Alibaba Pulls Back on Light Volume
$Alibaba(BABA)$
$176.72 (−1.52%): Pullback on light volume; hold $175 keeps $180–$184 rebound path open
Market Recap (as of Oct 29, 2025):
Alibaba slipped −1.52% to $176.72 on a quiet tape (range $175.24–$179.36). Volume 11.85M vs 19.13M avg (~0.62×), suggesting profit-taking rather than trend change.
Shares sit ~8.3% below the 52-wk high $192.67. Pre-market indications show a modest bid around $180.4.
Technical Indicators Analysis:
RSI(14) ~57 (neutral-bullish) and MACD histogram is contracting toward zero—momentum stabilizing after a brief fade. Price holds above short-term EMAs;
a reclaim and close back over $180 would reassert the up-channel. Base case next 1–3 weeks: sideways-up. A firm push/close > $184 opens $188–$192; a daily loss of the floor drags a retest toward $171–$168.
Support: $175.2-$176.0
Resistance: $180.0-$184.0
Valuation and Target Range:
TTM P/E ≈ 20.4×, below the S&P 500 (~25×) and consistent with large-cap China ADRs’ discount; forward dividend yield ~0.59%.
Near-term trading map: hold $175–176 → aim $180–$184; sustained breakout > $184 targets $188–$192 into earnings (Nov 14).
Risk Statement:
China macro/FX headlines and ADR policy risk can overwhelm technicals; earnings/guidance may cause gaps. This is technical commentary only, not investment advice—use strict risk controls.
Data Source: Yahoo Finance & TradingView (daily chart, Oct 29, 2025). Prepared by Tiger Morning Brief | For internal use only.
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