To The Moon

On February 2, US time, the data analysis giant$Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) $Will announce the fourth quarter and full-year financial results of fiscal year 2025. The market consensus expects the company's Q4 revenue to be approximately US $1.34 billion, a year-on-year increase of more than 60%, and non-GAAP earnings per share (EPS) to be approximately US $0.23, up from US $0.14 in the same period last year. Analysts pointed out that if the performance meets expectations, Palantir will continue its rapid growth trend.

Palantir's core business includes the Gotham platform for government and the Foundry platform for enterprises. AI-driven data analysis needs are an important driving force for performance growth. Furthermore, the company's two-wheel drive model in the commercial and government sectors, as well as the significantly increased gross contract value (TCV) in the previous quarter, provide visibility into future revenue. Some institutions predict that if future guidance is raised, revenue in fiscal year 2026 is expected to achieve a growth of more than 70%.

However, the market is still divided on Palantir's valuation. Analysts warned that if government spending slows down or performance fails to exceed expectations, stock prices may be under pressure. The options market shows that the stock price fluctuation range may reach ± 10% after the release of the financial report, highlighting investors' concern about the performance results.

Palantir's stock price has fallen recently, and some investors are worried about valuation pressure and market uncertainty. However, analysts generally believe that if the financial report performance meets or exceeds expectations, the company is expected to achieve a stock price rebound with the help of AI business and commercial revenue growth, bringing opportunities to investors.

PLTR Sell Bull Put Spread Strategy Earnings Analysis

1. Strategy structure

Investors in$Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) $Build aBull Put Spread Bull Put SpreadStrategy. The strategy belongs toLimited benefits, limited risksDirectional strategy, suitable for judging PLTR to maintain before expirationNo sharp dropOrModest riseSituation.

1 ️ ⃣Sell higher strike price Put (main source of income)

• Sell 1 Put with strike price K ₂ = 130

• Charge premium $1.82/share This Put is closer to the current stock price and is the main source of premium on the Put side. As long as the PLTR expiration price is ≥ $130, this Put will be completely invalidated and premium will receive all income.

2 ️ ⃣Buy Lower Strike Price Put (Downside Risk Protection)

• Buy 1 Put with strike price K ₁ = 125

• Pay premium $1.05/share This Put is used to provide protection in the event of a sharp drop in PLTR, thereby locking in maximum losses and avoiding the huge downside risk of selling Put naked.

3 ️ ⃣Put-side net income (per share)Net premium = Sell Put − Buy Put = 1.82 − 1.05 = $0.77/share

2. Maximum profit

When the PLTR expiration price is ≥ $130:

• Both options all out of the money

• Investors get maximum profits

• PER SHARE: $0.77

• Per contract (100 shares): $77

3. Maximum loss

If the PLTR expiration price is ≤ $125, the spread between Buy Put and Sell Put is fully triggered:

• Strike spread width = 130 − 125 = $5

• Maximum loss (per share) = Strike spread − Net premium = 5 − 0.77 = $4.23/share

• Maximum loss (per contract) = 4.23 × 100 = $423/contract

📉 Occurrence conditions: PLTR expiration price ≤ $125

4. Break-even point

Below break-even point = sell strike price − net premium

= 130 − 0.77

= $129.23

Maturity judgment rules:

• PLTR > 129.23 → earnings

• PLTR = 129.23 → No Profit, No Loss

• PLTR < 129.23 → Loss

5. Strategic characteristics and applicable situations

Strategy Characteristics

• Bull market bias strategy

• Core income comes from time value decay (Theta)

• The risk is controllable, and the maximum profit and maximum loss can be clarified when opening a position

Applicable situationsWhen investors judge:

• PLTR Short TermWon't fall sharply

• Before expirationThe probability of breaking below $125 is low

• Hope inRisks are controllableCollect premium income on the premise of