To The Moon

$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ 🚨 August just ended in flawless rhythm; September is not a month to survive, it’s a month to attack with discipline because history says it’s the most dangerous stretch in 70 years. 🚨

🔥📉📊 $SPY Pattern Perfection 📊📉🔥

For the week ending 29Aug25, $SPY moved exactly as scripted:

❤️ Monday red

💚 Tuesday green

❤️ Wednesday red

💚 Thursday green

❤️ Friday red

That’s pure pattern perfection. Goodbye August. September now looms; and history says it’s been the worst month in 70 years.

🚀 The two top stocks I’m laser-focused on next week are $AMZN and $TSLA; both are sitting on critical technical levels that could decide whether September begins with a breakout or a breakdown. If the market is going to make a statement, these two will write the headline.

🟢 $AMZN | Coil Tightening Before Breakout

$AMZN is compressing inside a narrowing channel. Price action is pinned between the $235 ceiling and $228 support. Breakout probability skew leans toward $235+ if momentum holds, but downside Fib magnet sits at $212.

Notice how the daily triangle mirrors July’s coil before a 40-point expansion; see chart below. A clean break above $235 targets $241.33; failure reopens the path to $212.

👉 Do you think $AMZN clears $235 on first attempt, or will September drag it down first?

🟠 $TSLA | Triangle + ATH Cycle Setup

Last time $TSLA closed a month above this triangle, ATHs followed within 3 months. Current price $333.88 is glued to the $332 support zone; a level that could determine if we see a flush to $315 Fib or a fresh rally leg.

The monthly structure shows higher lows forming, RSI trending above 56, and MACD ready to cross. The probability skew favors a retest of $353 before September ends.

👉 How many months until $TSLA revisits ATH; 3 again, or longer this cycle?

📉 September Seasonality – $SPX + MAG 7 📉

September has been the graveyard of rallies for seven decades. The pattern is brutal: early green fades, then persistent red bleeds into month-end.

MAG 7 breakdown:

• $NVDA, $AAPL, $META → consistent September weakness

• $MSFT, $AMZN, $NFLX, $GOOGL, $TSLA → mixed, but still choppy

Probability skew = 70% chance $SPX closes September red. Yet this weakness often builds the launchpad for Q4 rallies.

👉 Which MAG 7 name do you think holds up best in September chop?

⚖️ Macro Shock: Trump’s Tariffs Struck Down ⚖️

On 29Aug25, the Federal Circuit Court ruled 7–4 that President Trump’s “Liberation Day” tariffs are illegal under IEEPA. The tariffs, 50% on surplus countries, 10% baseline on most imports, plus extra levies on Canada, Mexico, and China, will stay in place temporarily until the Supreme Court rules, likely by year-end.

Trump responded defiantly, calling the court “highly partisan” and insisting tariffs remain the best tool to protect U.S. workers and manufacturers.

For September, it means:

• $SPX and MAG 7 names could face added chop as tariff uncertainty weighs on global trade flows.

• $TSLA, $NVDA, $AMZN, and $GOOGL are especially vulnerable given exposure to China.

• Nuclear/energy and domestic infrastructure names ($CCJ, $CEG, $OKLO, $DOCN) may hold relative strength as less tariff-sensitive.

👉 Does this Supreme Court showdown make September’s seasonality even riskier, or is it already priced in?

📊 Market Snapshot Into September 📊

Friday’s close reflected the weight of tariff headlines and seasonality risk:

• $SPX 6,460.26 (-0.64%)

• $NASDAQ 21,455.55 (-1.15%)

• $DJIA 45,544.88 (-0.20%)

• $IWM 235.22 (-0.42%)

Risk-off skew is most visible in tech-heavy $NASDAQ, down over 1%, while $DJIA showed relative stability. Small-caps via $IWM slid modestly, adding to the signal that breadth is weakening into month-end.

📊 Hedge Fund Flow & Options Positioning 📊

Goldman’s Prime Book shows hedge funds are on track to sell US equities for a second straight month, with short sales outpacing long buys across both Macro Products and Single Stocks. That is a clear sign of caution into September.

Friday’s options flow confirmed it: nearly $100M in net calls were sold on the Mag 7, while puts drew steady bid. Hedge funds are not just watching the seasonality risk, they are positioning ahead of it.

👉 Are hedge funds leading the tape lower into September, or will retail flows fight back against this pressure?

⚡ Fibonacci Pullback Magnet Zones ⚡

If history repeats, these levels could attract growth stock retraces during September’s flush.

AI Hardware

$NVDA 147 | $ARM 119 | $TSM 205 | $AVGO 248 | $AMD 145

AI Infrastructure

$MSFT 475 | $AMZN 212 | $GOOGL 186 | $DOCN 33 | $NBIS 52

AI Applications

$SNOW 174 | $PLTR 95 | $MDB 228 | $DDOG 115 | $NOW 877

Nuclear Energy

$OKLO 55 | $CCJ 65 | $BWXT 149 | $CEG 282 | $LEU 177

Cybersecurity

$CRWD 413 | $PANW 185 | $ZS 255 | $NET 164 | $RBRK 75

Space Economy

$RKLB 35 | $ASTS 44 | $RDW 14 | $LUNR 12 | $PL 5

Robotics

$TSLA 315 | $ISRG 498 | $SERV 12 | $RR 2 | $SYM 35

Quantum Computing

$IONQ 36 | $RGTI 13 | $QBTS 13 | $IBM 236 | $HON 204

👉 Which pullback magnet would you buy first; $NVDA at 147 or $AMZN at 212?

🧭 Strategic Context

• $SPY → August delivered perfect red/green rhythm.

• $AMZN → Tight coil; $235 breakout vs. $212 retrace.

• $TSLA → Triangle retest; ATH cycle probabilities alive.

• $SPX + MAG 7 → September = danger zone, Q4 = opportunity zone.

• Tariffs → Supreme Court showdown adds fresh uncertainty into seasonality weakness.

• Market snapshot → Tech weakness into Friday confirms risk-off skew.

• Fib Levels → Clear roadmap of where probability skews point if weakness unfolds.

Markets never hand us certainties; only setups with defined probabilities. Right now the skew points to September weakness as the base case, but history shows those flushes create the very fuel for explosive Q4 rallies. That’s the roadmap I’m tracking.

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Trade like a boss! Happy trading ahead, Cheers, BC 📈🚀🍀🍀🍀

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