To The Moon

Black Friday is here, there are two groups of people, some are buying products and some are buying discounted stocks, I believe that we should eyed some of the stocks that could be “discounted” (or at least have reasonably attractive entry points) and may benefit from a potential year-end / December rally, or secular tailwinds (AI, value, dividends, etc.).

Notable Stocks on Watch (Late 2025)

Larger / More Established Picks

• Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) — Backed recently by a large vote of confidence from Berkshire Hathaway, which disclosed a massive purchase of GOOGL shares. Investopedia Because of that institutional support, and given GOOGL’s dominant position in search, ads and AI-cloud services, many view GOOGL as a “buy the dip” if the stock is moderately depressed.

• AMD (Advanced Micro Devices) — The semiconductor and chip-maker space remains central to the AI / data-center boom, and AMD often comes up among tech names with growth potential (especially if valuations have pulled back).

• Apple Inc. (AAPL) — While perhaps not “deep value,” big-cap, blue-chip companies like Apple often weather macro volatility better. For investors expecting a broad year-end rally, such stable names may serve as ballast.

“Value” / Undervalued or Recovery-Potential Stocks

Several analysts’ screens and recent lists highlight these as “discounted” or under-appreciated relative to their fundamentals / growth potential.

• Amphenol Corporation (APH) — According to a recent “top-stocks-to-buy” list, Amphenol shows a PEG ratio below 1, solid return-on-equity (ROE), and healthy balance sheet metrics. Its business — connectors, sensors, and infrastructure components — is diversified, which helps in uncertain macro conditions.

• Adobe Inc. (ADBE) — Despite some recent guidance softness, Adobe remains a heavy-duty software player with recurring revenue and strong free cash flow. That suggests the stock could offer a favorable risk-reward if the market recovers.

• Progressive Corporation (PGR) — An insurer with disciplined underwriting and a track record of consistent growth (especially in direct premiums), Progressive may appeal to investors seeking stability and potential upside if financial markets normalize.

• Emcor Group (EME) — Industrial / construction-services oriented, with a strong backlog and good earnings growth. Often these kinds of names — outside of flashy tech — offer reasonable value if the broader economy holds up.

• Dover Corporation (DOV) — A diversified industrial manufacturer with multiple business lines; these kinds of firms can benefit from resilience across economic cycles, and may be less volatile than pure growth names.

Why These Could Benefit in a December Rally (or Near-Term Upside)

As highlighted by a recent screening article on “value stocks to buy,” many of these firms combine low valuations (relatively modest P/E or PEG ratios) with stable earnings growth, reasonable leverage, and — in some cases — dividend potential.

There’s a strong push in some sectors — especially tech / chip / AI infrastructure — as the AI/data-center demand continues rising; chips, semiconductors, industrial and infrastructure-support firms may benefit.

Some names offer a mix of growth and value (not “moonshots”) — which tends to fare better if markets get choppy, or if macro conditions remain uncertain.

What to Watch Out For (Risks & Considerations)

Broad economic or macro risks — inflation, interest rate hikes, global economic slowdown — could weigh on even “value” or stable names.

For cyclical or industrial firms (like Dover or Emcor), demand softness or supply-chain problems may hurt performance.

Valuation metrics (P/E, PEG, etc.) — while helpful — don’t guarantee performance. Stocks can stay “cheap” for extended periods if business fundamentals deteriorate or investor sentiment turns negative.

For “growth + value” hybrid picks: if market sentiment swings toward risk-off, even reasonably well-valued growth names may be hit.

Our Take: A Balanced Approach

Given the current environment (late 2025) — with some uncertainty but signs of stabilization — a balanced portfolio combining a few of the “value/industrial/defensive” names (e.g., Amphenol, Dover, Progressive) plus a few “growth/AI-related or tech-infrastructure” names (e.g., AMD, Alphabet, maybe Adobe) could capture upside if the market rallies — while offering some downside buffer if volatility resurfaces.

Here are two stocks that I am looking add more positions into $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ and $Alphabet(GOOGL)$, or I might play the option, if there is good premium returns for Sell Puts when entering strike price near its expected move price.

AMD Expected Move Price : $214.24

GOOGL expected move: $319.95

For those of you who are wondering what are the other stocks that are now viewed by many analysts/investors as having potential upside over the next 12 months. Here is a simple watchlist that we have pulled out with along with rough estimates for upside %, 12-month price targets (where available), and a subjective “risk level” (low / medium / high).

Reminder: this is not a recommendation to buy — use as a starting point for your own research.

Key Picks with 12-Month Potential

* “Upside” and “price target” based on analyst estimates or reasonably projected re-rating, not guarantee of return.

Our View: Portfolio Mix Depends on Your Risk Profile

If you have higher risk tolerance / longer horizon: consider a mix of $Micron Technology(MU)$, AMD, FSLR, ADBE — these are more volatile but offer higher upside (especially via AI, green-energy, growth themes).

If you prefer more stability / lower volatility: AAPL, $Merck(MRK)$, PGR, APH, DOV may serve as anchors — offering a mix of value, dividends, and steadier cash flows.

Balanced approach: a blend of 30-50% “growth/high-upside” + 50-70% “value/defensive” to ride potential rally while buffering downside.

Key Risks & What to Watch

Tech & cyclical names (like MU, AMD, FSLR) remain sensitive to macro conditions — rising interest rates, weak corporate spending, or consumer demand slump could hit them hard.

Some of these companies (e.g. MU, $Adobe(ADBE)$, industrials) may be over-valued already — upside could be limited if market has priced in a rally.

Sector-specific risks — for example, solar (FSLR) depends on energy policies; memory/semiconductor (MU, AMD) depends on AI-infrastructure demand staying strong.

Summary

As Black Friday 2025 kicks off, the market divides into two clear camps: shoppers hunting for retail doorbusters and investors hunting for undervalued assets before the potential "Santa Rally" in December.

While shoppers focus on electronics and apparel, smart investors are eyeing beaten-down sectors that analysts believe are primed for a year-end rebound.

These are quality companies currently trading below their historical valuations or perceived intrinsic value, offering a "margin of safety" for a December rally.

Micron Technology (MU), Merck & Co. (MRK), First Solar (FSLR), Advanced Micro Devices (AMD), Apple Inc. (AAPL), Dover Corporation (DOV), Amphenol Corporation (APH), Adobe Inc. (ADBE), Progressive Corporation (PGR).

Appreciate if you could share your thoughts in the comment section whether you think we could take advantage of the discounted attractive entry points during the Black Friday week, and position them for potential year-end rally or long-term holdings.

@TigerStars @Daily_Discussion @Tiger_Earnings @TigerWire @MillionaireTiger appreciate if you could feature this article so that fellow tiger would benefit from my investing and trading thoughts.

Disclaimer: The analysis and result presented does not recommend or suggest any investing in the said stock. This is purely for Analysis.