Black-Scholes-Merton Model

Jo

sometimes very complicated model demine us . Here’s a simplified visual that turns a complicated model into something intuitive and easy to follow. Hope it helps everyone or some people and happy trading .

The picture is AI generated using Gemini with prompts and it make understanding when to sell which a lot of people want to know . So I hope this chart is useful to you all.

In summary , the diagram uses a simple color-coded system to illustrate volatility:

1 Standard Deviation (68.2% probability): Indicates that the asset price is stable, suggesting you should HOLD.

2 Standard Deviations (95.4% probability): Indicates moderate volatility, signaling you should CONSIDER SELLING.

3 Standard Deviations (99.7% probability): Indicates extreme price volatility, signaling a strong SELL or ACTION position.

Happy Hari Raya Haji to all Muslim friends !


@Shyon here's dedicated to u for introducing how to  make nice graphics 

# How to pick strike prices for options?

Modify on 2026-05-29 06:27

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  • e13v3n
    ·05-27
    TOP
    How does the 3 standard deviation correspond to 99.7 probability?
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    • BillionaireN
      Formulae for
      Referencing
      05-27 23:17
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  • Shyon
    ·05-29 10:18
    TOP
    Thanks for sharing, glad that you able to generate such a great graphic, bravo!
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  • BillionaireN
    ·05-27 23:17
    Formulae as such
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