Balanced / analytical take
Intel’s rally looks more like a political and narrative-driven trade than a fundamentals one. A 76x forward P/E with a money-losing foundry business assumes 18A succeeds and that big customers like Apple actually commit—neither of which is confirmed yet. Until there’s a signed foundry deal, this feels speculative.
Skeptical / cautious
A 31% run in a month on hopes and presidential comments is risky. Trump saying “Apple went in” without clarity doesn’t equal a contract, and Intel’s foundry is still bleeding billions. Valuation looks stretched compared to peers.
Bullish but realistic
If Intel really lands Apple on 18A, this stock still has upside despite the valuation. The question is execution—Intel has to prove it can manufacture at scale and on time, which is where it’s stumbled before.
Short, punchy response
Big rally, big expectations. Without confirmed Apple or Nvidia foundry deals, Intel at 76x forward earnings is pricing in a lot of good news already
Intel Stock Hits Highest Level in Nearly 2 Years. What Has the Market Excited
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