Gold reclaiming $5,000 isn’t just a technical level — it signals persistent demand for monetary hedges. Central bank buying, geopolitical risk, and real rate uncertainty are still strong tailwinds.
But the rotation question is interesting.
If gold is being driven by liquidity + policy risk, copper would need a different catalyst — namely a real acceleration in global manufacturing, infrastructure stimulus, or a clean-energy capex wave. Copper is more growth-sensitive; gold is more fear/liquidity-sensitive.
So the key signal to watch:
• Falling real yields → bullish gold
• Rising PMIs + China stimulus → bullish copper
If we get both easing policy and industrial recovery, copper likely outperforms on beta. If growth stays fragile, gold remains the safer trade.
This may not be rotation yet — it may just be different macro regimes expressing themselves.
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