I think all three views are valid, but the bigger story is that this is no longer simply an “AI rally” — it’s a memory allocation cycle. AI servers are absorbing scarce HBM and DRAM capacity because hyperscalers are willing to pay premium prices and commit to long-term supply. That creates a squeeze for traditional PC and smartphone memory, potentially keeping prices elevated.

Between MU and SNDK, I favor MU for the longer-term fundamental story, while SNDK looks more attractive as a tactical trade after pullbacks. The biggest risk is valuation: if new capacity comes online faster than expected or AI capex slows, the cycle could reverse quickly.

For now, I’d rather buy weakness than chase vertical moves. The key question is no longer whether AI needs memory, but how long supply can stay behind demand.

@WallStreet_Tiger [胜利]

# Two Sessions Undid Friday's Rally: Memory Supercycle Over?

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