1PC
09-19 22:37

Nice Sharing 😁 @Barcode @JC888 @DiAngel @Aqa @koolgal @Shernice軒嬣 2000 //@Shyon:For me, the 25bp BOJ hike is not the biggest issue. What matters is how far the BOJ goes and whether the yen strengthens quickly. Japan has been a major source of low-cost funding, so further hikes could make the yen carry trade less attractive. I would watch closely if USD/JPY moves below 150.

I do not think this automatically means global tech stocks will fall. Japan’s rate is still relatively low, and gradual normalization should be manageable. The bigger risk is a sudden carry-trade unwind, forcing investors to reduce exposure across U.S. tech, bonds and other high-beta assets.

For now, I am watching BOJ guidance, USD/JPY and whether Japanese investors bring capital back home as domestic yields rise. If these signals move together, this could become a global liquidity story. I would stay patient and keep some flexibility rather than overreacting to the hike.

@TigerStars @TigerClub @Tiger_comments

@Shyon：
For me, the 25bp BOJ hike is not the biggest issue. What matters is how far the BOJ goes and whether the yen strengthens quickly. Japan has been a major source of low-cost funding, so further hikes could make the yen carry trade less attractive. I would watch closely if USD/JPY moves below 150. I do not think this automatically means global tech stocks will fall. Japan’s rate is still relatively low, and gradual normalization should be manageable. The bigger risk is a sudden carry-trade unwind, forcing investors to reduce exposure across U.S. tech, bonds and other high-beta assets. For now, I am watching BOJ guidance, USD/JPY and whether Japanese investors bring capital back home as domestic yields rise. If these signals move together, this could become a global liquidity story. I would stay patient and keep some flexibility rather than overreacting to the hike. @TigerStars @TigerClub @Tiger_comments
For me, the 25bp BOJ hike is not the biggest issue. What matters is how far the BOJ goes and whether the yen strengthens quickly. Japan has been a major source of low-cost funding, so further hikes could make the yen carry trade less attractive. I would watch closely if USD/JPY moves below 150. I do not think this automatically means global tech stocks will fall. Japan’s rate is still relatively low, and gradual normalization should be manageable. The bigger risk is a sudden carry-trade unwind, forcing investors to reduce exposure across U.S. tech, bonds and other high-beta assets. For now, I am watching BOJ guidance, USD/JPY and whether Japanese investors bring capital back home as domestic yields rise. If these signals move together, this could become a global liquidity story. I would stay patient and keep some flexibility rather than overreacting to the hike. @TigerStars @TigerClub @Tiger_comments

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

Report

Comment（2）

  • Top
  • Latest
  • MosesMoses
    ·09-20 18:42
    TOP
    EM local debt and high carry FX like AUD probably feel it first. If USDJPY loses 150 fast, that cross-asset de-risking can get messy
    Reply
    Report
    Fold Replies
    • 1PC: 
      😱
      09-20 20:04
      Reply
      Report