To The Moon

$Amphenol(APH)$

Amphenol Corp. (APH) Tests $151 Resistance After 0.99% Dip, Consolidation Phase Intact 🔄

📈 Latest Close Data (2026-01-26)

• Close: $150.99 (USD)

• Change: -$1.51 (-0.99%)

• Distance to 52-Week High ($157.54): -4.2%

⚡ Core Market Drivers

1. The stock is consolidating near its all-time highs after a massive run-up in 2025, partly driven by the AI/data center infrastructure boom where Amphenol is a key "picks and shovels" play 🏗️.

2. Upcoming Q4 earnings are a key catalyst. Consensus estimates project robust YoY growth (Revenue +39.8%, EPS +59.0%), which could reignite momentum 📊.

📊 Technical Analysis

• Volume: 7.33M shares, with a Volume Ratio of 0.78, indicating below-average participation in today's pullback, suggesting a lack of aggressive selling pressure.

• MACD (Latest): DIF at 4.54, DEA at 3.59, MACD at 1.90. The histogram is positive but narrowing, signaling slowing bullish momentum and potential consolidation.

• RSI (6, 12, 24): Readings are at 57.5, 61.4, and 60.1 respectively. All are in neutral territory, having cooled off from overbought levels, which is healthy for a potential next leg higher.

🎯 Key Price Levels

• Immediate Pivot: $151.80 (Today's High) - A break above signals a resumption of the uptrend.

• Primary Support: $147.90 (Today's Low) / $138.89 (Recent Swing Low) - Critical level to hold for the bullish structure.

• Strong Resistance: $154.19 (Recent High) / $157.54 (52-Week High) - Breakout targets.

💰 Valuation Perspective

• Forward P/E: 35.75x, above its historical average of 26.86x, reflecting a premium for its growth profile in the high-demand connectivity sector.

• P/S (TTM): 8.81x, indicating the market prices in significant future sales expansion.

🎯 Analyst Targets

• 19 Analysts have an average price target of $156.64, implying ~3.7% upside.

• Sentiment: Bullish (3 Strong Buy, 13 Buy, 5 Hold).

🔮 Weekly Outlook

Expect consolidation between $148 and $154 in the near term as the market digests recent gains and awaits earnings.

• Bullish Scenario: A decisive close above $154.19 opens the path to retest the $157.54 high and target the $160-$165 zone.

• Bearish Scenario: A break and sustained close below $147.90 could trigger a deeper pullback toward the $140-$142 support area.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and not financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Investing involves risk, including the potential loss of principal. Please conduct your own research or consult a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

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