UPS Soars 8% on Strong Earnings
$United Parcel Service Inc(UPS)$
$96.36 (+8.00%): Earnings gap-and-go; reclaiming $100 would target $103–$105
Market Recap (as of Oct 29, 2025):
United Parcel Service jumped +8.0% to $96.36 after earnings, with a powerful gap-up as results/outlook came in better than feared.
Parcel peers firmed and sentiment improved on cost-discipline commentary. Volume spiked to 30.0M vs 8.29M avg (~3.6×), signaling broad participation.
Technical Indicators Analysis:
RSI(14) ≈78.4 (overbought) and MACD slope positive; price reclaimed short-/mid-term trend with closes above EMA20/EMA50.
Structure: “gap-and-go” from a multi-week base. A decisive push/hold > $100.6 opens $103–$105; failure could prompt a back-test of the gap.
Support / Resistance:
Support: $95.0 / $92.0
Resistance: $100.6 / $103–$105
Valuation and Target Range:
TTM P/E ≈ 14.9×, below the S&P 500 (~25×) and near UPS’s long-run mid-teens band. Forward dividend & yield ≈ $6.56 (≈6.8%). Base case for the next 1–3 weeks:
sideways-up while the gap holds within $92–$105; a firm close above $100.6 targets $103–$105; a loss of $95 risks a partial gap fill toward $92.
Risk Statement:
Earnings gaps can reverse quickly; overbought momentum and macro headlines may amplify whipsaws. This note is for technical reference only and not investment advice.
Data Source: Yahoo Finance & TradingView (daily chart, Oct 29, 2025). Prepared by Tiger Morning Brief | For internal use only.
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