To The Moon

Tiger Brokers ( $Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$ ) roared back with a third straight day of gains, surging 13.18% to close at $12.71 on Friday, August 22, as investors pile in ahead of its Q2 earnings release expected this week. The rally, pushing the stock above the critical $10 mark, follows a stellar Q1 performance where net income attributable to shareholders soared 147% to $30.4 million from $12.3 million year-over-year, and total revenues climbed 55% to $122.6 million from $78.9 million. With the S&P 500 at 6,466.58, Bitcoin at $115,000, and oil steady at $75/barrel amid 30-35% tariffs, the VIX at 14.49 hints at calm, but Tiger’s RSI at 68 suggests momentum. What’s your price target after this breakout? Can Q2 earnings sustain the rally, or will tariff pressures cool the fire? This detailed breakdown explores the drivers, market sentiment, and strategies to seize the opportunity.

The Rally Unpacked: What’s Fueling Tiger’s Roar?

The recent surge reveals strong fundamentals:

• Earnings Momentum: Q1’s 147% net income jump to $30.4 million and 55% revenue growth to $122.6 million set a high bar, with analysts eyeing Q2 revenue of $135-$140 million (up 15-20% YoY) and net income of $35-$40 million.

• Investor Confidence: Over $50 million in call options traded this week, with strike prices at $15 and $20, reflecting bullish bets on Tiger’s fintech edge, especially its Tiger Trade platform and AI tool TigerGPT.

• Market Entry: New users grew 12% quarter-over-quarter to 1.15 million, with trading volume up 18% to $72 billion monthly, driven by U.S. and Hong Kong market access.

• Technical Breakout: The stock broke $10 resistance, with support at $11.50 and a new target at $15; the 50-day moving average at $10.80 underpins the rally, per TradingView data.

• Sentiment Boost: Posts found on X highlight excitement for Tiger’s AI integration and low-fee model, though some caution about tariff impacts on global expansion.

The rally hinges on Q2 delivering similar beats.

Market Context: Breakout Fuel or Tariff Trap?

The broader landscape adds nuance:

• Fintech Surge: The sector rose 3.2% last week, with Upstart (UPST) up 15% and SoFi (SOFI) up 8%, supporting Tiger’s $2.5 billion market cap climb to $1.67 billion.

• Tariff Pressure: The 30-35% tariffs on EU/Mexico/Canada, with Prism Capital’s 0.9% GDP cut forecast, could hit Tiger’s international revenue (40% of total), though domestic growth buffers some risk.

• Technical Signals: RSI at 68 and a MACD bullish crossover suggest upside to $15-$18, but a drop below $11.50 could test $10 support if earnings disappoint.

• Valuation Check: At 12.71x forward P/E (below fintech’s 15x average), Tiger offers value, with a P/S of 1.8x aligning with peers like Robinhood (HOOD) at 2x.

• Sentiment Split: Bulls on X tout “undervalued gem,” while bears warn of a “tariff cliff,” reflecting a market at a pivotal point.

The breakout could extend if macro conditions hold.

Q2 Earnings: Can Tiger Sustain the Momentum?

What’s the outlook for this week?

• Bull Case: At $12.71, a 10-15% rise to $14-$15 is possible by Friday, August 29, if Q2 beats expectations, with a 12-month target of $20 (57% upside) if user growth hits 1.5 million.

• Bear Case: A 5-10% dip to $11.50-$12 risks if $11.50 breaks, with $10 as support; a tariff hit or weak guidance could drag it to $9.

• Earnings Preview: Analysts expect revenue of $137 million (up 16%) and net income of $38 million (up 25%), with margin expansion to 28% from 25% if costs stabilize.

• Catalyst Watch: Q2 earnings, due this week (likely August 28), and Fed rate cut signals (64% September odds) could drive moves, with tariff updates adding volatility.

• Daily Forecast: $12.80-$13.50 (Monday), $12.70-$14.00 (Tuesday), $12.50-$15.00 (Wednesday), per trends, with $11.50 as the pivot.

• Long-Term View: If revenue reaches $600 million by 2026 and profits double to $100 million, a $25 target (97% upside) emerges, though risks linger.

Earnings could ignite a fresh leg up.

Trading Strategies: Ride the Tiger or Hedge the Risk

Short-Term Plays

• Breakout Buy: Buy at $12.71-$12.80, target $14.50-$15.00, stop at $11.50. A 14-18% gain if momentum holds.

• Dip Catch: Buy at $11.50-$12.00, target $13.50-$14.00, stop at $11.00. A 12-22% rebound if support holds.

• Profit Lock: Sell at $14.00-$14.50, target $13.00-$13.50, stop at $15.00. A 4-7% gain if overbought.

• Options Play: Buy $15 calls or $12 puts (August expiry) for 150-200% gains on a 10% move.

• Scalp Swing: Buy at $12.85, sell at $13.50-$13.80, stop at $12.60. A 5-7% quick win.

Long-Term Investments

• Hold Tiger: Buy at $12.71-$12.80, target $20-$25 by 2026, for 57-97% upside if growth persists. Stop at $11.00.

• Diversify with Upstart: Buy at $40-$42, target $50-$55, for 23-31% upside. Stop at $38.

• Value Play: Buy Robinhood at $25-$26, target $30-$32, for 20-28% upside. Stop at $24.

• Defensive Pick: Buy Procter & Gamble at $180-$182, target $190-$195, for 4-7% upside. Stop at $178.

Hedge Strategies

• VIXY ETF: Buy at $14, target $17, stop at $12, to hedge volatility.

• SPY Puts: Use puts at 6,400 for a 5-10% market drop.

• Gold ( $SPDR Gold Shares(GLD)$ ): Buy at $200, target $210, stop at $195, as a safe haven.

My Trading Plan: Betting on the Earnings Beat

I’m riding Tiger’s rally with a focused strategy. I’ll buy at $12.71-$12.80, targeting $15.00, with an $11.50 stop, betting on a Q2 beat. I’ll add Upstart at $40-$42, aiming for $45, with a $38 stop, for fintech exposure. I’ll include Robinhood at $25-$26, targeting $28, with a $24 stop, and Procter & Gamble at $180-$182, targeting $185, with a $178 stop. I’m hedging with VIXY at $14, targeting $16, and holding 20% cash for a dip to $11.50 or tariff news. I’ll watch earnings and user growth updates closely.

Key Metrics

The Bigger Picture

Tiger Brokers’ 13.18% jump to $12.71 on August 22, 2025, marks a third-day rally above $10, fueled by Q1’s 147% net income surge to $30.4 million and 55% revenue growth to $122.6 million. Against a 6,466.58 S&P 500 and $115,000 Bitcoin, a 10-15% rise to $14-$15 is possible this week if Q2 earnings (due August 28) beat, with a $20-$25 target (57-97% upside) by 2026 if user growth hits 1.5 million. A 5-10% dip to $11.50-$12 risks if $11.50 breaks, potentially testing $10 if tariffs (30-35%) or competition bites. The 110% YTD gain and 12.71x P/E signal value, but macro risks linger. Ride the tiger with VIXY or GLD hedges, and set your target wisely.

What’s your price target for Tiger? Share your call below! 🎁

📢 Like, repost, and follow for daily updates on market trends and stock insights.

📝 Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions.

📌@Daily_Discussion @Tiger_comments @TigerStars @TigerEvents @TigerWire @CaptainTiger @MillionaireTiger