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Yes. What goes up Will come down.

Will Stocks Crash in 2026?

Oil prices are down again overnight as traders digest the impact of U.S. military action in Venezuela. The latest nugget of potentially negative news was President Trump's claim. that the country would send America billions of dollars worth of crude. Stocks may take a breather too after the strongest start to a year for the Dow. Follow our live markets coverage , updated throughout the day.Data refreshes every time you open this email.It's the $64 trillion question-will there be a stock market crash soon?Lacking a flux capacitor, or a crystal ball, crashes are sort of like major earthquakes for stock portfolios: We know they're rare and almost impossible to predict, yet we still pay attention to people who claim they sense tremors .Elm Wealth's Victor Haghani and James White have a sophisticated clientele for their money management firm. They asked readers of a report about crashes on their website to estimate the chance of one-a 30% drop in the S&P 500-within 12 months. The average g

Will Stocks Crash in 2026?

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

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What goes up Will come down.","highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/519477472342496","repostId":2601877637,"repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2601877637","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1767844479,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2601877637?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2026-01-08 11:54","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Will Stocks Crash in 2026?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2601877637","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"Oil prices are down again overnight as traders digest the impact of U.S. military action in Venezuela. The latest nugget of potentially negative news was President Trump's claim. that the country would send America billions of dollars worth of crude. Stocks may take a breather too after the strongest start to a year for the Dow. Follow our live markets coverage , updated throughout the day.Data refreshes every time you open this email.It's the $64 trillion question-will there be a stock market crash soon?Lacking a flux capacitor, or a crystal ball, crashes are sort of like major earthquakes for stock portfolios: We know they're rare and almost impossible to predict, yet we still pay attention to people who claim they sense tremors .Elm Wealth's Victor Haghani and James White have a sophisticated clientele for their money management firm. They asked readers of a report about crashes  on their website to estimate the chance of one-a 30% drop in the S&P 500-within 12 months. The average g","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Probably not, but both amateurs and pros could be getting the odds wrong.</p><p>It&#39;s the $64 trillion question-will there be a stock market crash soon?</p><p>Even getting the timing somewhat right could save you, or make you, a fortune. What active trader hasn&#39;t fantasized about stepping out of their time-traveling DeLorean in October 1929, 1987 or 2007 with a wad of cash? And what is it about October?</p><p>Lacking a flux capacitor, or a crystal ball, crashes are sort of like major earthquakes for stock portfolios: We know they&#39;re rare and almost impossible to predict, yet we still pay attention to people who claim they sense tremors.</p><p>The best approach is to build a sturdy financial foundation and to treat crashes the way insurance companies do natural disasters-know the odds and accept that they happen every so often . Three smart financial thinkers recently did some handicapping for us.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/cff33ae8a0cbea0a36278ed9ee8ef745\" tg-width=\"642\" tg-height=\"513\"/></p><p>Elm Wealth&#39;s Victor Haghani and James White have a sophisticated clientele for their money management firm. They asked readers of a report about crashes on their website to estimate the chance of one-a 30% drop in the S&amp;P 500-within 12 months. The average guess was 31%.</p><p>But talk is cheap. People who bet actual money via the options market only give it an 8% chance, according to Elm&#39;s math. Steven Blitz, chief U.S. economist at TS Lombard, points out that 8% to 10%, or once every 10 to 12.5 years, is the historical probability.</p><p>The last crash was barely six years ago when Covid-19 shut down the economy. That doesn&#39;t mean we&#39;re free and clear.</p><p>While not forecasting one, Blitz points out that crashes occur more frequently when the Misery Index (inflation plus unemployment) is rising, and less when it is falling. The period from 1966 to 1982, for example, was more crash-prone. The next 18 years weren&#39;t.</p><p>We&#39;re now in a more dangerous stretch because those unwelcome statistics are both rising, which should make stocks cheaper relative to the economy. Add to that the fact that stocks have almost never been as expensive relative to their earnings as they are now, and the odds could be even higher this year.</p><p>Put another way, both the options market and insurance companies may be good at telling us the odds of an event happening on average, but sometimes bad things happen in streaks.</p><p>The most interesting takeaway might not be the slightly elevated chances of a crash but the way that people who read Elm&#39;s entire analysis of their frequency reacted. Those who made a second prediction still said the chances of a crash were 15% in the next year.</p><p>That could cost them. As star fund manager Peter Lynch observed: &#34;Far more money has been lost by investors trying to anticipate corrections, or trying to time the market, than has been lost in the corrections themselves.&#34;</p><p></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Will Stocks Crash in 2026?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWill Stocks Crash in 2026?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2026-01-08 11:54</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>Probably not, but both amateurs and pros could be getting the odds wrong.</p><p>It&#39;s the $64 trillion question-will there be a stock market crash soon?</p><p>Even getting the timing somewhat right could save you, or make you, a fortune. What active trader hasn&#39;t fantasized about stepping out of their time-traveling DeLorean in October 1929, 1987 or 2007 with a wad of cash? And what is it about October?</p><p>Lacking a flux capacitor, or a crystal ball, crashes are sort of like major earthquakes for stock portfolios: We know they&#39;re rare and almost impossible to predict, yet we still pay attention to people who claim they sense tremors.</p><p>The best approach is to build a sturdy financial foundation and to treat crashes the way insurance companies do natural disasters-know the odds and accept that they happen every so often . Three smart financial thinkers recently did some handicapping for us.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/cff33ae8a0cbea0a36278ed9ee8ef745\" tg-width=\"642\" tg-height=\"513\"/></p><p>Elm Wealth&#39;s Victor Haghani and James White have a sophisticated clientele for their money management firm. They asked readers of a report about crashes on their website to estimate the chance of one-a 30% drop in the S&amp;P 500-within 12 months. The average guess was 31%.</p><p>But talk is cheap. People who bet actual money via the options market only give it an 8% chance, according to Elm&#39;s math. Steven Blitz, chief U.S. economist at TS Lombard, points out that 8% to 10%, or once every 10 to 12.5 years, is the historical probability.</p><p>The last crash was barely six years ago when Covid-19 shut down the economy. That doesn&#39;t mean we&#39;re free and clear.</p><p>While not forecasting one, Blitz points out that crashes occur more frequently when the Misery Index (inflation plus unemployment) is rising, and less when it is falling. The period from 1966 to 1982, for example, was more crash-prone. The next 18 years weren&#39;t.</p><p>We&#39;re now in a more dangerous stretch because those unwelcome statistics are both rising, which should make stocks cheaper relative to the economy. Add to that the fact that stocks have almost never been as expensive relative to their earnings as they are now, and the odds could be even higher this year.</p><p>Put another way, both the options market and insurance companies may be good at telling us the odds of an event happening on average, but sometimes bad things happen in streaks.</p><p>The most interesting takeaway might not be the slightly elevated chances of a crash but the way that people who read Elm&#39;s entire analysis of their frequency reacted. Those who made a second prediction still said the chances of a crash were 15% in the next year.</p><p>That could cost them. As star fund manager Peter Lynch observed: &#34;Far more money has been lost by investors trying to anticipate corrections, or trying to time the market, than has been lost in the corrections themselves.&#34;</p><p></p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://dowjonesnews.com/newdjn/logon.aspx?AL=N","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2601877637","content_text":"Probably not, but both amateurs and pros could be getting the odds wrong.It's the $64 trillion question-will there be a stock market crash soon?Even getting the timing somewhat right could save you, or make you, a fortune. What active trader hasn't fantasized about stepping out of their time-traveling DeLorean in October 1929, 1987 or 2007 with a wad of cash? And what is it about October?Lacking a flux capacitor, or a crystal ball, crashes are sort of like major earthquakes for stock portfolios: We know they're rare and almost impossible to predict, yet we still pay attention to people who claim they sense tremors.The best approach is to build a sturdy financial foundation and to treat crashes the way insurance companies do natural disasters-know the odds and accept that they happen every so often . Three smart financial thinkers recently did some handicapping for us.Elm Wealth's Victor Haghani and James White have a sophisticated clientele for their money management firm. They asked readers of a report about crashes on their website to estimate the chance of one-a 30% drop in the S&P 500-within 12 months. The average guess was 31%.But talk is cheap. People who bet actual money via the options market only give it an 8% chance, according to Elm's math. Steven Blitz, chief U.S. economist at TS Lombard, points out that 8% to 10%, or once every 10 to 12.5 years, is the historical probability.The last crash was barely six years ago when Covid-19 shut down the economy. That doesn't mean we're free and clear.While not forecasting one, Blitz points out that crashes occur more frequently when the Misery Index (inflation plus unemployment) is rising, and less when it is falling. The period from 1966 to 1982, for example, was more crash-prone. The next 18 years weren't.We're now in a more dangerous stretch because those unwelcome statistics are both rising, which should make stocks cheaper relative to the economy. Add to that the fact that stocks have almost never been as expensive relative to their earnings as they are now, and the odds could be even higher this year.Put another way, both the options market and insurance companies may be good at telling us the odds of an event happening on average, but sometimes bad things happen in streaks.The most interesting takeaway might not be the slightly elevated chances of a crash but the way that people who read Elm's entire analysis of their frequency reacted. Those who made a second prediction still said the chances of a crash were 15% in the next year.That could cost them. As star fund manager Peter Lynch observed: \"Far more money has been lost by investors trying to anticipate corrections, or trying to time the market, than has been lost in the corrections themselves.\"","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":2}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":60,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":[],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"EN","currentLanguage":"EN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":27,"optionInvolvedFlag":false,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ORIG"},"commentList":[],"hasMoreComment":false,"orderType":2}