyen calls it a “stabilising agreement”, adding that a 15% across-the-board tariff framework has been agreed to

This is a multi-sector catalyst that injects immediate upside into energy, manufacturing, and semiconductors, while reinforcing earnings visibility into Q4. Coming just ahead of the Fed, it forms a rare double-barreled geopolitical upside surprise, with implications for $SPY, $QQQ, and defensives alike.

And yet, leadership is not uniform. SHUT sectors, Staples, Healthcare, Utilities, Telecom, are quietly outperforming, a classic signal of late-cycle rotation. $XLP and $XLU have outpaced $SPY by 2–4% this month, echoing historical August–September trends in election years.

That’s why $SPTM deserves special attention.

It tracks the S&P 1500 Composite Index, offering exposure to large caps ($SPX), mid caps ($MID), and small caps ($SML) in one ultra-low-cost vehicle (0.03%). When leadership fragments and dispersion increases, $SPTM quietly captures more of the market’s rotation. It just notched a new 52-week high, confirming strength across market tiers.

Now we face one of the most catalyst-heavy weeks of the year:

📦 Mega-cap earnings storm:

$AAPL, $META, $MSFT, $AMZN, $COIN, $MSTR, $ARM

$QCOM, $LRCX, $UNH, $BA, $RDDT, $V, $HOOD

📅 Macro data flood:

• JOLTS + Consumer Confidence (Tues)

• ADP Payrolls + Q1 GDP + Pending Home Sales (Wed)

• FOMC rate decision at 2:00 + Powell speaks at 2:30 EST (Wed)

• Core PCE + Jobless Claims (Thurs)

• Nonfarm Payrolls + ISM Manufacturing + Consumer Sentiment (Fri)

Markets haven’t forgotten the Powell–Trump clip that surfaced last week. The political pressure is rising. If Powell underdelivers on clarity or overreacts with tone, yields could surge. If he leans too dovish, inflation expectations may reprice. In either case, sector leadership will be the tell.

🔍 This is how I’m positioned:

• $SPTM for diversified, multi-cap exposure that adapts to rotation

• $SPY / $VOO to ride core large-cap earnings strength

• $XLP / $XLU to track defensive SHUT sector outperformance

• $SSO / $UPRO as short-term tools if we break above 6,395.82 cleanly

This isn’t a euphoric melt-up. It’s a data-supported, earnings-led regime with real macro support and rotational nuance. The next move won’t be about chasing highs; it will be about positioning ahead of the shift.

Are you trading the headline, or the rotation?

📢 Don’t miss out! Like, Repost and Follow me for exclusive setups, cutting-edge trends, and insights that move markets 🚀📈 I’m obsessed with hunting down the next big movers and sharing strategies that crush it. Let’s outsmart the market and stack those gains together! 🍀

Trade like a boss! Happy trading ahead, Cheers, BC 📈🚀🍀🍀🍀

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