Tom Yuen's Playbook: A Fibonacci Setup, Futures vs. Options, and What's Changing

Speaker: Tom Yuen (YCK) walks through a simple Fibonacci pullback setup with an 80/20 exit, compares futures with options, and flags changes coming to contracts and US trading hours.

[About the Speaker] Tom Yuen (YCK) has over 30 years of professional futures trading experience, starting as an independent floor trader at SIMEX (now SGX-DT). A Computer Science graduate of the National University of Singapore, he is an SGX-DT-endorsed trainer who has trained traders across Singapore, Malaysia and Thailand.

[The Hook] A good setup, YCK argues, is more than a chart pattern. It also needs a plan for managing money and managing yourself. He demonstrated with a simple Fibonacci-based approach.

[The Setup: Buying a Pullback to a Fibonacci Level]

  1. Find the context — the market drops into a support zone and then makes an impulsive move up. That suggests a short-term bounce is likely.

  2. Wait for the pullback — the market rarely goes straight up. Don't chase it; let price retrace.

  3. Draw the Fibonacci tool from the swing low to the swing high. Charting software fills in the ratios automatically.

  4. Enter at the retracement level — in the session's example, the 38.2% level.

  5. Plan two exits — the first at the previous high (100%), the second at the 161.8% extension.

A downside setup is the reverse, working from resistance. YCK noted this is one of several possible setups and that he left out more complex details.

[The Worked Example and the 80/20 Exit]

The session's case study (generated with an AI tool from his partner's strategy) used a base at 29,273.50 and a recent peak at 29,535.00, with entry at the 38.2% retracement. It split the position 80/20:

  • 80% of the position exits at the first target, 29,535.00, locking in most of the profit.

  • The remaining 20% stays on to the 161.8% extension at 29,696.50.

To split 80/20 cleanly you need at least five lots. The education point is psychological as well as mathematical: once most of the trade is closed, the remaining risk is small, and the market decides how much extra reward you get. One worked example is not a guarantee, and a setup like this still needs a stop-loss.

[Size Is Where People Get Hurt]

YCK shared student examples ranging from single-contract trades to very large position sizes. His caution was the useful part: margin and leverage amplify results in both directions, you can still lose when you size up out of confidence, and nobody should start by copying someone else's lot size. Pick a size that fits your own account and risk tolerance.

[Outright Futures, Options and Spreads]

YCK separates three skills: trading futures outright, trading options, and trading spreads. He prefers outright futures because they are straightforward: if you are right you make money, and if not you cut.

He explained options with an insurance analogy. You pay a premium for an event to happen; if it does, you get paid, and if not, the premium is lost. The familiar line that options offer limited loss and unlimited gain is true in theory, but he cautions that over the long run buyers lose without an edge. Sellers collect premiums but can face unlimited loss unless they are very experienced. Outright futures are simpler but demand a good read of market structure.

[What's Changing]

  • Smaller contracts — exchanges keep launching mini and micro versions, so more people can participate with a smaller account.

  • Single stock futures are being relaunched in the US — earlier attempts ran into liquidity problems. They let you take a directional view on one stock with margin rather than the full cash amount. Check each contract's specification, and note that futures can trade at a premium or discount to the stock.

  • Longer US trading hours — Nasdaq is targeting Sunday, 6 December 2026 to start near-24-hour trading, five days a week, subject to SEC approval and market infrastructure readiness. YCK told attendees to watch for broker notifications.

His advice for getting started: pick something you already know well, such as gold or a major index, and choose a small contract with enough liquidity.

[Key Takeaways]

  • A setup needs three parts. Entry method, money management and psychology.

  • Plan the exit before the entry. Targets and a stop-loss belong on the chart first.

  • Scale with your account, not with someone else's. Position size multiplies outcomes either way.

  • Know what you're buying. Futures, options and single stock futures each have different risks.

[Call to Action 🎯]

  1. Find a recent swing on a chart of a market you follow and practise drawing the Fibonacci levels on it.

  2. Mark where your first target, second target and stop-loss would be.

  3. Drop a comment: which contract or product would you like a deeper walkthrough on?

Markets are always moving - and sometimes, the best move is knowing what works for you.

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Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

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Comment(2)

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  • Shyon
    ·10-14 22:05
    I like the Fibonacci pullback strategy because it provides a structured entry and clear profit targets instead of chasing price movements. The 80/20 exit approach is also interesting, as it locks in most profits while leaving some room for further upside. However, I would still prioritize stop-loss placement and risk-reward ratios.

    Position sizing and discipline are just as important as identifying the right setup. Futures offer straightforward directional exposure, but leverage can amplify losses quickly. I would rather start small with a market I understand well than copy another trader’s contract size or take unnecessary risks.

    I also think mini and micro contracts could make futures more accessible to retail investors. Personally, I prefer having a clear trading plan before entering any position, because consistency matters more than hitting one big win. The key is to protect capital first and let profits follow when the setup works.

    @Tiger_comments @TigerClub @TigerStars

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  • 吉3186
    ·10-14 18:38
    我认为这场分享最重要的,不是斐波那契回调,而是进场前先计划止损、止盈和仓位管理。

    80/20分批止盈可以帮助锁定部分利润,但技术指标并不能保证交易成功。期货有杠杆,亏损可能很快扩大;期权买方也可能损失全部权利金,卖方则可能承担更大的风险。

    对新手来说,我建议先用模拟账户练习,熟悉黄金或主要指数的走势,不要急着碰高杠杆产品,更不要照抄别人的合约数量。

    先学会控制亏损,再考虑赚多少。 长期稳定比一次赚大钱更重要。

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