Not to overly worry...DBS didn’t suddenly break. The Q4 profit drop is mostly about NIM normalising after a peak-rate year, this was always coming. Yes, missing consensus matters, but fee income growing double digits shows the core business is still working.
The bigger issue is positioning. After a ~60% rally and fresh highs, expectations were stretched, so even a “not great” quarter triggers selling. This feels more like profit-taking and earnings digestion than the start of a serious bank rotation.
With dividends and capital return commitments running through 2027, downside should be cushioned. Near term, upside is capped and volatility stays. Long term, DBS remains a yield and capital-return story, unless rates fall much faster than the market expects.
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