To The Moon

$Ferrari NV(RACE)$

$RACE Ferrari Surges +1.91%: Luxury Supercar Maker Tests $437 Resistance, $490 Bull Target in Sight 🏎️💨

Latest Close Data: $RACE closed at $436.54 (+1.91%) on Aug 24, just 0.22% below its short-term resistance of $437.51 and 13.5% off its 52-week high of $504.49.

Core Market Drivers: Goldman Sachs lifted its Ferrari target from €381 to €407, while AlphaValue raised its target from €401 to €422. Luxury demand remains resilient despite macro noise, with Ferrari's brand pricing power shielding margins.

Technical Analysis: Volume reached 444.2K shares with a 1.15 volume ratio, confirming accumulation. MACD is strongly bullish with DIF at 13.27 vs DEA 11.52, histogram expanding to +3.49. RSI(6) hit 83.5 — overbought but still rising, indicating powerful momentum. KDJ-J at 102.3 signals extended strength.

Key Price Levels: Primary Support $428.37 (prior close) | Strong Resistance $437.51 | Immediate Pivot $433.50 (today's open). A daily close above $437.51 activates the $455–$460 zone.

Valuation Perspective: P/E TTM stands at 41.4x, below the 5-year average Forward P/E of 44.05x. P/S at 9.76x reflects Ferrari's luxury scarcity premium.

Analyst Targets: 16 analysts cover RACE: 5 Strong Buy, 10 Buy, 1 Hold. Average target $455.83, with a high of $490 and low of $400.

Weekly Outlook: Expect a $428–$450 range. A breakout above $437.51 opens the path to $455–$460; failure to hold $428 could trigger a pullback to $410–$415 as RSI cools.

⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Technical indicators reflect historical data and may not predict future performance. Always do your own research.

🎯 $RACE Options Strategy: Bull Call Spread (Debit Spread)

• Underlying: RACE (Ferrari N.V.)

• View: Cautiously bullish — momentum-driven breakout above $437.51 resistance, with analyst targets supporting further upside toward $455–$460

• Strategy Type: Debit Spread / Directional Long (Limited Risk)

• Option Contract Portfolio (Sep 4, 2026 Expiry):

  • Buy 1x $435 Call @ $9.40 (mid)

  • Sell 1x $450 Call @ $3.85 (mid)

  • Net Debit: $5.55 per share ($555 per contract)

• Max Gain & Loss:

  • Max Gain: $9.45 per share ($945 per contract) = (450 − 435) − $5.55

  • Max Loss: $5.55 per share ($555 per contract) = Net Debit paid

• Initial Cost/Credit: Net Debit $5.55 per share

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