November Kick-Off: Halloween Alpha & a Record-Breaking Pace of New Highs
Chart 1: The “Halloween Trade” (long the last four October + first three November sessions) has worked 25 of 30 years since 1994, delivering median gains of 2.3 % on the $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ and 1.6 % on the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ .
Chart 2: 2024 has already notched 57 all-time highs for the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ , the third-most on record, and 2025 is projected to add another 34 ATHs—highlighting the relentless breadth of this bull market.
Chart 3: $S&P 500(.SPX)$ seasonality data flags the first full week of November—next week—as the index’s strongest rolling 7-day window of the entire year, averaging +1.2 %.
Questions for Tigers
Are you planning to add equity exposure before next week’s seasonally strong window opens?
Do you already run the “Halloween Trade” in your portfolio, or would you like help sizing it?
With ATHs still mounting, are you trimming winners, letting them ride, or adding fresh capital?
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