$SPY, $SPX, $QQQ and $IWM Have Big Weekly Ranges Ahead
Here are the expected moves for Sept 14–18 as the market heads into one of the biggest weeks of the month.
📍 $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$
Close: $764.29
EM: ±$12.81
Range: $751.48 – $777.10
📍 $S&P 500(.SPX)$
Close: 7,656.98
EM: ±126.66
Range: 7,530.32 – 7,783.64
📍 $S&P 500 Mini-SPX(.XSP)$
Close: $765.70
EM: ±$12.44
Range: $753.26 – $778.14
📍 $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$
Close: $714.88
EM: ±$15.47
Range: $699.41 – $730.35
📍 $iShares Russell 2000 ETF(IWM)$
Close: $288.89
EM: ±$6.48
Range: $282.41 – $295.37
🔥 Then comes the big catalyst.
FOMC is on Sept. 16, and the market is heavily leaning toward a rate hike. Recent pricing has put the odds around the mid-80% area.
That creates an interesting setup.
When the hike itself is already heavily expected, the bigger move can come from the reaction rather than the headline.
👀 Watch the expected-move boundaries closely.
If price starts breaking outside these ranges, volatility can accelerate quickly. And if the Fed delivers what everyone already expects, the real surprise could come from the guidance and the market’s positioning afterward.
The key question this week:
Does the market follow the expected move, or explode through it? 🔥📉📈
I’m watching the levels above and waiting for price to show its hand.
When markets keep you watching, knowing when to switch off matters too.
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