$GLD, $TSLA, $SPX: The Numbers Came First, The Market Followed

Technical analysis has proven to be a powerful edge for both long-term investors and traders. Over the past weeks, I have provided documented calls with clear references to significant moves in the market, and this week offers a good opportunity to connect precise calls.

  1. On July 29th, I called the bullish reversal for $Gold - main 2612(GCmain)$ with specific levels. While many analysts had been constructing the bull case for months, Gold had already dropped roughly 30% from its peak, a drawdown that even the most committed long-term holders struggle to sit through without a technical framework to lean on. The call was documented, $SPDR Gold ETF(GLD)$ is up +13.9% since my note, the levels were clear, and the reversal played out.

  2. On August 1st, I identified the bounce case for $SpaceX(SPCX)$ The stock is up +26% since, and paid subscribers have received the daily levels for that stock along with my daily note anticipating levels for the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ and $E-mini S&P 500 - main 2609(ESmain)$ , giving them a concrete reference before each trading day begins.

  3. Last week, I documented the current SPX pullback as a high-probability setup. The index declined -1.4% this week, in line with what was flagged. But here is the part that matters most for how I approach the market:

    1. Not every stock falls when the SPX falls. That is one of the most important edges a focused watchlist provides. $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ rallied 6% this week. $Netflix(NFLX)$ rallied 2%. Both were called as high probability setups last week, with specific targets and the levels where algorithms were likely to react.

    2. Last week, I noted the importance of the 4 year cycle for Bitcoin, we are in the most bearish moment of the most bearish year, BTC was weak below its 200 MA as documented, but also above is CML of 62,7K.

That is the core of what I do. The market is heavily driven by algorithms, and those algorithms respond to technical levels. When I publish a setup, I am not offering an opinion. I am modeling the specific prices where institutional algorithms are likely to react including targets and invalidation levels, TSLA had bullish target at 366, NFLX 80, $SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF Trust(DIA)$ had extended bearish targets at 531 and 527, $VanEck Semiconductor ETF(SMH)$ at 600, and the SPX at 7,673. Numbers always tell the facts, they were modeled ahead of the week and set as targets.

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

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