To The Moon

From my perspective, Intel's 18A debut at CES is a real milestone, not just a marketing moment. For years, the bear case on Intel centered on execution risk and manufacturing credibility, and seeing 18A reach large-scale production with tangible performance gains directly addresses that concern. The market's reaction makes sense because this is about restoring trust in Intel's roadmap, not just launching another PC chip.

That said, I'm cautiously bullish $Intel(INTC)$  rather than outright aggressive at current levels. Around $40, a meaningful portion of the 18A optimism and CES buzz is already priced in. Intel still needs to prove that yields, volumes, and customer adoption can scale smoothly through 2026. If execution stumbles, the downside could be sharp, but if management delivers, the upside comes from multiple expansion rather than just earnings growth.

On the PC side, I do think Intel has a credible chance to claw back share from AMD $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$  , especially in mainstream and enterprise notebooks where platform stability, OEM relationships, and total cost matter. AI PCs are less about peak benchmark wins and more about ecosystem integration, power efficiency, and software optimization, areas where Intel still has deep advantages. However, this won't be a clean sweep—AMD remains extremely competitive.

When it comes to AI PC chips, I see the market splitting rather than producing a single winner. AMD will likely continue to dominate performance-sensitive segments with its strong CPU-GPU integration and TSMC advantage, while Intel positions itself as the broad-platform provider with scale, supply security, and long-term foundry ambitions. In other words, it's a coexistence story, not a zero-sum outcome.

Overall, I view Intel's comeback as possible but execution-dependent. I'm constructive on the direction, encouraged by 18A, but I wouldn't chase the stock purely on momentum. For me, Intel becomes more attractive on pullbacks or after a few quarters of consistent delivery, while AMD remains the cleaner, lower-execution-risk AI PC play in the near term.

As a retail investor, I focus mainly on the US and Singapore markets, combining a mix of technical trading and long-term investing strategies. I enjoy analyzing charts, spotting patterns, and making calculated moves based on both market sentiment and fundamentals. While I'm not a professional, I treat my portfolio seriously and continue to learn and grow with each trade. If you're also navigating the markets and enjoy discussing stocks, options, or market trends, feel free to follow me. Let's learn and grow together as a community.  

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