To The Moon

$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$  $NVIDIA(NVDA)$  $Alphabet(GOOGL)$  

12Jan26 ET 🇺🇸 | 13Jan26 NZT 🇳🇿

🔔 Live Market Update | Volatility and Flow

Monday’s open saw $TSLA print a new high of the day as $30M+ in net short-dated, single-leg call premium hit the tape. That is real-time bullish flow pushing momentum and liquidity through the $450 zone as Bulls assert control.

📀 Structure and Key Levels

The inverse head and shoulders continues to form. $TSLA has broken through $450 again and $453.60 now needs to hold to keep the breakout intact. The sharp $7 shake-out to $438 flushed weak hands before the next leg higher. Above $488, the structure points to materially higher levels.

📈 Trend and Bands

Price is expanding inside the Keltner and Bollinger envelopes as trend strength rebuilds. The tape confirms higher highs and higher lows while volatility compresses into an upside continuation regime.

📊 Growth Engine and Fundamentals

Tesla’s 2025 deliveries reached 1,636,129 units, reducing its 12-year compound annual growth rate to an eleven-year low of 43%, still among the fastest-scaling industrial and technology companies globally. Analyst trajectories point toward ~2M units in 2027 and ~3M by 2029 as Cybertruck and new platforms ramp. Energy adds torque, with record 46.7 GWh deployed in 2025 on Megapack demand.

🚕 Autonomy and Real-World Deployment

At least eight Tesla Cybercabs are testing on public roads across Austin, the Bay Area and Buffalo, New York. Prototypes are undergoing crash testing at Giga Texas, with volume production targeted for April 2026. Morgan Stanley projects ~1,000 robotaxis in 2026 and ~1M by 2035, establishing a clear monetisation runway.

🏆 Third-Party and Street Validation

Tesla’s FSD (Supervised) won MotorTrend’s Best Driver Assistance Award for 2026. MotorTrend stated, “After years of criticizing Tesla’s erratic driver assistance tech, we’ve been converted into acolytes by the latest release, V14. FSD now delivers a hands-off experience that routinely navigates from driveway to parking spot, and back again, all while ensuring the driver’s attention stays focused on the road.”

Morgan Stanley’s Andrew Percoco added, “It’s not even close. Tesla continues to lead in autonomous driving, even as Nvidia rolls out new technology aimed at helping other automakers build driverless systems.” He highlighted Tesla’s massive real-world fleet and data advantage, noting the company remains years ahead. Elon Musk has stated 10B FSD miles are required for unsupervised autonomy, with Tesla already at 7.1B miles and on track for mid-2026.

🧠 Consumer Conversion and Software Moat

Business Insider reported a Tesla owner who drove 11,000 miles using FSD (Supervised) without touching the steering wheel and said, “I’ll never buy a car without FSD again.” He called FSD the number one purchase driver, which is exactly the kind of real-world software lock-in and pricing power that supports Tesla trading on technology multiples rather than auto cycles.

💼 Analyst Flow

Wells Fargo raised its $TSLA price target to $130 from $120 while maintaining Underweight, lifting valuation floors even among cautious desks.

📅 Earnings and Catalyst Window

Tesla reports on Wednesday, 28 January 2026 into a stacked tech earnings window

$TSM, $NFLX, $TSLA, $AAPL, $AMZN, $META, $ARM, $CRWV, $MSFT, $GOOGL, $APP, $AMD, $ASML, $INTC. Tesla’s Q4 energy storage of 14.2 GWh beat consensus by ~6%, supporting long-term scaling toward 141.8 GWh by 2029 as AI data centres drive Megapack demand. Optimus patents reveal shared vehicle vision stacks and AI simulation of edge cases, reinforcing humanoid scalability.

🧠 Positioning Into the Print

With $30M+ call flow, a live inverse head and shoulders, Cybercab ramp, FSD V14.2 reasoning upgrades and the 10B-mile autonomy milestone converging, the setup favours upside into earnings unless $453.60 fails.

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