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Why High Oil Prices Are a Time Bomb for the Tech-Led Rally -- Barrons.com

Stocks are bumping their head on the ceiling of a soaring spring advance, and could be set for a drop over the coming weeks as oil prices remain elevated and inflation gauges show damage from the U.S. war with Iran.The narrow nature of the rally, which saw five stocks -- Nvidia, Micron, Apple, AMD, and Intel -- drive nearly three-quarters of the S&P 500's 2.3% advance last week, is starting to worry some investors heading into Tuesday's April inflation reading and the continuing stalemate between Washington and Tehran.The S&P 500 has powered nearly 13.5% higher since the start of April, and hit a fresh all-time high of 7412 points last night, while the Nasdaq extended its monthly gain to 5.5% with a record close on Monday.Semiconductor stocks, meanwhile, are having their best year since 2009 in just four calendar months, with the PHLX benchmark rising more than 70% from the end of December and nearly 60% since the start of the second quarter."A prolonged closure would likely shift the

Why High Oil Prices Are a Time Bomb for the Tech-Led Rally -- Barrons.com

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it?","highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/563404874457256","repostId":2634439290,"repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2634439290","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1778582280,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2634439290?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2026-05-12 18:38","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why High Oil Prices Are a Time Bomb for the Tech-Led Rally -- Barrons.com","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2634439290","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"Stocks are bumping their head on the ceiling of a soaring spring advance, and could be set for a drop over the coming weeks as oil prices remain elevated and inflation gauges show damage from the U.S. war with Iran.The narrow nature of the rally, which saw five stocks -- Nvidia, Micron, Apple, AMD, and Intel -- drive nearly three-quarters of the S&P 500's 2.3% advance last week, is starting to worry some investors heading into Tuesday's April inflation reading and the continuing stalemate between Washington and Tehran.The S&P 500 has powered nearly 13.5% higher since the start of April, and hit a fresh all-time high of 7412 points last night, while the Nasdaq extended its monthly gain to 5.5% with a record close on Monday.Semiconductor stocks, meanwhile, are having their best year since 2009 in just four calendar months, with the PHLX benchmark rising more than 70% from the end of December and nearly 60% since the start of the second quarter.\"A prolonged closure would likely shift the ","content":"\n\n By Martin Baccardax \n\n\n Stocks are bumping their head on the ceiling of a soaring spring advance, and could be set for a drop over the coming weeks as oil prices remain elevated and inflation gauges show damage from the U.S. war with Iran. \n\n\n The narrow nature of the rally, which saw five stocks -- <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">Nvidia</a>, Micron, Apple, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMD\">AMD</a>, and Intel -- drive nearly three-quarters of the S&amp;P 500's 2.3% advance last week, is starting to worry some investors heading into Tuesday's April inflation reading and the continuing stalemate between Washington and Tehran. \n\n\n The S&amp;P 500 has powered nearly 13.5% higher since the start of April, and hit a fresh all-time high of 7412 points last night, while the Nasdaq extended its monthly gain to 5.5% with a record close on Monday. \n\n\n Semiconductor stocks, meanwhile, are having their best year since 2009 in just four calendar months, with the PHLX benchmark rising more than 70% from the end of December and nearly 60% since the start of the second quarter. \n\n\n But the tech-led nature of the gains, alongside the recent surge in global crude prices and the last of the major quarterly earnings reports due over the next two weeks, suggests stocks might be ready for a pullback heading into the final stretch of the second quarter. \n\n\n \"The market is overdue for a pause, and that wouldn't be a bad thing,\" said Mark Hackett, chief market strategist at Nationwide. \"Even with higher oil prices, rising yields, and weak sentiment data, the market has remained resilient, which underscores how powerful the earnings and AI-driven momentum remains beneath the surface.\" \n\n\n \"But after a six-week rally and a sharp rebound off the March lows, some sideways churn would help cool expectations and rebuild a healthier foundation for the next move higher,\" he added. \n\n\n The combined factors that powered the springtime rally, including a much stronger-than-expected first-quarter earnings, a slowdown in oil prices, and hopes for a lasting truce in the war with Iran, are all starting to fade. \n\n\n Global crude prices crept higher again on Tuesday, with Brent contracts for July delivery rising another 3.3% to $107.50 a barrel, as peace talks between the U.S. and Iran remain \"on life support,\" according to President Donald Trump. \n\n\n Stocks, meanwhile, are set for a modestly weaker open, with the S&amp;P 500 called 22 points lower and the Nasdaq priced for a 200 point decline. \n\n\n That dichotomy of rising crude and soaring U.S. stocks, however, doesn't faze Jean Boivin, who heads BlackRock's Investment Institute. \n\n\n \"The AI buildout is offsetting the shock's drag on growth, while energy markets still appear to be pricing eventual reopening of the Strait or Hormuz,\" he said, adding that he's \"pro-risk\" for the moment, but watching moves in the U.S. Treasury market. \n\n\n He notes, however, an important caveat: \"this stance is dependent on eventual normalization in the Strait of Hormuz.\" \n\n\n \"A prolonged closure would likely shift the balance,\" he added. \"It would lift inflation and rates enough to start weighing on valuations and tighten financial conditions, ultimately challenging both risk assets and the pace of the AI buildout.\" \n\n\n But it's also worth noting that the S&amp;P 500 is also trading at the highest levels to its 50-day moving average, a key barometer for investor sentiment, since August of 2022, according to Adam Turnquist, chief technical strategist at LPL Financial. \n\n\n Broader market breadth, meanwhile, has weakened since the early-April boom, with megacap stocks powering the broader bull market trend. That is starting to worry investors over the likelihood of a near-term retreat. \n\n\n \"The strong recovery has pushed prices to elevated levels and signs of overbought conditions are emerging, suggesting stocks could be due for a near-term pause or pullback,\" he said. \n\n\n Turnquist, however, sees this as second chance to enter into a longer bull market phase, \"supported by a foundation of solid technical trends and underlying fundamental strength.\" \n\n\n Write to Martin Baccardax at martin.baccardax@barrons.com \n\n\n This content was created by Barron's, which is operated by Dow Jones &amp; Co. Barron's is published independently from Dow Jones Newswires and The Wall Street Journal. \n\n<pre style=\"white-space: pre\">\n \n</pre>\n\n (END) Dow Jones Newswires\n\n\n May 12, 2026 06:38 ET (10:38 GMT)\n\n\n Copyright (c) 2026 Dow Jones &amp; Company, Inc.\n\n","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why High Oil Prices Are a Time Bomb for the Tech-Led Rally -- Barrons.com</title>\n<style 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy High Oil Prices Are a Time Bomb for the Tech-Led Rally -- Barrons.com\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\nDow Jones \n2026-05-12 18:38\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n\n\n By Martin Baccardax \n\n\n Stocks are bumping their head on the ceiling of a soaring spring advance, and could be set for a drop over the coming weeks as oil prices remain elevated and inflation gauges show damage from the U.S. war with Iran. \n\n\n The narrow nature of the rally, which saw five stocks -- <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">Nvidia</a>, Micron, Apple, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMD\">AMD</a>, and Intel -- drive nearly three-quarters of the S&amp;P 500's 2.3% advance last week, is starting to worry some investors heading into Tuesday's April inflation reading and the continuing stalemate between Washington and Tehran. \n\n\n The S&amp;P 500 has powered nearly 13.5% higher since the start of April, and hit a fresh all-time high of 7412 points last night, while the Nasdaq extended its monthly gain to 5.5% with a record close on Monday. \n\n\n Semiconductor stocks, meanwhile, are having their best year since 2009 in just four calendar months, with the PHLX benchmark rising more than 70% from the end of December and nearly 60% since the start of the second quarter. \n\n\n But the tech-led nature of the gains, alongside the recent surge in global crude prices and the last of the major quarterly earnings reports due over the next two weeks, suggests stocks might be ready for a pullback heading into the final stretch of the second quarter. \n\n\n \"The market is overdue for a pause, and that wouldn't be a bad thing,\" said Mark Hackett, chief market strategist at Nationwide. \"Even with higher oil prices, rising yields, and weak sentiment data, the market has remained resilient, which underscores how powerful the earnings and AI-driven momentum remains beneath the surface.\" \n\n\n \"But after a six-week rally and a sharp rebound off the March lows, some sideways churn would help cool expectations and rebuild a healthier foundation for the next move higher,\" he added. \n\n\n The combined factors that powered the springtime rally, including a much stronger-than-expected first-quarter earnings, a slowdown in oil prices, and hopes for a lasting truce in the war with Iran, are all starting to fade. \n\n\n Global crude prices crept higher again on Tuesday, with Brent contracts for July delivery rising another 3.3% to $107.50 a barrel, as peace talks between the U.S. and Iran remain \"on life support,\" according to President Donald Trump. \n\n\n Stocks, meanwhile, are set for a modestly weaker open, with the S&amp;P 500 called 22 points lower and the Nasdaq priced for a 200 point decline. \n\n\n That dichotomy of rising crude and soaring U.S. stocks, however, doesn't faze Jean Boivin, who heads BlackRock's Investment Institute. \n\n\n \"The AI buildout is offsetting the shock's drag on growth, while energy markets still appear to be pricing eventual reopening of the Strait or Hormuz,\" he said, adding that he's \"pro-risk\" for the moment, but watching moves in the U.S. Treasury market. \n\n\n He notes, however, an important caveat: \"this stance is dependent on eventual normalization in the Strait of Hormuz.\" \n\n\n \"A prolonged closure would likely shift the balance,\" he added. \"It would lift inflation and rates enough to start weighing on valuations and tighten financial conditions, ultimately challenging both risk assets and the pace of the AI buildout.\" \n\n\n But it's also worth noting that the S&amp;P 500 is also trading at the highest levels to its 50-day moving average, a key barometer for investor sentiment, since August of 2022, according to Adam Turnquist, chief technical strategist at LPL Financial. \n\n\n Broader market breadth, meanwhile, has weakened since the early-April boom, with megacap stocks powering the broader bull market trend. That is starting to worry investors over the likelihood of a near-term retreat. \n\n\n \"The strong recovery has pushed prices to elevated levels and signs of overbought conditions are emerging, suggesting stocks could be due for a near-term pause or pullback,\" he said. \n\n\n Turnquist, however, sees this as second chance to enter into a longer bull market phase, \"supported by a foundation of solid technical trends and underlying fundamental strength.\" \n\n\n Write to Martin Baccardax at martin.baccardax@barrons.com \n\n\n This content was created by Barron's, which is operated by Dow Jones &amp; Co. Barron's is published independently from Dow Jones Newswires and The Wall Street Journal. \n\n<pre style=\"white-space: pre\">\n \n</pre>\n\n (END) Dow Jones Newswires\n\n\n May 12, 2026 06:38 ET (10:38 GMT)\n\n\n Copyright (c) 2026 Dow Jones &amp; Company, Inc.\n\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NVDS":"1.5倍做空NVDA ETF-Tradr","LU0795875086.SGD":"JPMorgan Investment Funds - Global Income A (div) SGD","2NVD.UK":"2X NVIDIA ETP","AAPX":"2倍做多Apple ETF-T-Rex","NVDU":"2倍做多NVDA ETF-Direxion","AAPY":"AAPL收益溢价策略ETF-Kurv","APLY":"AAPL期权收益策略ETF-YieldMax","NVDW":"NVDA周配息ETF-Roundhill","LU0784385170.HKD":"BGF GLOBAL MULTI ASSET INCOME \"A6\" (HKDHGD) INC","LU1046421795.USD":"富达环球科技A-ACC","LU0276348264.USD":"THREADNEEDLE (LUX) GLOBAL DYNAMIC REAL RETURN\"AUP\" (USD) INC","NVDX":"2倍做多NVDA ETF-T-Rex","LU0708994859.HKD":"TEMPLETON GLOBAL \"A\" (HKD) ACC","NVD":"2倍做空NVDA ETF-GraniteShares","HK0000306685.HKD":"TAIKANG KAITAI CHINA NEW OPPORTUNITIES FUND 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ETF-Direxion","3NVD.UK":"LS 3X NVIDIA","NVDO":"2倍上限加速NVDA ETF-Leverage Shares","NVDS.UK":"LS -1X NVIDIA","NVDA":"英伟达","AAPU":"2倍做多AAPL ETF-Direxion","MULL":"2倍做多MU ETF-GraniteShares","IE000BZT7R73.USD":"RQI GLOBAL \"I\" (USD) ACC","SNVD.UK":"LS -1X NVIDIA","NVIW.SI":"NVDA 3xLongSG261006","NVDQ":"2倍做空NVDA ETF-T-Rex","AAPW":"AAPL周配息ETF-Roundhill"},"source_url":"https://dowjonesnews.com/newdjn/logon.aspx?AL=N","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2634439290","content_text":"By Martin Baccardax \n\n\n Stocks are bumping their head on the ceiling of a soaring spring advance, and could be set for a drop over the coming weeks as oil prices remain elevated and inflation gauges show damage from the U.S. war with Iran. \n\n\n The narrow nature of the rally, which saw five stocks -- Nvidia, Micron, Apple, AMD, and Intel -- drive nearly three-quarters of the S&P 500's 2.3% advance last week, is starting to worry some investors heading into Tuesday's April inflation reading and the continuing stalemate between Washington and Tehran. \n\n\n The S&P 500 has powered nearly 13.5% higher since the start of April, and hit a fresh all-time high of 7412 points last night, while the Nasdaq extended its monthly gain to 5.5% with a record close on Monday. \n\n\n Semiconductor stocks, meanwhile, are having their best year since 2009 in just four calendar months, with the PHLX benchmark rising more than 70% from the end of December and nearly 60% since the start of the second quarter. \n\n\n But the tech-led nature of the gains, alongside the recent surge in global crude prices and the last of the major quarterly earnings reports due over the next two weeks, suggests stocks might be ready for a pullback heading into the final stretch of the second quarter. \n\n\n \"The market is overdue for a pause, and that wouldn't be a bad thing,\" said Mark Hackett, chief market strategist at Nationwide. \"Even with higher oil prices, rising yields, and weak sentiment data, the market has remained resilient, which underscores how powerful the earnings and AI-driven momentum remains beneath the surface.\" \n\n\n \"But after a six-week rally and a sharp rebound off the March lows, some sideways churn would help cool expectations and rebuild a healthier foundation for the next move higher,\" he added. \n\n\n The combined factors that powered the springtime rally, including a much stronger-than-expected first-quarter earnings, a slowdown in oil prices, and hopes for a lasting truce in the war with Iran, are all starting to fade. \n\n\n Global crude prices crept higher again on Tuesday, with Brent contracts for July delivery rising another 3.3% to $107.50 a barrel, as peace talks between the U.S. and Iran remain \"on life support,\" according to President Donald Trump. \n\n\n Stocks, meanwhile, are set for a modestly weaker open, with the S&P 500 called 22 points lower and the Nasdaq priced for a 200 point decline. \n\n\n That dichotomy of rising crude and soaring U.S. stocks, however, doesn't faze Jean Boivin, who heads BlackRock's Investment Institute. \n\n\n \"The AI buildout is offsetting the shock's drag on growth, while energy markets still appear to be pricing eventual reopening of the Strait or Hormuz,\" he said, adding that he's \"pro-risk\" for the moment, but watching moves in the U.S. Treasury market. \n\n\n He notes, however, an important caveat: \"this stance is dependent on eventual normalization in the Strait of Hormuz.\" \n\n\n \"A prolonged closure would likely shift the balance,\" he added. \"It would lift inflation and rates enough to start weighing on valuations and tighten financial conditions, ultimately challenging both risk assets and the pace of the AI buildout.\" \n\n\n But it's also worth noting that the S&P 500 is also trading at the highest levels to its 50-day moving average, a key barometer for investor sentiment, since August of 2022, according to Adam Turnquist, chief technical strategist at LPL Financial. \n\n\n Broader market breadth, meanwhile, has weakened since the early-April boom, with megacap stocks powering the broader bull market trend. That is starting to worry investors over the likelihood of a near-term retreat. \n\n\n \"The strong recovery has pushed prices to elevated levels and signs of overbought conditions are emerging, suggesting stocks could be due for a near-term pause or pullback,\" he said. \n\n\n Turnquist, however, sees this as second chance to enter into a longer bull market phase, \"supported by a foundation of solid technical trends and underlying fundamental strength.\" \n\n\n Write to Martin Baccardax at martin.baccardax@barrons.com \n\n\n This content was created by Barron's, which is operated by Dow Jones & Co. Barron's is published independently from Dow Jones Newswires and The Wall Street Journal. \n\n\n \n\n\n (END) Dow Jones Newswires\n\n\n May 12, 2026 06:38 ET (10:38 GMT)\n\n\n Copyright (c) 2026 Dow Jones & Company, Inc.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"3NVD.UK":0.6,"MULL":0.6,"NVII":0.6,"MUD":0.6,"MU":0.9,"AAPY":0.6,"NVDS":0.6,"AAPD":0.6,"NVDA":0.9,"NVDL":0.6,"NVDS.UK":0.6,"AAPU":0.6,"ANV":0.6,"MACW.SI":0.6,"2NVD.UK":0.6,"NVDD":0.6,"NVD":0.6,"NVDG":0.6,"NVDW":0.6,"MUU":0.6,"NVDX":0.6,"NVDY":0.6,"SNVD.UK":0.6,"NVDO":0.6,"NVIW.SI":0.6,"NVDU":0.6,"AAPB":0.6,"NVD3.UK":0.6,"AAPW":0.6,"NVDQ":0.6,"DIPS":0.6,"APLY":0.6,"NVD2.UK":0.6,"AAPX":0.6,"NVDB":0.6}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":11,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":[],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"EN","currentLanguage":"EN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":35,"optionInvolvedFlag":false,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ORIG"},"commentList":[],"hasMoreComment":false,"orderType":2}