A New Risk-On Cycle? Software, Crypto and Global Equities Start to Reawaken

Weekly Macro Themes Report (preview) - Global Equities, Software stocks, Bitcoin, US Dollar

Here's the topics & takeaways from the latest Weekly Macro Themes report:

1. GSV vs ULG: relative value favors Global, Small, Value vs US, Large, Growth, but on all three counts a turning point in relative performance remains elusive (still only stop-start progress).

2. Global ex-US Equities: the global vs US rotation trade has stalled, but remain constructive on global vs US given extremes in relative value, improved earnings, anticipated USD weakness, and technicals.

3. Software: remain bullish on software stocks given bullish technicals and major reset in valuations.

4. Bitcoin: remain bullish given seasonal tailwinds, bullish technicals, supportive leading indicators, and all set against the backdrop of a big reset in price and positioning.

5. US Dollar: maintain bearish bias given overall bearish technicals, slight overvaluation, fading yield support, but still need to see a break-down (out of that range) to raise conviction.


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