To The Moon

Warren Buffett's final portfolio tweak as Berkshire Hathaway CEO packs a punch, with the firm's $274 billion equity stash showing calculated shifts that have investors buzzing about value plays trumping growth hype. 😎 This Q4 2025 13F filing reveals a classic Buffett concentration – top 10 holdings still dominate 88% of assets – but beneath the surface, meaningful moves signal caution on tech valuations amid inflation lingering at 2.8% and Fed pauses delaying cuts to July. Apple got trimmed for the third straight quarter by 4.32% (10.29 million shares sold), cutting exposure to the $951 billion stake while still keeping it as the crown jewel at 22.6% of the portfolio. Amazon took a brutal hit, slashed over 77% as Berkshire unloaded most of its position, hinting at worries over capex bloat jumping 50% to $100 billion without clear ROI. Chubb saw a 9.3% boost with 2.9 million shares added for $951 million, bolstering insurance bets amid rising geopolitical tensions. The surprise stunner? A fresh stake in New York Times (NYT) worth around $951 million (over 5 million shares), making Berkshire a top holder and spotlighting media's enduring value in an AI-disrupted world. Emerging markets add spice, with Asia's STI smashing 5,000 on bank surges like DBS's 29.9% glow pulling inflows 10% as dollar dips to 94 unlock diversification wins. But with tech giants like Nvidia dipping 4% on funding fears, is this Buffett's subtle nod that valuations at 50x forward are too pricey in a high-rate era? Let's unpack the insights, forecast Berkshire's path under Greg Abel, and spot if tech's bubble is bursting or just pausing for breath. 📉🛡️

Apple Trim Trilogy: Value Over Growth? 🍏📉

Berkshire's ongoing Apple shave – down 4.32% this quarter to 227.92 million shares – trims the $61.96 billion position but keeps it dominant at 22.6%. This cautious cut echoes concerns over "staggering" iPhone demand facing AI competition, with sales surging 16% but capex pressures dipping margins. If Fed dots lean hawkish for limited easing, Apple's 35x forward looks stretched – Buffett's move hints rotation to defensives amid tariff teases crimp 5%. Crypto's $85K hold tests floors, but gold's $4,670 record hedges shine amid uncertainty.

Amazon Axed 77%: Capex Crunch Signal? 🛒😤

The massive Amazon dump – over 77% slashed – unloads most of Berkshire's stake, signaling wariness on $100B+ capex without proportional returns in AWS's 24% growth. This echoes broader Mag 7 weakness, with Microsoft slumping 10% on similar fears – Buffett's exit questions if tech's 50x multiples sustain in a 4% yield world. Emerging slowdowns crimp EM 5%, but QT flood keeps upside alive for value plays.

Chubb Boost & NYT Surprise: Insurance & Media Moats 🏦📰

Adding 2.9 million Chubb shares (9.3% increase) for $951 million bolsters Berkshire's insurance core, eyeing ROE 18% on premium surges amid geopolitical risks. The NYT new stake ($951 million, 5 million shares) spotlights media's resilience in AI chaos, with subscriptions up 12% on content moats – this diversification echoes Buffett's value hunt beyond overpriced tech.

Berkshire's Next Chapter: Abel's Era Begins 🔄💼

Under Greg Abel, Berkshire's $274B portfolio stays concentrated (top 5 at 70%), but shifts hint evolution – trimming tech for insurance/media signals caution on AI hype, with $39B cash hoard ready for deals. If tariffs escalate, value stocks shine; Fed cuts to 80% odds by June unlock 2% S&P pops, but tech's bubble at 50x forward risks 10% correction if ROI lags.

Berkshire Q4 2025 Portfolio Shifts Table 📊

$Apple(AAPL)$ $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ $New York Times(NYT)$ $CHERVON(02285)$ $Chubb(CB)$

Tech Too Expensive: Buffett's Subtle Warning? 😩📉

Tech's 50x multiples vs Berkshire's value focus at 13x forward scream overpriced – Apple's trim and Amazon dump hint bubble risks amid 2.8% inflation above target delaying cuts. If dot plots hawkish, correction to 6,700 tests; but cool PCE unlocks rally to 7,100. Emerging glow from STI's 5,000 break adds diversification, with tariff thaw pulling inflows 10%.

Farewell Verdict: Buffett's Final 13F Dumps Tech for Value Gems – Berkshire's Dynasty Evolves Under Abel! 😱🤑

Key Takeaways

• Portfolio $274B, top 10 88% concentrated.

• Apple trimmed 3rd straight, Amazon slashed 77%.

• Chubb +9.3%, NYT new stake $951M.

• $39B cash for deals under Abel.

• Tech 50x forward too pricey vs value 13x.

• Emerging EM 10% inflows add spice. 😤🚀🍀🍀🍀

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📝 Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions.

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